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ECB Governing Council member Machrouf: Uncertainty means the ECB will make decisions on a meeting-by-meeting basis.On February 11th, BeiChen Lin, Senior Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, stated in a report that while a complete victory is not yet achieved, the Federal Reserves fight against inflation appears to be within reach. He pointed out that a more balanced labor market is helping to suppress inflation in the services sector; moreover, the inflationary pressures from tariffs are expected to gradually subside in the second half of the year. Furthermore, the continued sluggishness of the US housing market will also help control inflationary pressures. Lin believes that even if the US economy maintains trend-based growth this year, or even slightly exceeds trend levels, inflation is expected to remain benign and manageable this year and next.1. Standard Chartered Bank: -10,000; Scotiabank: +000; Capital Economics: +30,000; Oxford Economics: +30,000; 2. Bank of America: +40,000; Moodys Analytics: +40,000; Goldman Sachs: +45,000; TD Securities: +45,000; 3. ABN AMRO: +50,000; Barclays: +50,000; Morgan Stanley: +55,000; Danske Bank: +60,000; 4. DekaBank: +60,000; RBC: +63,000; HSBC: +65,000; ANZ: +70,000; 5. Westpac: +70,000; JPMorgan Chase: +75,000; Deutsche Bank: +75,000; Commerzbank: +80,000; 6. ING: +80,000; Societe Generale: +80,000; UniCredit: +80,000; Wells Fargo: +80,000; 7. Nomura: +85,000; Lloyds Banking Group: +85,000; Mizuho Securities: +90,000; UBS: +90,000; 8. Pansen Macro: +100,000; BNP Paribas: +105,000; Jefferies Group: +110,000; Citigroup: +135,000. On February 11, Saudi Arabias ambassador to Iran, Abdullah Anzi, stated on February 10 that strengthening bilateral relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran would send a clear and unambiguous signal to destructive forces in the region. He emphasized that regional issues cannot be resolved through war, and military confrontation will only exacerbate tensions. Saudi Arabia supports de-escalating regional tensions through political and diplomatic means.February 11th Futures News: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 896,471 lots, a decrease of 32,686 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,071,193 lots, a decrease of 9,447 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 155,978 lots, a decrease of 6,962 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 261,767 lots, a decrease of 1,475 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 602,356 lots, a decrease of 35,580 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,623,418 lots, a decrease of 14,347 lots from the previous trading day.

Oil Prices Rise on The Possibility of A Deeper Russian Supply Reduction

Charlie Brooks

Feb 23, 2023 11:56

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Oil prices rose on Thursday as reports suggested that Russia's supply cuts will be larger than previously announced, but markets suffered severe weekly losses due to concerns of rising interest rates.


According to Reuters, Moscow plans to reduce crude exports from its western ports by up to 25 percent in March compared to the previous month in an effort to increase oil prices. The action is anticipated to result in a greater reduction in supply than the 500,000 barrels announced earlier this month.


The supply reductions are a response to price ceilings imposed by the West on Russian crude exports, which Moscow has condemned.


By 21:29 ET, Brent oil futures increased 0.5% to $80.89 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased 0.5% to $74.28 per barrel (02:29 GMT). This week, both contracts were down roughly 3%.


This week, crude oil prices declined as the dollar strengthened in response to a growing number of wagers that the Federal Reserve will recommence increasing interest rates at a rapid pace next month. The markets are concerned that rising interest rates will restrain economic growth later this year, thereby diminishing oil demand.


The minutes from the Federal Reserve's February meeting revealed that the majority of officials supported additional interest rate hikes. After the meeting, higher-than-anticipated inflation readings could prompt more officials to call for larger rate increases.


Wednesday's industry data indicated that U.S. crude inventories increased by 10 million barrels in the week ending February 17. The reading typically foreshadows a similar trend in data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which is anticipated to indicate that U.S. inventories increased for a ninth consecutive week. The data is due Thursday evening.


Increasing U.S. inventories and the planned sale of 26 million barrels from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve indicate a potential supply surplus in the world's largest oil consumer, which is anticipated to limit any crude price appreciation.


In recent weeks, crude markets have been weighed down by this and concerns of additional Fed-induced demand headwinds.


Later in the day, a second estimate of fourth-quarter U.S. GDP will be released. However, crude markets have reacted negatively to data indicating resilience in the U.S. economy, as it gives the Fed more leeway to continue raising interest rates.