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On May 22, Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Waller stated on Friday that given the growing risks of inflation, the Fed should no longer consider further interest rate cuts as a default plan. This comes after Wallers support for rate cuts in January. In a speech, Waller said that with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, rising costs of oil and other commodities are increasingly likely to trigger broader and more persistent inflation in the economy. He stated that it is time for the Fed to stop signaling that its next move is most likely another rate cut. Waller indicated that maintaining interest rates in the current range of 3.5% to 3.75% is likely the right approach for the foreseeable future. He added, "If inflation does not subside quickly, I cannot rule out the possibility of future rate hikes."Federal Reserve Governor Waller: No changes to policy rates should be expected in the near term; the outcome will heavily depend on the duration of the conflict in Iran. Inflation faces the risk of becoming more persistent, and price pressures are increasing.Federal Reserve Governor Waller: The current stance is to keep interest rates stable in the near term.Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If inflation expectations lose their anchor, interest rates will need to be raised.The US April Conference Board Leading Economic Index monthly rate, the final May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and the final one-year inflation expectations will be released in ten minutes; Federal Reserve Governor Waller will also speak in ten minutes.

Rising wedge confirmation lures XAG/USD bears towards $22.00, according to Silver Price Analysis

Daniel Rogers

Mar 22, 2023 14:43

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Silver price (XAG/USD) remains depressed around $22.30, circling intraday lows during a three-day downtrend entering Wednesday's European session.

 

The recent decline of the precious metal may be attributable to the affirmation of a two-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern and the bearish MACD signals.

 

Consequently, the price is poised to test the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) support level near $21.50 before falling to its theoretical target of $17.10.

 

Notably, the swing high from late February and the current monthly low, respectively $22.00 and $19.90, can serve as additional downside filters during the XAG/USD's continued decline.

 

In contrast, the wedge's lower line functions as immediate resistance for the Silver price near $22.70.

 

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the metal's February-March decline, also known as the "golden Fibonacci ratio," could then challenge Silver purchasers near $22.85.

 

In the event that the XAG/USD remains firmer than $22.85, the top line of the aforementioned bearish chart pattern will join the late January swing low to emphasize $23.00 as a formidable barrier for the Silver bulls to overcome before regaining control.


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