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On November 16th, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated at an event that the United States is transforming pacifism into a hegemonic system based on force. He said the White House once used the slogan "peace through strength," but it was quickly discovered that this theory was merely a facade to mask a new framework for US action based on force, leading to overt hegemony and the blatant use of force. Now, US officials openly declare that they have no intention of acting based on effective political principles or international law, but only want to "win." This approach is clearly a return to the law of the jungle.On November 16th, Roscosmos, the Russian state space corporation, announced that Russian cosmonaut Alexei Zubritsky successfully completed a transaction on the Russian "State Service" website aboard the International Space Station using biometric technology. Zubritsky logged into the website from space using biometrics and completed a transaction that prohibited the application for a mobile phone SIM card, a process that took only 30 seconds. After completing this transaction, even if someone possesses Zubritskys identification, they will not be able to apply for a mobile phone SIM card in his name. "State Service" is a government service portal created by the Russian government, where users can apply for drivers licenses, book doctor appointments, pay taxes, and process paperwork online. The website can be accessed using a username and password or facial recognition.On November 16th, it was reported that U.S. federal officials confirmed on the 15th that they had increased enforcement efforts against undocumented immigrants in Charlotte, North Carolina. On the same day, federal law enforcement officers conducted arrests at multiple locations, drawing strong opposition from local government and residents. Assistant Secretary of Homeland Security Tricia McLaughlin stated in a statement that they were deploying additional Homeland Security law enforcement personnel to Charlotte.According to TASS, Russian air defense systems shot down 57 Ukrainian drones last night.On November 16, it was reported that Li Baian, former member of the Party Committee and Vice President of China Merchants Group Limited, is suspected of serious violations of discipline and law and is currently under disciplinary review and supervisory investigation by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission.

In anticipation of UK Retail Sales, the British Pound falls to a new monthly low near 1.1900

Daniel Rogers

Aug 19, 2022 12:01

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On Friday's Asian session, the pound to dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) accepted offers to reaffirm its monthly bottom at 1.1905, falling for a third consecutive day on concerns about the UK economy, aggressive Fedspeak, and upbeat US data.

 

Bloomberg reports that Indonesian President Joko Widodo has invited Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Group of 20 Summit in Bali later this year. Recent market movement in favor of the US dollar may have this explanation. This was the first time the leader of the world's fourth-most populous nation had announced that both of them will be attending the November conference, according to the news.

 

August's record low for the GfK Consumer Sentiment Index in the United Kingdom was even lower than July's record low of -41. Following the release of the data, Reuters said, "British consumers are experiencing a'sense of aggravation' about the growing cost of living, according to the country's longest-running research of household finances.

 

British employment and inflation figures were reported earlier in the week, but this did not help the GBP/USD as the strong US economy and aggressive Fed talk encouraged pair bears.

 

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 250K from 265K market consensus and 254K correction, whilst the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for August rose to 6.2 from -5 expected and -12.3 before.

 

The Fed will keep raising interest rates to "right-size" the economy, according to Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. The policymaker indicated that a move of 50 basis points or 75 basis points would be acceptable for the September rate decision. But Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve reportedly does not think a recession is happening in the country at the moment. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and self-proclaimed "lifelong hawk" James Bullard is considering a further rate hike of 75 basis points in September. According to Reuters, investors expect a hike to a range of 3.50–3.75 percent by March of next year, based on trade in futures contracts related to the Fed's policy rate. As a result, the Federal Reserve target rate is between 2.25 and 2.50 percent as of right now.

 

Finally, Wall Street ended with a lackluster performance, putting pressure on S&P 500 Futures, while US 10-year Treasury rates rebounded from their previous day's drop from the monthly high to 2.891% as of press time.

 

For new guidance, GBP/USD traders will focus on August UK Retail Sales, which are predicted to be -3.3% YoY compared to -5.8% in July.