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February 19th - According to a Reuters survey, most economists predict the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its key interest rate to 1% by the end of June. Some economists expect the central bank to act as early as April due to heightened concerns about rising inflation and a weak yen. In the survey conducted from February 10th to 18th, all 76 economists said the BOJ would keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting. However, 58% of them expect the policy rate to reach 1% by the end of June, an increase from slightly over one-third in January. Of the 44 economists who specifically indicated the month of the next rate hike, 36% chose June, 20% chose April, and 34% chose July. Kento Minami, senior economist at Daiwa Securities, said the BOJ will continue to push for further rate hikes at a relatively rapid pace, taking into account the upside risks to inflation from expansionary fiscal policy and the impact of yen depreciation. Meanwhile, to curb further yen depreciation, two-thirds of the 29 respondents said they expect the authorities to intervene in the foreign exchange market again. Of these, 40% believed that the 160 mark was the most likely point to trigger intervention.On February 19th, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, in a media interview, teased the upcoming GTC 2026 conference, explicitly stating that a brand-new chip "unprecedented in the world" would be unveiled at the event. Currently, the specific model of the new product has not been disclosed, but it is widely speculated that it will likely come from two major chip series: one is a derivative of the Rubin series; the other is the next-generation Feynman series chip, which is described as a "revolutionary" product.New York silver futures rose above $78 per ounce, up 0.52% on the day.According to a Reuters poll, 58% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise its key interest rate to 1% by the end of June, compared to 36% in the January survey.According to a Reuters poll, all 76 economists expect the Bank of Japan to keep its key interest rate unchanged until March.

Hang Seng Index, ASX200, Nikkei 225: ASX 200 Gets Wall Street Support

Cory Russell

Feb 14, 2023 16:49


Market Overview

It was a mixed morning session. While there were no material stats from the US to deliver a bullish start to the Tuesday session, a US household survey eased fears of a hot US CPI Report.


According to a Monday Fed press release, the January 2023 Survey of Consumer Expectations showed that household growth expectations fell significantly in January while holding above pre-pandemic levels. The survey results eased fears of a hotter-than-expected January CPI Report, supporting a bullish US market session.


On Monday, the NASDAQ Composite Index rose by 1.48%, with the Dow gaining 1.11%. Investor optimism delivered early support.

ASX 200

The ASX 200 was up 0.30% this morning. Economic indicators from Australia delivered mixed results. While consumer confidence waned in February, business confidence rebounded in January, which was market positive. The NAB Business Confidence Index rose from -1 to +6, while the Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index fell by 6.9%, reversing a 5.0% rise from January.


Easing fears of a hotter-than-expected US CPI Report delivered a bullish session for the Dow on Monday, which provided ASX 200 support this morning. However, the Index saw a modest gain, with the RBA monetary policy outlook a headwind.


This morning, bank stocks had a mixed session. National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac Banking Corp (WBC) saw gains of 0.67% and 0.19%, respectively, while the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) and ANZ Group (ANZ) were down by 0.07% and 0.04%, respectively.


Mining stocks were also having a mixed session. Rio Tinto (RIO) fell by 0.15%, while BHP Group Ltd (BHP) and Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) were up 0.08% and 0.45%, respectively. Newcrest Mining (NCM) resumed its upward trend, rising by 0.63%.


Oil stocks were on the rise, with Woodside Energy Group (WDS) and Santos Ltd (STO) up by 0.55% and 0.50%, respectively. The current uptrend in crude oil prices delivered support. The upside came despite a morning pullback in crude oil prices. WTI was down 1.24% to $79.15.

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