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Both WTI and Brent crude oil opened about 1% higher on Monday, currently trading at $102.57 per barrel and $107.15 per barrel, respectively.On March 30th, Jefferies stated that Australian refineries can only meet a small fraction of domestic fuel demand. The conflict in Iran has led to rising petrol and diesel prices, and Australias competition regulator has expressed concern about supply issues in areas including suburban areas, regional towns, and remote regions. Jefferies estimates that Australian refinery output can meet approximately 37% of petrol demand and about 14% of diesel demand. This conclusion is based on an analysis of Australian oil statistics from last year. "Even in Queensland and Victoria, where Ampore and Viva Energy respectively own refineries, the output of Litton and Geelong is insufficient to meet the states total demand for petrol or diesel," said analyst Michael Simotas.According to Iranian state media, a petrochemical plant in Tabriz, a city in northwestern Iran, was attacked.1. Ukrainian Armed Forces: Russian troops lost approximately 1,360 soldiers yesterday. 2. RIA Novosti: Russia claims to have captured the village of Kivsharivka in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine. 3. Russia warns South Korea that it will retaliate if it provides lethal weapons to Ukraine. 4. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov: Russian-American relations have fallen to a historic low in recent years; Russia is willing to develop relations with the US. 5. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Following the Ukrainian attack, oil refineries in Leningrad Oblast, Russia, are operating at only 40% capacity. 6. Governor of Leningrad Oblast: A fire broke out at the Baltic port of Ust-Luga, Russia, caused by a Ukrainian drone attack; the fire is now under control.On March 30th, economist Rory Robertson stated that the Australian economy may have already experienced a downturn due to the oil price shock and threats to energy supplies. If the economy did not actually contract in March, the constraints imposed on numerous industries by the sudden surge in fuel prices (especially diesel) and reduced supply could force a slight contraction in economic activity in April. Robertson stated that the economic outlook depends on whether the problems can be resolved as quickly as they appeared. He added that historical experience shows that sudden and prolonged oil price shocks often turn into economic disasters.

Near 0.8670, the EUR/GBP shows a careless drop; attention is on UK employment

Alina Haynes

Sep 13, 2022 11:02

截屏2022-09-13 上午9.46.47.png 

 

The EUR/GBP pair displayed a minor pullback on Monday after hitting a four-day low of about 0.8650. After finishing the retreat, it is projected that the cross will start moving downward and that it will quicken its slide after losing the crucial support level of 0.8650. According to incoming job data from the United Kingdom, the asset will probably change.

 

Forecasts indicate that the unemployment rate in the UK will remain at 3.8%. The unemployment rate won't change even if the number of people collecting unemployment benefits will drop by 9.2k. Due to higher payouts in an inflationary environment, the Average Earnings data is the catalyst that families should take into account. The labor cost index would significantly rise from 4.7% to 5%, helping households offset the higher payments brought on by soaring inflation.

 

Additionally, Wednesday's UK inflation figures will be crucial. It is projected that the UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will stay over 10% at 10.2%. The Bank of England (BOE) will be forced to raise interest rates as a result. The difference in policy between the Bank of England and the European Central Bank could be made worse by this.

 

The bulls of the single currency must contend with rising energy prices. The quantity of energy needed to run heaters and other heat-generating devices will rise over the upcoming winter season in Europe. As a result, the need for energy will rise even further. The ECB unexpectedly raised interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) last week; this week, it will announce more rate rises as long as price pressures exceed the planned rate.

 

Due to rising energy prices, the corporate sector in the eurozone is going through a period of declining profitability. Major corporations' input costs have increased as a result of rising energy prices, reducing their operating margins and forcing some businesses into bankruptcy. Their financial performance is significantly impacted by rising energy prices and interest rates.

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