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On May 21st, Tesla officially announced its latest plans for a supervised version of Full Self-Driving (FSD), mentioning that this version can be used in China. Recently, Tesla China posted several job openings related to autonomous driving testing, sparking speculation within the industry about the accelerated rollout of FSD in the Chinese market. A reporter, posing as a consumer, contacted Teslas official customer service, who replied: "The 64,000 RMB Autopilot feature is not compatible with all vehicles; some are only compatible with the 32,000 RMB Enhanced Autopilot feature. The company is actively pursuing the approval process in accordance with relevant national regulations, and will push the approval to domestic customers as soon as possible."Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: On May 20th, COMEX gold initially fell before rising, surging intraday to close at $4546.2 per ounce, a gain of 0.78%. Domestic SHFE gold futures opened higher and continued to rise in the night session, closing at 995.92 yuan per gram, a gain of 0.88%. 1. Geopolitically, Trump stated on Wednesday that negotiations between the US and Iran had entered the "final stage," reiterating that war would be "very rapid." Meanwhile, media reports indicated that some oil tankers had begun to re-enter the Strait of Hormuz. According to reports, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated on Wednesday that 26 ships, including oil tankers, container ships, and other merchant vessels, had passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, coordinated with Iran. Influenced by this news, the US dollar and US Treasury yields fell slightly, providing support for gold. However, given the relatively volatile geopolitical news, the impact of further developments on gold prices should be closely monitored. 2. The minutes of the Federal Reserves April policy meeting, released yesterday, showed that participants generally believed that given persistently high inflation data and the uncertainty surrounding the duration of the Middle East conflict and its economic impact, the period of remaining on hold might exceed previous expectations. If the US-Iran conflict keeps inflation high, a rate hike might indeed be necessary. However, since previous expectations for a rate hike had already been partially priced in, the impact on gold prices was limited. Looking ahead, the assessment of the US-Iran conflict remains the dominant factor for gold. Until these uncertainties are effectively resolved, investors should lower their expectations for gold prices in the first half of the year.According to Nippon Television News, Japan is considering proposing a supplementary budget of approximately 3 trillion yen.Hong Kong-listed tech stocks performed poorly, with Bilibili (09626.HK) falling more than 5%, Baidu (09888.HK) falling more than 3%, and Kuaishou (01024.HK), Alibaba (09988.HK), and others following suit.On May 21, Bank of Japan policy board member Junko Koeda expressed support for raising the benchmark interest rate, the latest sign that momentum is building for action as early as next month. "I believe that potential inflation could exceed 2% in the future," Koeda said on Thursday in a speech to local business leaders in Fukuoka, western Japan. "Therefore, I believe it is reasonable for the Bank of Japan to raise the policy rate at an appropriate pace to address high inflation, while considering the pros and cons to the economy." At the April policy meeting, Koeda was one of the majority members who voted to keep the rate unchanged; that meeting saw a 6-3 vote, the largest split since Governor Kazuo Ueda took office. While Koeda did not specify her preferred timing for the next move, her comments likely support speculation that the authorities will raise rates at the next policy decision on June 16. She is the second member in the majority to hint at a possible future rate hike, after the Bank of Japan stated earlier this month that the authorities should raise rates "at the earliest possible stage" as long as the economy remains stable.

Oil prices decline as the yuan increases and China's COVID-19 troubles intensify

Skylar Williams

Oct 11, 2022 11:35

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Oil prices fell by almost 2% on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous session, as a stronger U.S. dollar and an increase in COVID-19 cases in China fuelled fears of a global demand slowdown.


At 00:31 GMT, Brent crude futures fell 57 cents, or 0.6%, to $95.62 a barrel, after falling $1.73 in the previous session.


The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude decreased by 55 cents, or 0.6%, to $90.58 a barrel, following a loss of $1.51 in the previous session.


The U.S. dollar rose for the fourth straight session on Monday as investors anticipated the release of high inflation statistics this week, resulting in the belief that the Federal Reserve will retain its aggressive monetary policy.


A strong dollar reduces the demand for oil by increasing its price for overseas consumers.


Monday, Lael Brainard, vice chair of the Federal Reserve, warned that recent rate hikes have begun to slow the economy and that the full impact of tighter policy will not be felt for several months.


ANZ Research analysts noted in a research, "Strong employment data has strengthened expectations for another 75 basis point rate hike at the Fed's meeting next month, generating negative risk for global oil demand."


Analysts said that China's continued zero COVID-19 policy prior to a Communist Party congress "does not assist" demand.


Since August, 19 cases have increased in the second-largest oil consumer in the world. For the first time in four months, its services activity decreased in September due to pandemic restrictions.


Since the beginning of October, thousands of cases caused by the highly transmissible Omicron sub-variants BF.7 have been documented in Inner Mongolia, making it the newest COVID epicenter in the country.


Last week, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+, decided to decrease their production target by 2 million barrels per day in an effort to prevent losses, thereby heightening fears on diminishing oil supplies.


"The supply concerns persist owing to sanctions on Russia, especially when the EU restricts Russian oil imports at the end of the year," said Tina Teng, an analyst at CMC Markets.


EU sanctions on Russian crude and oil products will take effect in December and February, respectively, and the bloc received final agreement last week for a new package of measures against Russia, including an export price ceiling.


Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri told Reuters that India has an "excellent relationship" with Russia and that it will assess any bids made following a restructuring of Sakhalin-1's ownership.


On Friday, Russia issued an order permitting it to seize 30% of Exxon Mobil's (NYSE:XOM) stake and granted a Russian state-owned business the authority to evaluate whether multinational shareholders, such as India's ONGC Videsh, may continue to participate in the project.