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On January 12th, the Israeli Prime Ministers Office announced via social media that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated at the start of his weekly government meeting that Israel is closely monitoring the situation in Iran. That afternoon, Netanyahu convened consultations with his senior advisors and several ministers on security issues. The Israeli security cabinet is scheduled to hold a plenary meeting on the 13th.January 12th - Bond investors overall bets on the Federal Reserves policy path and the direction of the US Treasury market in 2026 appear to have room for further expansion. Last Fridays non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, maintaining market expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This result confirms market expectations that short-term Treasury bonds (most sensitive to monetary policy) will outperform long-term Treasury bonds this year, widening the yield spread between the two. This strategy, known as the "steepening trade," was one of the most popular bond trades for most of last year and continues to work at the start of 2026. Pramod Atrouli, fixed-income portfolio manager at Capital Group, stated, "There are many scenarios over the next 12 to 24 months that are very favorable for the yield curve steepening trade." An analysis of 25 of the largest actively managed core bond funds by JPMorgan shows that, historically, these funds still have a high exposure to this trade.According to Iranian state media, Iran summoned the British ambassador after protesters tore down the Iranian flag from the Iranian embassy building in London.Market news: Home Depot and Google Cloud have jointly launched the Agentic AI tool to help customers and employees transform projects from "how to do it" to "completed".Domestic News: 1. The "Tianma-1000" unmanned transport aircraft successfully completed its maiden flight. 2. Shanxi Province issued consumption subsidies for home appliances and digital smart products in 2026. 3. Hong Kongs new budget will be announced on February 25. 4. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC): Focusing on cracking down on major, malicious, and key illegal activities, and severely punishing all kinds of malicious illegal activities. 5. Chinese Embassy: Due to scheduling conflicts, Wang Yis planned visit to Somalia on January 9 has been postponed. 6. Wang Yi held a telephone conversation with the Somali Foreign Minister: Opposing Somalilands collusion with the Taiwan authorities to seek independence. 7. National Business Work Conference: In 2026, efforts will be accelerated to cultivate new growth points in service consumption and optimize the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. International News: 1. A curfew has been imposed in Narathiwat Province in southern Thailand. 2. Israeli forces are reportedly planning a new round of attacks on the Gaza Strip. 3. British officials: The possibility of Britain deploying troops to Greenland cannot be ruled out. 4. South Korean Presidential Office: Will investigate the truth behind North Koreas claim of a "drone intrusion" and release the results promptly. 5. Iranian President: The government endorses peaceful protests and is willing to meet with protest groups. 6. Danish Parliament Chief: It would be "foolish" to go to war over Greenland. 7. Israel demands the EU designate Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." 8. US Media: Trump received a briefing on options for striking Iran but has not yet made a final decision; the government is considering multiple options for intervention in Iran. 9. Trump again pressures Cuba, threatening that if Cuba does not reach an agreement soon, it will face a situation of "zero oil and zero funds" flowing into Cuba. 10. Iranian Parliament Speaker warns Trump that any attack would lead Iran to consider Israel and US bases in the region as "legitimate targets" and strike them.

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – Stocks Retreat As Treasury Yields Test Multi

Cory Russell

Feb 07, 2023 16:04

S&P 500

The S&P 500 is still under pressure as Treasury rates continue to rise. Recently, the yield on 10-year Treasuries was able to stabilize above the 50 EMA at 3.59% and is now attempting to go over the 3.65% mark.


Traders continue to concentrate on the most recent Non Farm Payrolls data, which revealed that despite concerns about a recession, the labor market was still in a respectable state. A more assertive Fed, which would be negative for equities, has begun to be priced in by traders.


The yield-sensitive real estate and technology equities are among the greatest losses in today's trading session, which is not unexpected. All market categories are trending down as a result of the widespread decline. Consumer Defensive Stocks perform better when investors look for safe-haven investments.

NASDAQ

As traders continued to take gains after the most recent significant rise, the NASDAQ fell below the 12,500 mark.


Leading tech companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet are all down 1% to 2% today, which is bad news for the NASDAQ.


Although the RSI has lately left the oversold zone, it is still unclear if traders would accelerate their purchases of tech companies at a time when Treasury rates are sharply climbing.


From session lows, the Dow Jones index rose. The worst-performing Dow Jones component today was Intel, which is down 4%, while Caterpillar had the highest gains.

Dow Jones

Overall, the Dow Jones is consolidated close to the 34,000 mark. As traders concentrated on tech companies throughout the most recent bounce, the index was unable to reach new highs. The Dow Jones excels today because Treasury yield movements have less of an impact on it.