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On January 7th, according to foreign media reports, Argus released the latest Japanese refinery data: 1. As of the week ending January 3rd, the average operating rate of Japanese refineries was 89.2%, basically unchanged from the previous week. Crude oil processing volume remained at 2.8 million barrels per day, and operating capacity remained at 3.1 million barrels per day. 2. Japanese refiner Eneos stated that it will suspend planned maintenance on its 128,000 barrels per day crude oil distillation unit (CDU) at the Marifu refinery starting in mid-January. The unit will resume operation in early April. 3. Regarding prices, with gasoline subsidies ending at the end of 2025, as of January 5th, the average retail gasoline price in Japan was 155.70 yen per liter, lower than 158 yen per liter on December 22nd, marking the lowest level since June 2021. 4. Inventory data shows that as of the week ending January 3, crude oil inventories increased by 6.0% week-on-week to 65.12 million barrels; gasoline inventories decreased by 1.0% week-on-week to 10.67 million barrels; kerosene inventories increased by 8.4% week-on-week to 14.01 million barrels; and diesel inventories surged by 22.4% week-on-week to 10.35 million barrels.On January 7th, Guo Ningning, Deputy Secretary of the Fujian Provincial Party Committee and Secretary of the Fuzhou Municipal Party Committee, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, Fuzhou will formulate and implement an overall development plan for its development zones, creating a number of distinctive benchmark parks. The city will solidly promote the integrated development of port, shipping, and trade along the "Silk Road Maritime Transport," accelerate the construction of channels such as the "Silk Road Flight" and the "Digital Silk Road," and build a comprehensive transportation network integrating sea, land, air, and land. It will also develop high-level platforms such as the China-Indonesia "Two Countries, Two Parks" initiative, the 21st Century Maritime Cooperation Committee, and comprehensive bonded zones, strengthening international cooperation in industrial and supply chains. Adhering to the principle of cross-strait integration with Fuzhou taking the lead, the city will continuously optimize institutional arrangements for integrated development, promoting economic, social, emotional, and overall integration between Fuzhou and Taiwan. It will accelerate the construction of a pilot zone for a cross-strait common market and a cross-strait common industrial cluster, creating a happy home for Taiwanese compatriots, businesses, and youth.On July 7 local time, Saudi Arabia launched airstrikes against Yemen, resulting in 4 deaths.1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 879,846 lots, an increase of 6,072 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,966,625 lots, an increase of 5,296 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 163,578 lots, an increase of 13,367 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 216,246 lots, a decrease of 739 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 499,109 lots, a decrease of 329,793 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,592,991 lots, an increase of 15,786 lots from the previous trading day.On January 7th, it was announced that the Shenyang Housing Provident Fund Management Committee has approved five optimizations to housing provident fund loan policies, effective January 2026. These optimizations include: extending the minimum down payment ratio policy period, extending the 15% minimum down payment ratio for housing provident fund loans implemented in November 2024 to December 31, 2026; extending the policy period for determining the number of housing units in housing provident fund loans, extending the policy period for those who have used two or more housing provident fund loans and can obtain a new loan after repayment, implemented in July 2025, to December 31, 2026; and relaxing restrictions on "commercial-to-provident fund" loan conversions for flexible employment and other groups. For those applying for "commercial-to-public" loans, the repayment period of the original commercial loan will no longer be restricted, except for flexible employment contributors, employees contributing in other locations, and active military personnel. The loan ratio limit for "commercial-to-public" loans will be increased from 60% to 80% of the house price. The housing loan support policy for new urban residents and young people will be relaxed, and the scope of application of the housing provident fund loan limit for new urban residents and young people will be increased to 1.3 times the original limit, expanding from newly built commercial housing to both newly built commercial housing and second-hand owner-occupied housing.

Silver Price Prediction - Silver Markets Remain Volatile

Alina Haynes

Jun 29, 2022 12:16

截屏2022-06-07 下午5.18.01.png 

 

During Tuesday's trading session, silver markets were quite active, as we continue to trade over the $21 barrier. The $21 level has been a pretty significant region, but the overall picture remains bearish. It is difficult not to notice the large "H pattern" on this chart, thus it is probable that we will attempt to reach the $20 level given sufficient time.

 

The $22 level above continues to provide resistance and will likely be significant owing to the 50 Day EMA approaching it once again. Ultimately, I believe this is a market that will always have a large number of sellers at rallies, mostly owing to the fact that US interest rates will continue to rise, so working against the value of silver. Additionally, pay particular attention to the US Dollar Index, as it has a negative association with this market.

 

I would not consider this market a buying opportunity until the silver market breaks over $22.50, because it has been so bearish for so long. I do feel that we will ultimately test the $20 level in the future, and a breach below that level would create significant selling pressure. Long-term, silver's price might go as low as $12 if it falls below the $20 threshold. Keep in mind that silver is also an industrial metal, which is not helping it as a worldwide recession is imminent.