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On September 17th, Robert Sorkin, chief U.S. economist at PGIM, stated that the latest Federal Reserve meeting signaled that the Fed could implement three rate hikes, or even more if necessary, with just a slight push. This rate hike was hawkish, signaling another rate hike this year. Of the 18 Fed officials who submitted forecasts, eight expect three rate hikes in this cycle by the end of 2027. In a report, Sorkin noted that Fed Chairman Warshs mention of the Fed "withdrawing some easing measures" suggested that he and other participants viewed Wednesdays action as merely a small step towards tightening financial conditions, implying further action is possible. Sorkin added that the risk of further Fed rate hikes remains high if inflation continues to be high.On September 17th, Futures News reported that Zhang Guoqing, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, stated in his concluding remarks that it is essential to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important instructions and the requirements of Premier Li Qiangs speech, and to earnestly enhance the sense of urgency, responsibility, and mission in developing advanced manufacturing. He emphasized the need to focus on key areas and crucial aspects, deeply implement the high-quality development action plan for key industrial chains, vigorously develop next-generation intelligent manufacturing, accelerate the upgrading and integrated development of the industrial system, and solidly promote the implementation of various tasks. He also stressed the importance of better leveraging the role of market mechanisms, accelerating the construction of a high-quality standard system, continuously rectifying disorderly and irrational competition, actively helping enterprises solve practical difficulties, and striving to create a favorable ecosystem for the development of advanced manufacturing.On September 17, the Pakistani Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the evening of the 16th, saying that Pakistan summoned the Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the Indian High Commission in Pakistan that day to lodge a strong protest against the "highly provocative and unacceptable behavior" taken by an Indian Navy vessel in Pakistans Exclusive Economic Zone on the 15th. The statement said that during the Pakistani Navys biennial routine exercises, the Indian warship took provocative actions at extremely close range towards a Pakistani warship, resulting in a contact between the two vessels. This action seriously violated the relevant agreements signed by both sides and could escalate regional tensions. The statement urged India to strictly abide by international law and bilateral agreements, especially those aimed at preventing maritime conflicts. The Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the Pakistani High Commission in India will lodge the same protest with the Indian Ministry of External Affairs.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: No comment on the Bank of Japans policy.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The Bank of Japan is expected to work closely with the government to implement appropriate monetary policy in order to achieve the 2% price target.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD flirts with the daily high but upside potential appears restricted

Daniel Rogers

Oct 17, 2022 14:43

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On the opening day of the new week, silver gains ground and moves away from a two-week low of $18.00, which was reached on Friday. The white metal maintains its bid tone heading into the European session and is currently flirting with the daily high in the zone between $18.50 and $18.45.

 

The XAG/USD appears to have ended a six-day losing run and halted its recent steep rejection decline from the 200-day exponential moving average, or its highest level since late June. The area between $18.90 and $19.00 should serve as a pivot point for intraday traders for any future upward movement.

 

Continued strength beyond may spark a short-covering rally and boost the XAG/USD back to the supply zone between $19.70 and $19.80. In the meantime, oscillators on the daily chart have just begun to move into negative territory. In addition, bearish technical signs on the 4-hour chart call for caution before positioning for additional gains.

 

However, sustained buying above the $20.00 psychological level will neutralize any near-term bearish view and pave the door for a further near-term uptrend. The XAG/USD could next ascend to the $20.50 intermediate resistance level en way to the $21.00 round number and the 200-day EMA, which is now located in the $21.15 area.

 

In contrast, the $18.00 level appears to have arisen as immediate strong support, which, if decisively breached, will be viewed as a new trigger for bearish traders. The subsequent key support is located at the yearly low, in the vicinity of the $17.55 region recorded in September, below which the XAG/USD might test the $17.00 round number.