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November 7th - The impact of gold on the Thai currency has fallen to its lowest level in nearly two years, suggesting that policymakers efforts to curb the bahts appreciation may finally be starting to pay off. Data shows that the 60-day correlation between the baht and gold fell below 0.43 earlier this week, the lowest level since November 2023. The 30-day and 45-day correlations, reflecting recent volatility, also fell to their lowest levels since February. Thai authorities have been trying to weaken the bahts link to gold by encouraging gold transactions to be settled in US dollars and considering a tax on physical gold transactions. In June 2023, the 60-day correlation between the baht and gold reached 0.8. Officials said this correlation exacerbated the bahts rise to a four-year high in September, putting pressure on exports and tourism. "The risk of potential fiscal or monetary policy measures is a moral deterrent," said Kobsidthi Silpachai, head of capital markets research at Kasikornbank in Bangkok. He believes this "seems to have deterred speculators from participating in gold long and USD/THB short trades."Market news: Google will build a new artificial intelligence data center at a small outpost in the Indian Ocean off the coast of Australia.Apple: Service outage issues for Apple TV and Apple Arcade have been resolved.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: Striving for nominal growth rate to exceed Japanese government bond yield.November 7th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures fell in the previous trading day as their price continued to trade below the EMA50 index, indicating a dominant short-term downtrend, with the price coinciding with the support line of this trendline. Previously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) had moved out of oversold territory, exacerbating downward pressure on prices.

Gold Recovers As Fed Minutes Confirm Forecasts

Charlie Brooks

May 26, 2022 09:36

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Gold recouped some of its losses on Wednesday as minutes from a Federal Reserve meeting indicated that the central bank would maintain its plan to raise interest rates by a half-point at its June and July meetings.


At 4:15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), spot gold declined 0.7% to $1,853.80 per ounce, after falling 1.3% to $1,844.49 earlier in the session. Gold futures in the U.S. closed down almost 1 percent at $1,846.3.


According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on 3-4 May, all participants supported a half-percentage-point rate hike to battle inflation that threatened to surge without central bank intervention.


After the minutes were released, gold reduced losses, but remained down, having been lower for the majority of the day due to a higher dollar.


While the Fed minutes were mostly in line with market expectations, the Fed did indicate that 50 basis point hikes would likely be appropriate for the June and July meetings, according to Standard Chartered analyst Suki Cooper (OTC:SCBFF). The market will likely continue to focus on inflation data and indications of reducing cost pressures.


Even while gold is commonly viewed as a hedge against inflation, rate rises diminish its attractiveness since they tend to increase bond rates, increasing the opportunity cost of keeping zero-yield metal.


Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, has secured critical allies for her proposal to lift rates out of negative territory this summer.


Spot silver lost 0.5% to $21.99 per ounce, platinum fell 0.6% to $948.95 per ounce, while palladium climbed 0.1% to $2,002.22 per ounce.


Analysts at Commerzbank (ETR:CBKG) wrote in a note, "Platinum and palladium are being restrained by the continued challenges in the automobile industry, which is dampening demand for these precious metals."