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Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock will hold a monetary policy press conference in ten minutes.The yield on Japans 20-year government bond fell 1.0 basis point to 3.135%.March 17th - Beijing released its economic performance data for January and February. New residential housing sales reached 664,000 square meters, a 10.9% increase, primarily driven by concentrated sales of affordable housing. In January and February, new commercial housing sales in Beijing totaled 934,000 square meters, a 1.3% year-on-year decrease, a significant narrowing of 5.6 percentage points compared to the 6.9% decrease for the whole of last year.March 17th - Thailands Deputy Prime Minister stated on Tuesday that Thailand has discussed the possibility of purchasing crude oil with the Russian government. He said the Thai Foreign Minister raised the issue at a meeting in Europe on Monday, and it is understood that negotiations are underway regarding the purchase of Russian crude oil. The Thai government will strive to keep domestic diesel prices capped at 33 baht (US$1.02) per liter.On March 17th, Rakuten Securities strategist Masayuki Kubota stated that if oil prices remain in the $90 per barrel range, Japanese companies willingness to invest in capital expenditures and private consumption are likely to remain robust. In this scenario, the negative and positive effects of rising energy costs will offset each other, limiting the drag on corporate profits. He believes that under this scenario, there is no need to revise his forecast of over 15% net profit growth for companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchanges main board for the fiscal year ending March 2027.

Prior to UK/US PMI, GBP/USD Justifies Monday's Bearish Doji to Drop to 1.2000

Alina Haynes

Feb 21, 2023 15:18

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In the early hours of Tuesday morning, GBP/USD retests intraday lows at 1.2020 as traders celebrate the return of Western traders after a lengthy weekend owing to American holidays. In addition to the return of the entire market, the traders of the Cable pair express concern over the Brexit deal negotiations and worries regarding the trust of small industries.

 

Late on Monday, the UK Times claimed that British Ministers are willing to resign over (Prime Minister) Rishi Sunak's Brexit proposal if it undermines Northern Ireland's position inside the United Kingdom. The Times said that "the hostility of euroskeptic Tory lawmakers to the accord is rising."

 

In another article, The Times quotes a Barclay's industrial poll to show that small business owners are becoming more hopeful about the future. The same adds to evidence that the United Kingdom's economic outlook may not be as grim as feared and stated in the press.

 

Concerns of a monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England (BoE) appear to be weighing on the GBP/USD exchange rate, as seen by the week's mixed British results and the robust American data.

 

Notwithstanding this, yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes are near their highest levels since early November 2022, with bids hanging around 3.86 percent.

 

Meanwhile, geopolitical concerns emanating from China and Russia appear to enhance the safe-haven demand for the US Dollar and weigh on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

The initial figures of the S&P Global PMIs for February will be crucial for GBP/USD traders. To stabilize prices, however, favorable news from the United Kingdom is essential, since recent US Treasury bond yield movements have favored the US Dollar ahead of the most critical US PMIs.


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