Skylar Williams
Aug 12, 2022 11:12
OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA) held differing views on the demand outlook, which dragged on oil prices during Friday's early trade. As concerns of a recession receded, though, benchmark futures were headed for weekly gains.
Brent oil prices declined 34 cents, or 0.3%, to $99.26 per barrel at 01:12 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures decreased 34 cents, or 0.3%, to $94.00 per barrel.
Brent was anticipated to gain by more than 4% for the week, recouping a chunk of last week's 14% decline, which was its largest weekly decline since April 2020 due to fears that rising inflation and interest rate hikes will hinder economic growth and fuel demand.
WTI was poised for a weekly gain of more than 5%, recovering more than half of the previous week's loss.
"Regarding demand, there is a great deal of uncertainty in the near future. Until this issue is remedied, market volatility will persist "Chief economist of Westpac, Justin Smirk, commented.
Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) decreased its forecast for the increase in world oil demand in 2022 by 260,000 barrels per day. (bpd). This year, it predicts a 3.1 million bpd growth in demand.
That contradicts the stance of the IEA. As a result of gas-to-oil conversion in power generation in response to soaring gas prices, the latter boosted its demand growth forecast to 2.1 million bpd.
Moreover, the IEA upped its forecast for Russian oil supply by 500,000 bpd for the second half of 2022, as the nation's output proved more resilient than anticipated in the face of sanctions implemented in response to the Ukraine conflict. According to the IEA, it would be difficult for OPEC to boost output.
According to Commonwealth Bank analyst Vivek Dhar, the IEA gave a mixed picture overall. The reliability of Russian supply has exceeded expectations.
"Comprehending the global oil balances at the end of the year at this time is challenging, given the current demand and supply conditions. This explains the daily instability."
Aug 12, 2022 11:11
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