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August 24th - At 11:50 AM on August 24th, after comprehensive assessment and emergency consultation, the China Meteorological Administration upgraded its emergency response to major meteorological disasters (typhoons and rainstorms) from Level IV to Level III (typhoons, rainstorms, and severe convective weather). The National Meteorological Center forecasts that, affected by the typhoon and the southwest monsoon, from August 24th to 26th, Fujian, Guangdong, Guangxi, and Hainan will experience heavy rainfall, with strong winds in the Beibu Gulf, Taiwan Strait, East China Sea, and coastal areas. Furthermore, on the 24th, Liaoning and Jilin provinces will experience localized heavy rainfall, and from the 25th, eastern Northwest China, North China, and Northeast China will experience significant rainfall from west to east, accompanied by severe convective weather. The National Meteorological Center continued to issue a blue typhoon warning, a yellow rainstorm warning, and a blue severe convective weather warning at 10:00 AM on the 24th.August 24th - According to the Financial Times, sources familiar with the matter revealed that Saudi Arabia has begun discussions with London insurance brokers regarding a state-backed war and political risk insurance scheme that could provide insurance coverage for ships in the region, as the conflict threatens Saudi trade. The Saudi Ministry of Finance is studying a plan that would allow ships and maritime cargo assets to obtain insurance at a lower cost through a so-called "insurance pool." This pool could provide up to 700 million Saudi riyals ($186 million) in commercial coverage for each insured event. Insurance and reinsurance companies would provide the first layer of insurance coverage, while each insured entity could receive hundreds of millions of dollars in additional coverage through backup support provided by the state-owned Saudi Export-Import Bank. In one version of the proposal under discussion, Saudi Reinsurance and Riyadh Reinsurance would lead a group of participating reinsurance companies, which could potentially include international companies.On August 24th, it was reported that on August 20th, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC) convened a meeting to promote the 6G future industry among central enterprises. The meeting emphasized that promoting the development of the 6G future industry is an inevitable requirement for central enterprises to implement national strategic plans and fulfill their strategic missions. Central enterprises should proactively align with national, local, and industry plans to accelerate the achievement of industrial development goals. They must address technological shortcomings, strengthen fundamental theoretical innovation, promote breakthroughs in key technologies and components, and build a secure and stable 6G industrial and supply chains. They must solidify the industrial foundation by strengthening innovation platform construction, cultivating market entities, and developing a talent pool to solidify the foundation for high-quality 6G development. They must accelerate international cooperation, build a diversified cooperation system, and comprehensively enhance their international influence. They must incubate application scenarios and actively promote the integration of 6G technology with the real economy, comprehensively build a first-mover advantage in the application ecosystem, and accelerate the realization of a 6G commercial closed loop. Prior to the meeting, attendees visited an exhibition showcasing the achievements of central enterprises in the 6G future industry. At the meeting, a task for the co-creation of 6G future industry scenarios among central enterprises was released.Q Technology (01478.HK): Gross profit for the first half of 2026 was approximately RMB 652 million, a slight decrease of 0.4% year-on-year.August 24 - According to the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS), a magnitude 5.0 earthquake struck the southern waters of the Philippines at approximately 11:59 a.m. on August 24. The epicenter was at a depth of 10 kilometers, and tremors were felt in nearby areas. No damage is expected. PHIVOLCS stated that this earthquake was an aftershock of several strong earthquakes that struck the southern Philippines in June.

S&P500 Forecast: Is 4300 the Next Stop on the Market’s Upward Climb ?

Steven Zhao

Feb 14, 2023 17:01



We said in a blog article ten days ago that the S&P500's (SPX) anticipated decline was probably over.


This was done on the assumption that the market will rise to the $4300–4500 range, which has been our major anticipation for months. We have used the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) in our study to influence our market prognosis, which we will go into more detail about in this post.


Yesterday, the S&P 500 touched the optimal third wave level: $4195 vs. 4199,... It should be on a modest fourth wave currently, hopefully reaching $4100+/-10, before a fifth wave aims for $4260+/-20. The index will then likely drop for many weeks before making a rebound to the optimal price of $4395+/-25. ”


Even though it fell short of our expectations, we were right since the index bottomed on Friday, February 10, at $4060, which is only 0.7% below the goal range we established ten days earlier.


The index is now in a rallying phase. In light of this, the green W-4 we predicted has probably reached its bottom, and the green W-5 to preferably $4260+/-10, maybe as high as $4295+/-10, should be under way. Look at Figure 1 below.

The $4300 is the main concern

According to the EWP, an impulse's third and fifth waves often reach the Fibonacci extensions of 161.8% and 200.00% of the length of the first wave, measured from the low of the second wave, respectively.


We concentrate on the green W-5 and the red W-iii in this instance. Red 161.80% extension is at $4295 and green 200% extension is at $4258. Therefore, we should anticipate W-5 of W-iii to target $4260-4295 as long as Friday, February 10, low at $4060 holds.