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The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects natural gas prices at $3.59 per barrel in 2026, down from a previous forecast of $4.17 per barrel.On January 14th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, which stated that it predicts electricity consumption will increase by 1% in 2026 and 3% in 2027. This would be the first consecutive four-year period of growth since 2005-07, and the strongest four-year period since the turn of the century. In its forecast, the increase in electricity consumption is primarily driven by growing electricity demand from the commercial and industrial sectors. Solar power will contribute the largest increase in generation during the forecast period. It expects an additional 69 gigawatts of solar capacity to be installed during the forecast period, driving a 21% increase in solar power generation in both 2026 and 2027. It expects natural gas power generation to remain flat in 2026 and increase by 1% in 2027. Coal-fired power generation is expected to decline by 9% in 2026, followed by a decline of less than 1% in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects global oil production at 107.7 million barrels per day in 2026, up from the previous forecast of 107.4 million barrels per day; and projects production at 108.2 million barrels per day in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects U.S. oil demand at 20.6 million barrels per day in 2026, unchanged from the previous forecast; and projects demand at 20.7 million barrels per day in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects global oil demand at 104.8 million barrels per day in 2026, down from the previous forecast of 105.2 million barrels per day; and projects demand at 106.1 million barrels per day in 2027.

Since the focus has shifted to the Fed's policies and oil prices have increased, the USD/CAD has remained relatively stable at 1.2900

Daniel Rogers

Jul 25, 2022 11:46

截屏2022-07-25 上午9.52.23.png 

 

For now, the USD/CAD is struggling due to its inability to stay above the 1.2920 level. Selling pressure and a decrease in the asset are to be expected as investors await the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement (Fed). The asset has been trading in a range of 1.2855 to 1.2937, but it showed strong recovery on Friday after maintaining its position around the weekly support level.

 

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will declare its monetary policy, hence the US dollar index (DXY) is likely to remain quiet until after the Fed's announcement. Because of the ongoing damage to US households from rising prices, an announcement of a rate hike is expected soon. The scale of the same, though, will remain the primary worry. There is a good possibility that the Fed will implement a second rate hike of 75 basis points (bps).

 

There is no question that the financial community has not found a significant indication that may suggest that the pricing pressures have reached their limit, but slowdown indicators have intensified as Friday's PMI remained negative and big-name Wall Street earnings are not appealing to investors.

 

The loonie remained weak even after the release of Canada's Consumer Price Index (CPI). Total inflation for the year was 8.1%, which was up from 7.7% in the previous report but lower than the 8.4% forecast. There was also a rise of 10 basis points in the core CPI, which now stands at 6.20 percent rather than the previous edition's 6.10 percent.


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