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On May 21st, Goldman Sachs released a research report stating that Baidus (09888.HK) first-quarter results this year showed accelerated growth in cloud revenue, especially GPU-based cloud services. The bank expects Baidus AI-driven business to grow by over 30% year-on-year, primarily benefiting from the robust growth of its AI cloud infrastructure (over 50% year-on-year). The bank anticipates that by the end of 2026, the contribution of AI-driven business will surpass that of traditional/other businesses. Management revealed at an analyst conference that Baidu aims to outpace the market and major peers in cloud business growth in the coming quarters. The company observed that token usage is shifting from training to inference, which will help Baidu Cloud expand its customer reach. The report quoted management as saying that the Wenxin Yiyan model is currently lagging behind, and future R&D will focus on revitalizing model capabilities, prioritizing the development of Wenxin Yiyan to drive MaaS (Model as a Service) revenue. Goldman Sachs expects a mid-term gross margin target of 35% to 40% for the GPU cloud business, while the gross margin for traditional CPU and memory services will be 25% to 30%. Management aims to reduce the holding company discount by having AI-driven businesses account for more than 50% of total revenue and by rapidly growing core cloud/chip revenue.May 21 – The 2026 APEC Trade Ministers Meeting will be held in Suzhou, attracting approximately 700 representatives from 21 APEC economies and international organizations. A global investment promotion conference is also being held concurrently, attracting business representatives from over 30 countries and regions, with US-based companies making up the largest number of attendees. Suzhou hopes to leverage this event to promote international trade and economic cooperation. Data shows that foreign investment in Chinas high-tech industries increased by 30.7% year-on-year in the first quarter of this year, while R&D and design services grew by 127.8%. Foreign companies are accelerating their expansion in the Chinese market, particularly in the new energy and medical fields, increasing investment and R&D, and driving global trade and economic development.Analysts point out that Saudi Arabia has been forced to shut down some oil fields due to disruptions in oil exports caused by the war with Iran, which has led to a disruption in natural gas supply. It is expected that Saudi Arabia will burn more imported fuel oil for power generation this summer.According to Nikkei, the Arafura rare earth project in Australia will begin construction in September.According to data from Fubao Information, the average price of 99.99% gold on Fubao today is 998.9 yuan/gram (+13.4 yuan/gram), spot silver (#1) is 18678 yuan/kilogram (+688 yuan/kilogram), spot 99.95% platinum is 483.5 yuan/gram (+3 yuan/gram), spot 99.95% palladium is 332 yuan/gram (+1 yuan/gram), spot 99.95% rhodium is 2413 yuan/gram (-14 yuan/gram), spot 99.95% iridium is 1841 yuan/gram (-1 yuan/gram), and spot 99.95% ruthenium is 398 yuan/gram (unchanged).

Low Mississippi River levels impede grain exports from the U.S. Gulf

Haiden Holmes

Oct 12, 2022 11:40

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According to data issued by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) on Tuesday, crop exports from Louisiana Gulf Coast terminals reached their lowest level in nine years during the first week of October, a period when export shipments typically grow.


Due to low water levels in the southern sections of the Mississippi River, the vital shipping route was closed for days last week, blocking the flow of grain ships from Midwest farmers to the nation's largest grain shipping port.


The late shipping disruption has exporters scrambling for supplies at the start of the busiest period of the year for agricultural exports from the United States.


The USDA indicated in a weekly report that 976,255 tonnes of corn, soybeans, and wheat were inspected for export along the Mississippi River Gulf Coast for the week ending October 6. This is the lowest result for the first week of October in at least nine years, and a 22% decline from the five-year normal.


Two closed segments of the Mississippi River were reopened over the weekend, allowing a backlog of stalled barges to begin moving again. However, shippers continue to be concerned about low water levels due to the forecasted dry weather.


To prevent vessels from becoming stuck in the drought-parched river, shippers are loading less grain per barge, and towboats are transporting fewer barges per tow in order to traverse the narrowed channel width.


During the fourth quarter, when a third or more of the year's exports are typically loaded and sent, traders anticipate a delay in the exports' launch.


"In the next few weeks, I anticipate below-average inspections, followed by a considerable increase. It does not take long to enhance Gulf exports if ships are available. "Terry Reilly, senior commodities analyst with Futures International, stated.