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The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects natural gas prices at $3.59 per barrel in 2026, down from a previous forecast of $4.17 per barrel.On January 14th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, which stated that it predicts electricity consumption will increase by 1% in 2026 and 3% in 2027. This would be the first consecutive four-year period of growth since 2005-07, and the strongest four-year period since the turn of the century. In its forecast, the increase in electricity consumption is primarily driven by growing electricity demand from the commercial and industrial sectors. Solar power will contribute the largest increase in generation during the forecast period. It expects an additional 69 gigawatts of solar capacity to be installed during the forecast period, driving a 21% increase in solar power generation in both 2026 and 2027. It expects natural gas power generation to remain flat in 2026 and increase by 1% in 2027. Coal-fired power generation is expected to decline by 9% in 2026, followed by a decline of less than 1% in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects global oil production at 107.7 million barrels per day in 2026, up from the previous forecast of 107.4 million barrels per day; and projects production at 108.2 million barrels per day in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects U.S. oil demand at 20.6 million barrels per day in 2026, unchanged from the previous forecast; and projects demand at 20.7 million barrels per day in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects global oil demand at 104.8 million barrels per day in 2026, down from the previous forecast of 105.2 million barrels per day; and projects demand at 106.1 million barrels per day in 2027.

Rising wedge confirmation lures XAG/USD bears towards $22.00, according to Silver Price Analysis

Daniel Rogers

Mar 22, 2023 14:43

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Silver price (XAG/USD) remains depressed around $22.30, circling intraday lows during a three-day downtrend entering Wednesday's European session.

 

The recent decline of the precious metal may be attributable to the affirmation of a two-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern and the bearish MACD signals.

 

Consequently, the price is poised to test the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) support level near $21.50 before falling to its theoretical target of $17.10.

 

Notably, the swing high from late February and the current monthly low, respectively $22.00 and $19.90, can serve as additional downside filters during the XAG/USD's continued decline.

 

In contrast, the wedge's lower line functions as immediate resistance for the Silver price near $22.70.

 

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the metal's February-March decline, also known as the "golden Fibonacci ratio," could then challenge Silver purchasers near $22.85.

 

In the event that the XAG/USD remains firmer than $22.85, the top line of the aforementioned bearish chart pattern will join the late January swing low to emphasize $23.00 as a formidable barrier for the Silver bulls to overcome before regaining control.