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Federal Reserves Williams: The economic impact of energy prices depends on market pricing levels.Federal Reserves Williams: The Fed needs to pay attention to data to determine how energy will affect inflation.Federal Reserves Williams: So far, energy prices are expected to affect overall inflation, rather than core inflation.Federal Reserves Williams: The current mechanisms related to the Federal Reserves balance sheet are functioning well.US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran claims to have shot down an MQ-9 Reaper drone. 2. All Iranian universities switched to online classes starting April 4th. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: US and Israels threats against Iran are a "major mistake." 4. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Some ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz after coordination. 5. Iran launched the 87th round of "True Commitment-4," striking multiple US and Israeli military targets. 6. Iran reiterated that its response was not directed against regional countries and called on all parties to maintain a prudent stance. 7. Iranian Parliament approved a bill to impose a toll on passage through the Strait of Hormuz, payable in Iranian currency. 8. Irans First Vice President: Negotiations on the Strait of Hormuz require a commitment not to invade Iran. Trump may send troops to Kharg Island, but withdrawal will be beyond his control. Sending troops to Kharg Island would be a one-way trip. 9. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: The issue of withdrawing from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons is under parliamentary review. The Bushehr nuclear power plant is still operating. ① No direct dialogue with the United States, only information exchanged through intermediaries. Iran did not participate in Pakistan-led meetings regarding the war. ② United States 1. Market news: An explosion occurred at a US military base in Saudi Arabia. 2. US military deployment continues to increase, with thousands of soldiers from the elite 82nd Airborne Division beginning to arrive in the Middle East. 3. US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The US will regain control of the Strait of Hormuz over time. 4. Trump confirmed that the US is in talks with Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, and will destroy Iranian energy and power facilities and Kharg Island if negotiations break down. The response to Irans attack on the Israeli oil refinery is "coming soon." 5. US Secretary of State Rubio: Iran must stop manufacturing the drones and missiles used in the recent attacks. The war with Iran will end when the US achieves its objectives. Irans permanent control of the Strait of Hormuz will not be allowed. 6. White House: Iran negotiations are ongoing and progressing well. There are discrepancies between Irans public statements and what it privately revealed to US officials. Trump intends to call on Arab countries to help pay for the war. ③ Israel 1. The Israeli military claims to have launched a new round of airstrikes against Tehran. 2. Support for the war against Iran declines, with anti-war protests erupting in several parts of Israel. 3. The Israeli military claims to have killed Hamza Rachin, a senior Hezbollah commander. 4. The Israeli military claims to have attacked key military and academic institutions of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. 5. The Israeli military claims the war has entered its "final stages" and will target Iranian economic targets. 6. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: The war with Iran is "halfway through," and the current focus is on enriched uranium stockpiles. He refused to disclose a timetable for ending the war. 7. Israel claims a gasoline storage tank fire at the Haifa refinery. The Israeli Energy Minister stated that the Haifa refinerys production facilities were undamaged and fuel supplies will not be affected. ④ Other 1. Multiple military bases in Syria attacked. 2. The Egyptian president calls on Trump to end the war with Iran. 3. German Chancellor Merz: If the war with Iran escalates, Europe will face pressure comparable to that of the pandemic. 4. European officials say Iran is urging the Houthis to equip themselves for the Red Sea, despite internal divisions within the Houthis. 5. Market news: The EU announces an expansion of its naval operations in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean. 6. British Prime Minister Starmer: A coalition of 35 countries has been formed to de-escalate the situation. 7. Market news: The European Council has extended sanctions against Iran until April 13, 2027. 8. President of the Iranian Red Crescent: Russia has delivered 330 tons of medicine and other humanitarian aid to Iran. 9. Ukrainian President Zelensky: A prolonged war with Iran will embolden Russia, and Ukraines arms supply will face challenges. 10. UAE Ministry of Defense: Intercepted 11 ballistic missiles and 27 drones launched by Iran on March 30. Since Iran openly began its attacks, the UAEs air defense system has intercepted 425 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles, and 1,941 drones.

Oil Prices Rise on Expectations of A Tighter Supply As Demand Increases

Aria Thomas

May 25, 2022 09:21

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Oil prices surged in early trade on Wednesday, bolstered by limited supplies and the expectation of increased demand as the U.S. summer driving season begins.


At 00:20 GMT, Brent crude futures for July increased 46 cents, or 0.4%, to $114.02 a barrel. Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for delivery in July rose 58 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $110.35 per barrel.


Brent increased by 0.1% on Tuesday, while WTI declined by 52 cents.


France's new foreign minister expressed optimism on Tuesday that those remaining opposed to a new EU sanctions package that would phase out Russian oil shipments to the bloc might be persuaded and that the bloc would reach an agreement that would have the impact of constraining global supply.


Meanwhile, a Biden administration official departed for India on Tuesday to discuss U.S. sanctions on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine with Indian officials and private industry executives, according to the Treasury Department, as Washington seeks to prevent an increase in India's purchases of Russian oil. Moscow refers to its efforts in Ukraine as an "extraordinary military operation."


Supply might tighten just as Memorial Day weekend travel in the United States is anticipated to be the busiest in two years, as more Americans hit the road despite coronavirus pandemic restrictions and high fuel prices.


While oil stocks increased by 567,000 barrels last week, gasoline inventories decreased by 4.2 million barrels, according to market sources citing the American Petroleum Institute. Additionally, distillate stockpiles decreased by 949,000 barrels. 


On Wednesday, the U.S. government was due to release stockpile data. In a Reuters survey, analysts predicted that U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories would fall last week, but distillate inventories would rise. 


In China, Beijing intensified quarantine efforts to stop its month-long COVID outbreak, while in Shanghai, officials aim to maintain the majority of restrictions in place this month, prior to a more comprehensive easing of the two-month-long lockdown on June 1.