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On July 6, Musk posted on the social platform X, "When and where should we hold the first convention of the American Party? It will be very interesting!" Earlier, due to dissatisfaction with Trumps "Big and Beautiful" bill, Musk announced the establishment of the "American Party" on the 5th, which attracted attention. According to the New York Times, an insider revealed that Musk has discussed plans to establish a new political party with friends in recent days.Saudi Arabia set the official selling price of Arab Light crude oil sold to Asia in August at a premium of $2.20 per barrel over the Oman/Dubai average price.July 6, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported on the 6th that in the past night, the Russian air defense system shot down and intercepted 120 Ukrainian drones, including 30 in Bryansk Oblast, 29 in Kursk Oblast, 18 in Oryol Oblast, and 17 in Belgorod Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reported on the 6th that since 20:30 local time on the 5th, the Russian army has launched 4 S-300 air defense missiles and 157 drones at Ukraine. As of 8:30 a.m. local time today (6th), the Ukrainian army has shot down a total of 117 drones through firepower and electronic warfare suppression.On July 6, Hong Kong SAR Government Financial Secretary Paul Chan said on the 6th that Hong Kong stocks rose by 18% last year, and the momentum will continue to improve in 2025. The number of applications for IPOs in Hong Kong is increasing rapidly. The amount of funds raised in the first half of the year exceeded HK$107 billion, an increase of about 22% over the whole of last year, temporarily ranking first in the world. Paul Chan said that in the past period of Hong Kong stocks rise, funds mainly chased technology stocks, driving a significant increase in the trading of derivatives related to technology stocks. "Exchange Traded Products" (ETPs) linked to different types of assets have become a new force in supporting the liquidity of Hong Kong stocks in recent years, effectively playing the role of liquidity buffer when the market fluctuates.July 6, Lloyds Bank of the United Kingdom believes that the minutes of the Federal Reserves June meeting to be released next Wednesday are not expected to change the markets expectation that interest rates will remain unchanged at the July meeting, and interest rate adjustments are more likely to take place in September. The Feds dot plot is still expected to have two rate cuts this year, but there are clear differences among policymakers, ranging from three rate cuts to unchanged.

As the USD/JPY currency pair nears 137.00, the policy gulf between the Fed and the BOJ widens

Alina Haynes

Jul 25, 2022 11:43

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The US dollar pushed higher against the Japanese yen on Wednesday as investors gambled on a wider policy gulf between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Since a small rebound around 136.00 on Friday, the asst has been making steady progress toward the pivotal level of 137.00.

 

On Wednesday, the Fed is likely to raise interest rates to 2.5 percent from their current level of 1.75%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell may announce a rate hike of 75 basis points to combat inflation (bps). At one point, when price pressures were in the double digits, the likelihood of a rate hike of even 1 percent was widely considered a certainty. Long-term inflation expectations fell to 2.8% in July from 3.1% in June, and Wall Street profit growth was weak, forcing the Fed to delay an increase in interest rates.

 

Meanwhile, last week's release of Japan's Consumer Price Index gave hope to those who buy the yen (CPI). After being reported at 2.5%, the National CPI has been revised down to 2.4%. Although core CPI rose from 0.8% to 1.0% since the last report. As long as food and energy costs stayed over 2 percent, the BOJ remained worried. Officials at the Bank of Japan (BOJ) are likely to be pleased with the recent uptick in demand for durable goods.

 

The increasing core CPI in Japan has little bearing on whether or not BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda would make a hawkish remark. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has promised to keep pumping money into the economy and to sustain its dovish tone.