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On April 4th, local time, Chief U.S. District Judge James Boasberg of the District of Columbia rejected the Justice Departments request to retry the criminal case against Jerome Powell, after his ruling blocked a subpoena issued in connection with the criminal investigation. In his March 13th ruling, Boasberg stated that the subpoena issued to the Federal Reserve Board in January of last year was for improper purposes, aimed at forcing Powell to agree to Trumps conditions demanding a swift interest rate cut or his resignation. The subpoena for Powell was issued by Washington D.C.s top federal prosecutor, Jeanine Piro (a staunch Trump supporter), who has pledged to continue the investigation and stated that her office is prepared to appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. Sources indicate that senior Justice Department officials support the appeal decision. This appeal could delay the confirmation of Kevin Warshs nomination as Federal Reserve Chair. Senator Thom Tillis, a Republican member of the Senate Banking Committee, has criticized the investigation into Powell and has vowed to continue blocking Warshs nomination while the appeal process continues.April 4th - According to Oxford Economics, the US March employment figures significantly overestimated the strength of the pre-war job market, as the data reflected declines in both the labor force and household employment. Job growth will slow as the war in Iran impacts real economic activity. The wars impact on inflation is immediate, but its negative effects on consumer spending, business investment, and hiring will become more apparent in the coming months. Oxford Economics baseline forecast remains that the Federal Reserve will ignore the one-off shock of rising oil prices this year and cut interest rates twice to guard against any future weakness in the labor market.A U.S. judge refused to reconsider the ruling in the investigation against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.April 4th - According to information obtained from Iran on the 3rd local time, a US F-16 fighter jet issued an emergency signal and was scheduled to make an emergency landing in Saudi Arabia. The specific reason for the forced landing is currently unclear.GFZ (German Center for Geosciences): A 5.93-magnitude earthquake struck the Hindu Kush region of Afghanistan.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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