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May 8th - U.S. job growth may have slowed in April as the boost from temporary factors such as warmer weather and striking healthcare workers returning to work faded, but this does not signify a substantial change in the labor market, with the unemployment rate expected to remain stable at 4.3%. Data is also expected to show faster wage growth last month, further reinforcing financial market expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until 2027. A Reuters poll shows economists attribute the volatility in employment data in part to adjustments this year to the "birth-death model," which estimates the number of jobs gained or lost due to business openings and closures. Some say that the large turnover of businesses has made it difficult for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which compiles the employment report, to estimate job creation associated with new businesses. In addition, weather, strikes, government layoffs, and significant labor force shifts caused by the Trump administrations crackdown on illegal immigration have also exacerbated the volatility. Economists recommend referring to a three-month moving average of employment data for a better understanding of the labor market. Citigroup economist Veronica Clark stated that averaging the data from recent months still shows moderate positive job growth. Given that significant changes in immigration flows have already led to a sharp decline in average job growth this year, this alone is not a cause for concern.Toyota: Toyota will work with its suppliers to deal with the U.S. tariff issue, but in the past fiscal year, the actual burden fell mainly on Toyota.According to Al Arabiya: Saudi Arabia has stated that it has not allowed other countries to use its airspace for offensive operations.JPMorgan Chase raised its target price for Airbnb (ABNB.O) from $130 to $140.According to Irans Mehr News Agency, flights between Dubai and Abu Dhabi have been suspended due to the activation of the UAEs air defense system.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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