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On July 7th, European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Leon Panetta stated that even as the US and Iran approach a lasting peace agreement, the ECB is still grappling with an uncertain economic situation. Speaking at a conference in Rome, Panetta said that while the US-Iran negotiations could lead to energy prices falling below the ECBs June forecast, "the outlook remains fragile." He stated, "Upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth continue to coexist. This requires continued monitoring of geopolitical developments, energy markets, supply chains, wages, and inflation expectations. It also requires monetary policy to avoid committing to a predetermined path." Panetta also noted that the current conflict is one of a series of increasingly frequent supply shocks that could alter how policymakers respond in the future to ensure inflation reaches the 2% target in the medium term.On July 7th, the State Financial Regulatory Commission (SFC) and the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Government jointly issued "Several Measures to Accelerate the Construction of Shanghai International Reinsurance Center." These measures emphasize strengthening the primary responsibilities of insurance institutions, urging them to establish and improve internal control and compliance management systems, and enhancing the management of operational risks and cross-border capital flows. The measures also aim to enhance the regulatory effectiveness of the SFC, improve prudential regulatory rules in the reinsurance sector, and strengthen supervision of solvency, related-party transactions, and business finances. Support will be given to the Shanghai Financial Regulatory Bureau to research and establish a monitoring system adapted to reinsurance risks, improving the penetration and effectiveness of risk monitoring for cross-border reinsurance and on-exchange transactions, and maintaining the safe and stable operation of the Shanghai International Reinsurance Center. Finally, the measures leverage the auxiliary regulatory functions of the reinsurance registration and trading center to improve the quality and efficiency of reinsurance supervision.July 7th Futures News: On July 7th, the Shanghai Futures Exchanges energy and chemical warehouse receipts and changes are as follows: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 288,584 tons, an increase of 2,417 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 1,557 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,640 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 336 tons. 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 9310 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 15970 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2961000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.On July 7th, the State Financial Regulatory Commission and the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Government jointly issued "Several Measures to Accelerate the Construction of Shanghai International Reinsurance Center." These measures propose improving the quality and efficiency of the reinsurance industry, supporting reinsurance institutions in increasing capital and issuing capital replenishment instruments to enhance their internal and external capital accumulation capabilities and strengthen the reinsurance industrys overall strength. The measures also guide the insurance industry to integrate insurance and reinsurance underwriting capabilities to improve risk protection levels in areas such as major national projects, strategic emerging industries, and peoples livelihood security. Furthermore, the measures support reinsurance institutions in leveraging their professional and technical advantages to assist the insurance industry in risk reduction services.On July 7th, the State Financial Regulatory Commission and the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Government jointly issued "Several Measures to Accelerate the Construction of Shanghai International Reinsurance Center." These measures include supporting overseas reinsurance acceptors and reinsurance brokers to conduct referral work through the reinsurance registration and trading center, promoting the participation of overseas insurance institutions in the Chinese reinsurance market, and expanding platform transactions. The measures also aim to accelerate the optimization of on-exchange trading functions, improve standardized reinsurance contracts and invoices, promote the construction of an efficient and transparent digital trading platform, and gradually improve the efficiency of platform registration, contract signing, account clearing, fund settlement, bill circulation, and tax collection. Furthermore, the measures promote the establishment of an on-exchange transaction performance management mechanism for the reinsurance registration and trading center to continuously improve the effectiveness of industry self-regulation.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Memorial Day Produces a Quiet Futures Market

Skylar Shaw

May 31, 2022 14:53

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S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Monday's S&P 500 futures reached the 50 Day EMA. We've pulled back to create a shooting star. I wouldn't read too much into the candlestick, but it does signal that continuing straight up from here will be harder than some expected. I believe it's just a matter of time until we sell down, and there's not much going on that tells me the market surge should continue.


Bond rates have fallen, which is a comfort, but the market will soon realize that people are purchasing bonds for safety, which is why yields are down. Various economic conditions haven't improved, either.


I believe we just saw a nasty bear market rally. If we break below 4150, the first selling opportunity appears. Below 4100, I expect heavy selling.


The market might reach 4300 without any fundamental change. At that moment, the 200 Day EMA comes into play. Several weeks ago, there was a selling "shelf" at 4300.