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The yield on UK two-year government bonds fell by about 2 basis points to 3.565%, the lowest level since August 2024.On Tuesday, February 17th, the German DAX 30 index opened down 44.01 points, or 0.18%, at 24768.49; the UK FTSE 100 index opened up 25.41 points, or 0.24%, at 10499.10; and the French CAC 40 index opened up 1.70 points, or 0.02%, at 8318.20. The Stoxx 50 index opened down 5.83 points, or 0.10%, at 5973.05 on Tuesday, February 17; the Spanish IBEX 35 index opened down 11.91 points, or 0.07%, at 17836.09 on Tuesday, February 17; and the Italian FTSE MIB index opened down 102.70 points, or 0.23%, at 45316.50 on Tuesday, February 17.February 17th - According to data from the Comprehensive Transportation Spring Festival Travel Task Force, on February 16th, 2026 (the 15th day of the Spring Festival travel rush, the 29th day of the twelfth lunar month, Monday), the total number of cross-regional passenger flows in the whole society was 194 million, a decrease of 32.2% compared with the previous day and a decrease of 5% compared with the same period in 2025 (Tuesday).February 17th - Data shows that the UK labor market has contracted again, with the unemployment rate reaching its highest level since 2015 (excluding data during the pandemic), and wage growth slowing again. This data may reinforce the belief that the Bank of England could cut interest rates as early as next month. Earlier this month, the central bank stated that after unexpectedly strong growth, private sector wage growth is beginning to reflect the weakness in the labor market. Currently, traders have fully priced in two rate cuts from the Bank of England this year, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in March rising to 73%.UK interest rate futures prices indicate a 73% probability that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March, compared to about 65% before the release of labor market data.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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