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International oil prices rose for the third consecutive trading day. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market conversion of domestic and international crude oil prices.Spot gold and silver traded in a volatile range. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market prices of precious metals, converted between domestic and international prices.As of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum rose 0.43% and spot palladium rose 0.37%.The yield on Japans 5-year government bonds fell 3 basis points to 1.92%.On July 15th, CICC Research Report stated that the seasonally adjusted CPI in the United States fell by 0.4% month-on-month in June, and the year-on-year increase fell back to 3.5%; the core CPI showed zero month-on-month growth and rose by 2.6% year-on-year, both lower than market expectations. The decline in energy prices is the main reason for the cooling of inflation. Looking ahead, the situation between the United States and Iran has escalated again, and the outlook for energy inflation is subject to fluctuations. At the same time, the AI inflation effect is gradually emerging. The mismatch between supply and demand of upstream hardware, the price increase of software and peripheral products, and the boost to aggregate demand from AI capital expenditure may all make core inflation more sticky. In terms of policy, the cooling of inflation in June supports the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at the July meeting, but Wallers recent statements show [1] that the Federal Reserve is reassessing the possibility of "precautionary rate hikes". We maintain our baseline judgment of no rate hikes this year, but suggest that the threshold for rate hikes has already decreased. Once one or two overheated inflation data appear, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to further discuss the option of raising interest rates.

S&P 500 Pulls Back As Amazon And Alphabet Test New Lows

Alice Wang

Nov 02, 2022 16:35

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As traders get ready for a key Fed decision, stocks decline.


Today's JOLTs Job Openings data topped forecasts, which kept the S&P 500 under pressure. As prospects for a less aggressive Fed evaporate, strong employment market data is negative for markets.


Additionally, it seems that traders sought to lock in some gains before tomorrow's publication of the Fed Interest Rate Decision.


The S&P 500 was under a lot of stress today due to the share sales at Amazon and Alphabet, while the Nasdaq Composite was pushed close to the 10900 mark. Although Meta was able to recover from multi-year lows, it is still unclear whether the company will be able to sustainably increase its price momentum in the next trading sessions.


Stocks of basic materials and energy surged up at the same time as the commodities markets generally recovered. Freeport-McMoran, the world's largest copper producer, increased by nearly 4%, while Baker Hughes, a provider of oil services, increased by more than 3%.


Investors are expected to pay close attention to AMD earnings in the post-market session. The company's $5.57 billion in sales and $0.67 per share in profits fell short of analyst expectations in all categories. AMD anticipates reporting sales in the range of $5.2 billion and $5.8 billion for the fourth quarter. Despite the sales projection for the next quarter implying no increase, the stock was able to pick up positive momentum and climb beyond the $61 barrier.


After the business presented its quarterly report, which showed that net bookings for the previous twelve months were $7.4 billion, up 4% on an annual basis, the shares of Electronic Arts fell by 2% in the post-market session. Due to the strong U.S. dollar, the business said that it anticipated a negative FX effect of around $200 million.

Strong Resistance Awaited S&P 500 Near 3915

The S&P 500 retreated into the 3860 level after failing to hold above the support at 3915. In recent trading sessions, the resistance at 3915 was put to the test many times, demonstrating its durability. If the S&P 500 is able to hold above this point, it will pick up speed and proceed upward into the next resistance level at 3960. A rise over this point will allow for the testing of the 4000 level resistance.


To continue its drop, the S&P 500 has to close below the support around the 50 EMA at 3835 on the support side. 3805 is where the next support level is situated. S&P 500 will move in the direction of the next support at 3760 if it drops below this level.

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