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July 11th - According to the official WeChat account of Hangzhou Metro, due to the impact of Typhoon Bavi (No. 9), Hangzhou City has activated a Level I typhoon emergency response. Starting at 6:00 AM on July 12th, the entire metro network will be suspended, with the resumption time to be announced separately.On July 11, Claudio Descalzi, CEO of Eni, the Italian state-owned holding group, stated that if the Middle East conflict continues, the global oil market will break through the current range of approximately $80 to $100 per barrel by the first quarter of 2027 at the latest, pushing up inflation and reducing energy demand. In an interview published Saturday in Il Sole 24 Ore, Descalzi said that the release of strategic reserves has so far helped keep crude oil prices roughly within this range, but this strategy is facing increasing risks because global reserves are finite. “The long-term solution is to enhance energy security through the diversification of supply sources and routes,” he said. Descalzi noted that global oil inventories have fallen by an average of 3.8 million barrels per day due to disruptions related to the war with Iran that began at the end of February, accelerating to an average of 4.6 million barrels per day in May. He stated that countries should focus on producers in North Africa and sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, while reducing reliance on controlled maritime routes.July 11th - Industry insiders stated that historically, during periods of high demand in the memory chip industry, manufacturers tend to simultaneously expand production capacity, leading to a concentrated release of new capacity, a price crash, and industry-wide losses. Subsequently, manufacturers collectively reduce capital expenditures, and when demand recovers, another boom occurs – this cycle constitutes the industrys unique cyclical pattern. Since reaching its peak in late June, US memory chip stocks have experienced a collective correction due to concerns about overcapacity, triggered by news such as Metas sale of computing power. Data shows that industry leaders such as SanDisk, Micron Technology, Seagate Technology, and Western Digital have all seen their stock prices fall by more than 20% in the past few weeks. Analysts point out that the underlying logic supporting current demand for memory chips is facing a reassessment, with the core variable being whether the technological gap between various AI large-scale models will continue to narrow. Analysts also pointed out that the memory chip industry is undergoing a profound change in its business model: in the past, memory was more like a commodity, with prices fluctuating with the market, and contracts were mostly on a quarterly or annual basis; now, cloud vendors and AI data centers are increasingly signing long-term supply agreements with original equipment manufacturers for three to five years, with price ranges, minimum purchase quantities, and customer deposits, in order to ensure critical supply.July 11 - Due to the impact of Typhoon Bavi, the ninth typhoon of this year, the Hangzhou Bay Bridge will be closed in both directions starting at 19:30 today, prohibiting all vehicles from passing through.The CEO of Italian oil company Eni said that if the Middle East conflict continues, the oil market may break out of its current range in early 2027.

Ripple Lawsuit Victory Looms After Big Win Versus SEC

Skylar Shaw

Apr 14, 2022 10:53


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According to legal commentators, Ripple won a significant victory in its case against the SEC this week.


A court ordered the SEC to reveal records that might show it has selectively enforced cryptocurrency restrictions.


If the SEC finally settles, XRP might see a significant increase.

What went wrong?

Ripple, the creator of the XRP blockchain, whose native token is XRP, has won a significant victory in its continuing legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).


In December 2021, the SEC filed a lawsuit against Ripple for allegedly selling unregistered securities, arguing that XRP is a security rather than a commodity.


The SEC's application for reconsideration of the deliberative process privilege surrounding a collection of emails and draft versions of a speech given by then-SEC Director William Hinman in June 2018 was refused by the court presiding over the SEC's action against Ripple. To put it another way, the SEC will now be required to share these communications as well as draft copies of the 2018 address.

What is the significance of this?

Earlier this month, the organization Empowerment Oversight made public a different collection of internal SEC emails (obtained via a freedom of information act request) that showed evidence of unlawful behavior by SEC employees engaged in the Ripple litigation and revealed a conflict of interest.


Former SEC Director William Hinman is informed in emails disclosed by Empowerment Oversight about a possible conflict of interest with the Ripple litigation since his prior company, Simpson Thacher, had sought to promote ethereum.


The yet-to-be-released emails/draft versions connected to Hinman's 2018 speech, according to Empowerment Oversight, may show that the SEC was selectively enforcing restrictions in the cryptocurrency business. They might also show that Hinman was aware of a conflict of interest when the case against Ripple was filed.


According to one defense attorney acquainted with the case, the judge's decision was a "pretty major success for Ripple." The SEC now has 14 days (starting April 11) to submit an objection to the decision.


Prior to the finding that the SEC must give over these information, John Deaton, a defense attorney representing 65,000 XRP holders on Ripple's side in the litigation, said that he did not believe the SEC would refuse to do so.


"I anticipate the lawsuit closes in 60-90 days from that judgment (or potentially sooner) if we receive a determination that they (the emails/draft version of the speech) must be given over," he added.

XRP Is Still Waiting To Rally

XRP has failed to show major signs of life, despite the fact that the tide seems to be turning in Ripple's favor in its continuing litigation with the SEC, and the SEC may soon elect to settle.


Indeed, XRP/USD has been under pressure in recent weeks, sliding 20% from March highs over 0.90 to current lows in the low 0.70s, coinciding with a larger sell-off in cryptocurrency markets.


However, the bulls may be able to take advantage of this situation. Some crypto specialists believe that if the SEC settles its lawsuit against Ripple in the future weeks/months, XRP might see a big rise.


Bulls are expecting XRP to break out to new year-to-date highs, maybe over $1.0, which could pave the way for a run to H2 2021 highs in the mid $1.30s/$1.40 range.


Further increases would be difficult to achieve in the absence of a wider recovery in crypto market sentiment, which does not seem to be imminent given the high level of inflation in the US and other major nations, implying substantial central bank rate rises ahead.