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September 19th - A weekly survey by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) shows that investor sentiment has further deteriorated, falling to its lowest level since 2025, as oil prices remain high and the Federal Reserve raises interest rates for the first time since 2023. The latest survey released by the AAII on Friday shows that 53.3% of surveyed investors are bearish, more than half. Only 28.8% of investors are bullish, the lowest level in a year. Charles Rothbrook, vice president of the AAII, stated in a statement that overall, the difference between the number of bulls and bears in the market has fallen to -24.5%, a level that is "unusually low" and has been below the historical average of 6.5% for the ninth consecutive week. This is also the lowest level of this indicator since May 2025. The latest survey also shows that more than half of the respondents hold higher-than-normal cash allocations, indicating that investors are cautious. Among them, 19.1% of respondents said their cash allocations were "significantly higher than normal."September 19th - According to CBS, shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait continues to be disrupted due to the Houthi rebels recent expansion of influence along the Red Sea coast, resulting in a significant decline in Saudi export shipments. Data from shipping company Kpler shows that in the past seven days, only five ships carrying Saudi products have passed through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to leave the Red Sea, far below one-third of the average seven-day period this year. The previous weeks record was 11 ships in the week of July 24th. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is one of the most important channels for Saudi oil exports. The Houthi rebels currently state that navigation in the area is not threatened except for Saudi vessels, but the market is concerned that any attacks could reduce shipping companies willingness to use the route. Data shows that the volume of commodity tanker traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has been below normal levels in the past seven days, but has not been completely disrupted.According to Punchbowl, the latest estimates submitted by U.S. Central Command to the Congressional Defense Committee show that, as of September 3, the cost of U.S. military operations against Iran has reached $43.6 billion.According to CBS: Data shows that Saudi Arabia’s exports through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait remain sluggish, with weekly traffic volume since early August less than a third of the seven-day average this year.Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf: The era of US F-35 and F-15 fighter jets being tracked and attacked has begun. "What used to be a terrible nightmare has now become a reality."

Rising wedge confirmation lures XAG/USD bears towards $22.00, according to Silver Price Analysis

Daniel Rogers

Mar 22, 2023 14:43

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Silver price (XAG/USD) remains depressed around $22.30, circling intraday lows during a three-day downtrend entering Wednesday's European session.

 

The recent decline of the precious metal may be attributable to the affirmation of a two-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern and the bearish MACD signals.

 

Consequently, the price is poised to test the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) support level near $21.50 before falling to its theoretical target of $17.10.

 

Notably, the swing high from late February and the current monthly low, respectively $22.00 and $19.90, can serve as additional downside filters during the XAG/USD's continued decline.

 

In contrast, the wedge's lower line functions as immediate resistance for the Silver price near $22.70.

 

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the metal's February-March decline, also known as the "golden Fibonacci ratio," could then challenge Silver purchasers near $22.85.

 

In the event that the XAG/USD remains firmer than $22.85, the top line of the aforementioned bearish chart pattern will join the late January swing low to emphasize $23.00 as a formidable barrier for the Silver bulls to overcome before regaining control.