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Market news: Tesla (TSLA.O) reached a settlement in the 2019 California crash lawsuit before the jury trial.On September 17, local time on the 16th, it was learned that Ukrainian President Zelensky said he was willing to meet with US President Trump and Russian President Putin without preconditions, but he would not go to Moscow, the capital of the country that is attacking Ukraine. Zelensky also said that Russia is preparing two autumn offensives.On September 17, US President Trump said he spoke with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, a move aimed at easing tensions between the two economies amid friction over tariffs and New Delhis purchase of Russian oil. Trump posted on social media that he had a "very good" call with Modi and extended birthday wishes. He added, "Hes doing a great job. Thank you for supporting the efforts to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine!" The call came as the two countries resumed trade negotiations this week, with both sides describing the talks as positive and aimed at resetting bilateral relations after Trump imposed 50% tariffs on Indian goods last month. Earlier that day, Modi tweeted that India supports Trumps "initiative for a peaceful resolution of the conflict in Ukraine."On September 17, Scott Rubner, head of equity and equity derivatives strategy at Citadel Securities, said that the current rally that has pushed U.S. stocks to new highs may experience some volatility in the coming weeks, but is expected to end strongly before the end of the year. Rubner wrote that the S&P 500 has risen 17% from its low for the year, and short-term risks include overvaluation, seasonal fluctuations common in September and October, and possible selling by trend-following funds. However, these potential signs of weakness are unlikely to last, as the tailwinds supporting the stock markets rise - including corporate spending on artificial intelligence and demand from retail investors - will continue to power the market in the final months of 2025. "Stay positive on structural demand, but hedge against short-term risks, as September to October remains a fragile window," Rubner wrote, adding that investors should view short-term pullbacks as buying opportunities.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that Russias war economy relies on revenue from fossil fuels. To prevent this, the Commission will propose an accelerated phase-out of Russian fossil fuel imports.

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Weekly Forecasts – Bond Yields Hammer Equity Sentiment

Skylar Shaw

Apr 25, 2022 10:31

It's going to be a busy week for US firms reporting first-quarter profits, with familiar names like General Electric (GE), Microsoft (MSFT), Ford (F), Twitter (TWTR), Amazon (AMZN), and Apple (APPL) all due to release their latest quarterly financial reports. Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA) had drastically contrasting results this week, with Netflix (NFLX) falling over 35% on very low membership numbers and Tesla (TSLA) rising approximately 8% on strong sales and profitability. 


The fact that famed hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman sold his newly acquired Netflix position for a $400 million loss after the results does not bode well for other stay-at-home tech businesses. The earnings schedule for the next week might be full of surprises.

 

While the small print of firms' balance sheets will be scrutinized next week, the 800-pound monster in the room — US interest rates and government bond yields – will need even greater scrutiny. 


Market expectations for US rate rises have risen to the point that the market is now pricing in the Federal Reserve aggressively front-loading rate hikes, with four 50 basis point raises expected at the next four FOMC meetings. 


The last time the Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points was in May of 2000. While increased interest rates may help banks make more money, the IT industry, particularly the big names like Apple and Amazon, becomes less tempting as interest rates rise.


After Thursday's bearish engulfing candle erased the preceding three days' gains, the S&P 500 is expected to close the week flat. The 200-day simple moving average behaved as resistance, and the indices are currently trading below all three moving averages (20, 50, and 200), which is still another bad indicator. If support at 4,361 is firmly broken, 4,270 seems to be the next target.

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