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Julius Baer analyst David Kohl stated in a report on September 17th that the Federal Reserves 25 basis point interest rate cut, coupled with recent weak US economic data, suggests the Fed is likely to continue cutting rates at each meeting until March 2026. The chief economist noted that this would shift US monetary policy from its current restrictive stance to a neutral one. "We expect the US economy to maintain balanced growth in the coming months, which provides a reasonable basis for a gradual transition from a restrictive to a neutral stance of monetary policy," he said.Deutsche Bank on Monday raised its gold price forecast for next year, predicting an average price of $4,000 per ounce, up from a previous estimate of $3,700. The bank said a favorable foreign exchange and interest rate environment could drive further price increases. "While gold appears expensive relative to its fair value, we believe this is primarily due to strong official demand, which we expect to continue," the bank said in its report. Deutsche Bank also raised its silver price forecast for 2026 to $45 per ounce, up from its previous estimate of $40.On September 17th, Jefferies Research reported that Baidu (09988.HK)s recent AI developments have attracted market attention, including the signing of several major AI partners, its recognition as a key player in both AI cloud revenue market share and large customer penetration, and the development of its Kunlun chip. Its AI agent and digital human capabilities are experiencing rapid growth, and its autonomous driving platform, Apollo Go, is expanding overseas. The bank believes that Baidus stock price reflects its emphasis on user experience in its AI search transformation and maintains a "buy" rating. The target price for the US stock has been raised from US$108 to US$157, and from HK$104 to HK$152.UK AI infrastructure company Nscale: Announced a partnership with Microsoft, Nvidia and OpenAI, committing to investing in UK artificial intelligence infrastructure.New York gold futures fell below $3,700 an ounce, down 0.68% on the day.

Gold Remains Above $1,800 Prior to U.S. Employment Statistics

Haiden Holmes

Dec 02, 2022 14:08

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Gold prices held at multi-month highs on Friday as markets remained cautious ahead of critical U.S. payrolls data that might affect the course of monetary policy, while copper prices remained at a two-week high in anticipation of a Chinese reopening.


The metal markets were primed for large gains this week as a result of Federal Reserve indications that the central bank will hike interest rates at a slower pace in the coming months. Precious metals, which had been burdened by a sharp increase in interest rates this year, were the principal beneficiaries of this spike.


Gold futures remained over $1,817.0 per ounce, their highest level in five months, while spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,800.96 per ounce.


This week, it was anticipated that the value of both assets would rise by around 3%.


The emphasis now moves to U.S. nonfarm payrolls statistics expected to be released later in the day, which will likely reflect a little deterioration in the job market in November. The Federal Reserve has emphasized that as it tightens monetary policy, it would want greater moderation in the industry, although the sector has remained solid this year.


Any unexpected signs of labor market strength present the Fed with sufficient impetus to continue raising interest rates, which would be damaging to the markets.


While Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected that interest rates will decline in the following months, he cautioned that sustained inflation would likely cause the U.S. interest rate peak to surpass forecasts. This reduced some enthusiasm in risk-driven markets.


However, the possibility of lesser rate rises brought major respite to markets hammered by increasing rates this year. Platinum and silver futures dramatically surpassed gold this week, climbing over 6% each.


Copper prices slipped slightly among industrial metals on Friday, but were positioned for a strong week due to rising expectations that China may ease its anti-COVID regulations.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $3.7865 a pound, though a weekly gain of more than 4% was anticipated.


This week, China was shaken by an unprecedented surge of anti-government demonstrations. In response, two major Chinese cities lifted COVID-related regulations. China has maintained severe limits on mobility and activity for the past three years as part of Beijing's zero-COVID policy in an effort to contain COVID-19 incidents.


However, this week's relaxing steps have raised hopes for a broader relaxation of anti-COVID policies, which might support economic growth.


The PMI data released earlier this week revealed that China's economic circumstances had deteriorated due to the zero-COVID policy.