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The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $223 million from six counterparties in its fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.ECB Governing Council member Eskeriva: We have not seen a significant change in inflation expectations.April 16 (Reuters) – Four sources said European Central Bank policymakers are cautious about raising interest rates as early as this month, as they have not yet seen conclusive evidence that energy-driven inflationary shocks are spreading to broader sectors or becoming entrenched. The sources said a “second wave” of inflation is still possible, and policy tightening remains on the agenda, but concrete evidence is needed before action can be taken. One source said, “Long-term inflation expectations have not risen, domestic inflation is slowing, and rising gasoline prices are squeezing disposable income, which is effectively limiting businesses’ ability to raise prices.” The source added, “I can’t tell you what we’ll do on April 30, but as of now, I haven’t seen any evidence to support a rate hike.” The sources also said the relatively weak labor market limits workers’ room to demand higher wages. Currently, the market estimates only a one-in-five chance of a rate hike in April, but has fully priced in a June hike and expects another rate hike in the fall.According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House and the U.S. military released an audio warning to ships, informing them not to breach the blockade of Iranian ports and coastal areas. In a maritime radio call, a U.S. military officer stated that any vessel attempting to enter or leave Iranian ports would be boarded, intercepted, and detained.On April 16th, sources revealed that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating a series of crude oil futures trades with "unusually precise timing" preceding Trumps shift in policy regarding war with Iran. The CFTC is leading the investigation into crude oil futures trading on the CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange platforms and has requested data from both exchanges, including the so-called "Tag 50" identifier used to identify trading entities. On March 23rd, billions of dollars worth of crude oil and stock index futures were traded 15 minutes before Trump announced a postponement of his previously threatened strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure. Trumps subsequent statement caused a plunge in oil prices and a sharp rise in the stock market. A similar situation occurred on April 7th before Trump announced a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran. Hours before the announcement, futures trading activity increased, and the subsequent news triggered a drop in oil and natural gas prices.

Prediction for Silver Prices - Silver prices will rise when the dollar falls on bad employment reports

Alina Haynes

May 20, 2022 10:12

As poor employment data pointed to a possible slowdown of economic development, silver prices increased. Due to gold's attraction as a safe haven, its price rises when rates and the currency fall.

 

The dollar declines due to weaker-than-expected employment statistics. In the midst of a market sell-off, investors flocked to bonds, causing benchmark rates to decline. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell by 7 basis points.

 

Oil prices increase in anticipation of a European embargo on Russian oil. This circumstance has thwarted proposals to loosen limits in Shanghai, which would have boosted demand.

 

Unemployment claims unexpectedly reached their highest level since January last week. Initial claims increased by 21,000 from the previous week, reaching 218 000. In contrast, ongoing claims fell to 1.32 million, the lowest level since 1969.

 

Greater interest rates lower labor demand. The Fed's intentions to quickly raise rates to rein in inflation may loosen the labor market, leading to an increase in demand relative to job supply.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver has reached a one-week high and is approaching the $22 mark. A fall in prices will find support at the $21 midpoint, which would benefit optimistic traders. A bigger breach below that level might alter the picture to negative.

 

Near the 10-day moving average of $21.5, there is support. Near the $22 level, we see resistance. The short-term momentum is bullish, since the fast stochastic signaled a buy crossing.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a positive direction, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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