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On May 18th, S&P Global Ratings stated in a report that JD.com (09618.HK) may face challenges in maintaining its growth momentum in the coming quarters. The companys core retail business achieved growth in the first quarter, benefiting from an expanding user base and increased shopping frequency, with overall performance exceeding S&Ps expectations. However, S&P analysts believe that JD.coms planned reduction in promotional activities could lead to a slowdown in retail growth, and user growth may also moderate. They added that competition in the food delivery industry may intensify again during the upcoming peak season. S&P stated that JD.com may need to conduct more targeted food delivery promotions to control the resulting losses.The bid-to-cover ratio for Japans 5-year government bonds was 3.22.The main contract for 2-year Treasury bond futures (TS) remained unchanged, the main contract for 5-year Treasury bond futures (TF) remained unchanged, the main contract for 10-year Treasury bond futures (T) fell by 0.03%, and the main contract for 30-year Treasury bond futures (TL) fell by 0.12%.At the close of the morning session, domestic futures contracts showed mixed results. Low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) rose nearly 8%, SC crude oil rose nearly 6%, synthetic rubber and fuel oil rose over 4%, container shipping to Europe rose nearly 4%, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) rose over 3%. On the downside, Shanghai silver fell over 9%, Shanghai tin and apples fell over 3%, and platinum and red dates fell over 2%.On May 18th, Kazuhiro Sasaki, Head of Research at Philips Securities Japan, stated that at current yield levels, foreign investors may find it easier to buy Japanese government bonds, and he wouldnt be surprised if domestic investors sold foreign bonds and bought Japanese government bonds instead. He said, "From an exchange rate perspective, foreign capital inflows into Japanese bonds could lead to a stronger yen, which could put some pressure on the Japanese stock market." Rising long-term Japanese government bond yields mean that policy rates may rise, which would be a negative factor for the stock market. If interest rates rise too quickly, it will have a significant negative impact on the stock market. This cautious sentiment is intensifying against the backdrop of inflation concerns triggered by rising oil prices.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Pull Back Zone of Interest

Cory Russell

Jul 27, 2022 14:31

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As the market appears to be preparing for the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, the S&P 500 has been drifting lower during Tuesday's trading session. But to be completely honest, everything right now revolves around the interest rate increase and, of course, the statement that follows the announcement. The remark can provide us with a little "heads up" as to where to go next. The 3900 level is a previous resistance barrier and, of course, a big, round, psychologically significant number, so I believe that at this point we need to keep an eye on it.


On the plus side, since it is a sizable, round, psychologically meaningful number and a level that we had previously attempted to break above, the 4000 level will be a place that people closely monitor.


The market may aim for the 4200 level if we can rise beyond that. I believe everything aligns at that point because the 200 Day EMA is also present at the 4200 level. The market is currently in a positive trend above that level and will continue to be "buy on the dip."


On the down side, if we do keep going, we might reach the 3800 level, which is a big, round number with psychological significance and a place where there has been some noise in the past. The 3700 level then enters the picture following that. I do think that over the course of the next few days, we should have a lot more information.