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February 19th - Federal Reserve officials reiterated their concerns about inflation, with several policymakers suggesting that the central bank may need to raise interest rates if inflation persists above target. The minutes of the Feds January meeting revealed that "several participants indicated they would have supported a two-way description of the Committees future interest rate decisions, reflecting that raising the target range for the federal funds rate might be appropriate if inflation remains above target." The minutes also showed that "the vast majority of participants judged that downside risks to employment had eased in recent months, but risks to persistent inflation remained." According to the latest minutes, one group of policymakers believed that further rate cuts were unlikely, at least in the near term. The minutes stated: "Several participants cautioned that further easing of policy against the backdrop of high inflation readings could be misinterpreted as a weakening of policymakers commitment to the 2% inflation target."February 19th - The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting revealed that several participants believed further interest rate cuts were more likely if inflation fell as they expected, but most indicated that inflation was likely to progress more slowly than generally anticipated. At its January meeting, the FOMC voted 10-2 to maintain the benchmark federal funds rate in the 3.5%-3.75% range. Waller and Milan voted against a 25 basis point cut. The committee removed wording regarding increased downside risks to employment from the previous three statements. Data released since the Feds January meeting shows accelerating economic growth, slowing inflation, and a stabilizing labor market. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose slightly in January, influenced by lower energy costs. The core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose in line with expectations.Federal Reserve meeting minutes: Federal Reserve staff have a stronger outlook on economic activity than in December, expecting inflation to be slightly higher than previously anticipated and the unemployment rate to gradually decline starting in 2026.Federal Reserve meeting minutes: A minority of participants favored a rate cut in January.Federal Reserve meeting minutes: Several participants believed that further rate cuts could undermine market perception of the commitment to the inflation target.

Rising wedge confirmation lures XAG/USD bears towards $22.00, according to Silver Price Analysis

Daniel Rogers

Mar 22, 2023 14:43

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Silver price (XAG/USD) remains depressed around $22.30, circling intraday lows during a three-day downtrend entering Wednesday's European session.

 

The recent decline of the precious metal may be attributable to the affirmation of a two-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern and the bearish MACD signals.

 

Consequently, the price is poised to test the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) support level near $21.50 before falling to its theoretical target of $17.10.

 

Notably, the swing high from late February and the current monthly low, respectively $22.00 and $19.90, can serve as additional downside filters during the XAG/USD's continued decline.

 

In contrast, the wedge's lower line functions as immediate resistance for the Silver price near $22.70.

 

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the metal's February-March decline, also known as the "golden Fibonacci ratio," could then challenge Silver purchasers near $22.85.

 

In the event that the XAG/USD remains firmer than $22.85, the top line of the aforementioned bearish chart pattern will join the late January swing low to emphasize $23.00 as a formidable barrier for the Silver bulls to overcome before regaining control.