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On August 28th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf posted a sarcastic remark on social media, criticizing US Treasury Secretary John Bessenter and citing a New York Times report that Irans creditworthiness in the bond market is under pressure. The post stemmed from Bessenters previous criticism of the Iranian government on social media. He stated that while Iranians struggle to afford even basic necessities, the "corrupt Iranian regime is squandering huge sums of money overseas," and that it should spend those billions on its own people instead of channeling them to so-called "terrorist proxies." Ghalibaf responded with almost identical statements: instead of investing heavily in Israel, a "terrorist proxy," and the approximately 750 US military bases worldwide, this "declining empire" could certainly use its money on its own people. "But wait, that might be too reasonable for this regime," he added. He then directly addressed Bessenter: "Scott, man, your credibility is in jeopardy. Do something worthwhile." The post also included a link to the New York Times report. According to the report, Bessenter attempted to lower yields through measures such as expanding long-term US Treasury bond repurchase agreements, but the market response was lukewarm. With US debt already reaching $40 trillion and the situation in Iran exacerbating inflationary pressures, its ability to "tame" the bond market and its personal credit are facing increasing challenges.Conflict Situation: 1. The Israeli military claims to have shot down a Hezbollah drone. 2. The Israeli military decides to expand its troop deployment in the West Bank. 3. Sources: Israel launched an attack near the outskirts of Damascus, the Syrian capital. 4. Rezaei: If the US again "disrupts" Iran during its meeting with the Qatari Foreign Minister, Iran will strike the US military and its economic interests. Strait of Hormuz: 1. Iranian sources: Consultations on the details of the Strait of Hormuz agreement with Oman are still ongoing. 2. Qatar and Iran discussed an agreement to implement a "joint project" to clear mines from the Strait of Hormuz. 3. Rezaei: The mediators have asked Iran to propose conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz, and Tehran is preparing a list of conditions. 4. Rezaei: The US must take concrete steps to meet Irans conditions in order to reach an agreement before Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz. Peace Negotiations: 1. According to the Wall Street Journal: Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the Trump administration has repeatedly indicated to the mediators that it has no intention of re-accepting the terms of the memorandum of understanding reached with Iran in June of this year. 2. The White House: (Regarding Iran) There are currently no negotiations; all options are under consideration. Reiterates the US focus on economic isolation of Iran; the naval blockade remains in effect. Other matters: 1. Iran denies plans to assassinate Trumps youngest son. 2. British media: Israel considers expelling British officials from the Gaza Reconciliation Center. 3. Iranian President calls for strengthened economic cooperation among Muslim countries. 4. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: A senior Iranian official stated that due to the US naval blockade, Iran is unable to import enough fuel to compensate for insufficient domestic production. 5. Irans Oil Minister stated that despite reductions, Irans offshore oil sales and deliveries have not stopped. 6. Iranian officials inspect oil infrastructure on Kharg Island. 7. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament met with the Qatari Prime Minister to exchange views on easing regional tensions. 8. Iranian officials: There is no shortage of goods; the main problem is rising prices. 9. According to Kuwait News Agency (KUNA): Kuwait and Pakistan sign a defense agreement. 10. The US Department of Justice plans to reopen arrest trials to seize Iranian oil tankers.On August 28th, top Canadian economists told the countrys finance minister that the damage from the escalating trade war with the United States should be manageable, potentially bolstering Prime Minister Carneys confidence in withdrawing from negotiations. The finance minister reportedly convened a closed-door meeting in Toronto with chief economists, including those representing several of Canadas largest banks, to discuss the economic outlook following the breakdown of trade talks with the US. While some economists lowered their economic growth forecasts and warned that new US tariffs on hundreds of Canadian goods could hit small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) hardest, some attendees revealed that discussions about the risk of recession were minimal. Instead, participants generally agreed that the Canadian economy was strong enough to withstand the series of tariffs imposed by Trump. Some economists stated that tariffs would indeed cause damage, but the impact would likely be concentrated primarily in the sectors affected by the tariffs.U.S. Treasury officials say bond yields will fall as inflation gradually cools; the Trump administration is committed to lowering long-term bond yields.On August 28, Rezaei, secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, stated that Iran has prepared a list of conditions to present to the United States. While temporary passage through a specific channel in the middle of the Strait of Hormuz has been permitted, future passage through the strait will be subject to a memorandum of understanding signed with the United States.

Natural Gas Prices Continue to Rise, Reaching a Multi-Month High

Drake Hampton

Mar 31, 2022 10:17

Significant Insights

  • Natural gas prices have surged significantly.

  • Prices finished close to a four-month high.

  • The weather is forecast to be typical.

 

Natural gas prices spiked on Wednesday, ahead of the Energy Information Administration's inventory update on Thursday. Estimize, a survey provider, anticipates a 14 Bcf drop in inventories. The weather is forecast to remain normal during the next six to ten and eight to fourteen days, with high temperatures along the Atlantic and Pacific coasts.

 

Residential and commercial sectors drive reduce natural gas consumption in the United States. Natural gas usage in the United States decreased by 18.6 percent in the previous report week. Week over week, natural gas use for power generation decreased by 7.0 percent. Consumption in the industrial sector declined by 5.5 percent. Consumption fell by 37.1 percent in the residential and commercial sectors.

Technical analysis

Natural gas prices finished at a multi-month high on Wednesday and are ready to test new highs. Near the October highs of 6.46, resistance is present.

 

The short-term momentum indicator has turned positive as a crossing buy signal was given by the fast stochastic. Prices have re-entered overbought territory, with the Fast Stochastic reading 93, exceeding the overbought trigger level of 80.

 

The medium-term trend has shifted to the positive. The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) indicator generates a buy signal upon crossover. This occurs when the MACD line (the 12-day moving average divided by the 26-day moving average) crosses over the MACD line's 9-day moving average.


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