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Near 0.8670, the EUR/GBP shows a careless drop; attention is on UK employment

Alina Haynes

Sep 13, 2022 11:02

截屏2022-09-13 上午9.46.47.png 

 

The EUR/GBP pair displayed a minor pullback on Monday after hitting a four-day low of about 0.8650. After finishing the retreat, it is projected that the cross will start moving downward and that it will quicken its slide after losing the crucial support level of 0.8650. According to incoming job data from the United Kingdom, the asset will probably change.

 

Forecasts indicate that the unemployment rate in the UK will remain at 3.8%. The unemployment rate won't change even if the number of people collecting unemployment benefits will drop by 9.2k. Due to higher payouts in an inflationary environment, the Average Earnings data is the catalyst that families should take into account. The labor cost index would significantly rise from 4.7% to 5%, helping households offset the higher payments brought on by soaring inflation.

 

Additionally, Wednesday's UK inflation figures will be crucial. It is projected that the UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will stay over 10% at 10.2%. The Bank of England (BOE) will be forced to raise interest rates as a result. The difference in policy between the Bank of England and the European Central Bank could be made worse by this.

 

The bulls of the single currency must contend with rising energy prices. The quantity of energy needed to run heaters and other heat-generating devices will rise over the upcoming winter season in Europe. As a result, the need for energy will rise even further. The ECB unexpectedly raised interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) last week; this week, it will announce more rate rises as long as price pressures exceed the planned rate.

 

Due to rising energy prices, the corporate sector in the eurozone is going through a period of declining profitability. Major corporations' input costs have increased as a result of rising energy prices, reducing their operating margins and forcing some businesses into bankruptcy. Their financial performance is significantly impacted by rising energy prices and interest rates.

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