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German Chancellor Merz: Germany will reduce the tax on gasoline and diesel by approximately 17 euro cents per liter. This measure is scheduled to take effect on October 1st and will remain in effect until the end of 2026.On September 19th, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated that the U.S. economy remains strong and continues to grow. Schmid said he agrees with Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warshs explanation for the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, namely that the recent increase is primarily driven by capital demand from artificial intelligence investments and geopolitical challenges, rather than solely by monetary policy factors. Schmid also believes that the U.S. Treasurys Treasury repurchase program will not increase the difficulty for the Federal Reserve in implementing monetary policy.Russian President Vladimir Putin: The Ukrainian authorities did not hold elections in their own country, but tried to prevent Russia from holding elections.On September 19, NATOs Supreme Allied Military Commander, U.S. Air Force General Alex Greenkevich, participated in a virtual briefing by the U.S. Department of Defense on Friday regarding an assessment of U.S. troop deployments in Europe. His spokesperson stated that Greenkevich, in his capacity as Commander of U.S. European Command, advised Pentagon policy director Elbridge Colby on the ongoing assessment of U.S. force deployments in Europe. The spokesperson noted that the assessment was conducted against the backdrop of European countries assuming increasing defense responsibilities, while NATO continues to strengthen its alliance and transition towards a "NATO 3.0" phase.September 19th - According to the Washington Post, multiple U.S. officials revealed that the actual number of U.S. military deaths since the start of the conflict with Iran may be higher than the Pentagons publicly released figures. Currently, the Pentagons casualty database shows 18 U.S. military personnel dead, but five informed officials say the actual death toll is at least 22, and another official says it could be 23, with some deaths not listed in the public database. Officials stated that the undisclosed deaths involve U.S. military personnel who died while on missions in the Middle East, but their identities, dates, and causes have not been disclosed. The Pentagon declined to comment on the discrepancies in casualty statistics. The report also stated that since the conflict began on February 28th, more than 820 U.S. military personnel have been injured, many suffering brain injuries as a result of Iranian attacks on U.S. bases.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD nears $1,980 as USD Index extends losses in response to the Fed's dovish guidance

Daniel Rogers

Mar 23, 2023 14:48

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In the Asian session, the gold price (XAU / USD) is gaining strength to surpass the immediate resistance of $1,980.00. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) resumed its decline and fears of a US banking crisis revived, demand for the precious metal increased.

 

As the Federal Reserve (Fed) has come extremely close to the terminal rate, which would be restrictive enough to bring down U.S. inflation to 2%, the USD Index is seeking to retest its six-month low below 102.000. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated in his commentary that "additional policy tightening may be necessary."

 

Investors should be aware of the fact that the US banking crisis has bolstered the status of gold as a safe-haven asset. However, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's reassurance of the safety of all bank deposits quelled concerns of a banking crisis.

 

As of Wednesday, when US Yellen stated that the government "is not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits," the situation appears to have changed. This has also increased demand for United States government bonds. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have decreased to near 3.45%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures have rebounded strongly after a steep decline on Wednesday, indicating an improvement in risk appetite. Nonetheless, caution still prevails as US banks' strict credit conditions will have a long-term impact. According to the Fed's commentary, the US banking system is solid and resilient, but US banks will be more cautious in their lending to households and businesses.