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Iraqs State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) has awarded a contract for the export of high-sulfur fuel oil, with all shipments to be exported via Syria.March 31 – U.S. job openings declined in February, and hiring slowed significantly, indicating that labor demand had cooled before the additional uncertainty caused by the war in Iran. Data released Tuesday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that job openings fell to 6.88 million from an upwardly revised 7.24 million in January. The simultaneous slowdown in both hiring and openings, after a rebound in job openings at the beginning of the year, suggests that businesses are becoming more cautious about hiring after a year of near-zero growth. Looking ahead, the surge in oil prices triggered by the war could push up business operating costs and hinder further hiring. The decline in job openings was primarily driven by a slowdown in accommodation and food services, healthcare and social assistance, and manufacturing. The hiring rate fell to its lowest level since April 2020, while the layoff rate rose slightly. Although large companies, including Meta and Oracle, are proceeding with large-scale layoffs to reallocate resources to investments in artificial intelligence, the overall level of layoffs in the economy remains relatively modest.The head of exploration and production at Petrobras, Brazils state-owned oil company, said the companys daily crude oil production reached 2.9 million barrels in March.On March 31, the Conference Boards Consumer Confidence Index rose slightly by 0.8 points to 91.8 in March, up from 91.0 in February. The Current Situation Index, based on consumers assessment of current business and labor market conditions, rose 4.6 points to 123.3. The Expectations Index fell 1.7 points to 70.9. Cost pressures from tariff transmission and soaring oil prices have already been reflected in other indicators such as inflation expectations. "Consumer confidence rose slightly again in March, mainly as improved views on current conditions offset a slight weakening in future expectations," said Dana M. Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board. "Three of the five sub-indices improved in March, marking the second consecutive month of slight increases in overall confidence. However, the index is still trending downward overall since 2021." The data also showed that against the backdrop of oil price shocks triggered by the Iran war, consumers average and median expectations for inflation over the next 12 months rose sharply in March to their highest level since August 2025. The net percentage of consumers who believe interest rates will rise in the next 12 months jumped from 34.9% to 42.4%.New York silver futures rose 5.00% on the day, currently trading at $74.11 per ounce.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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