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April 22, Paul Ashworth, an analyst at Capital Economics, wrote in a report that Trump will have to further weaken the central banks independence in order to make the Federal Reserve bend to his will. Ashworth said that even if Trump succeeds in removing Powell before the end of his term next year, he may have to fire the other six members of the Federal Reserve Board to ensure that policies are implemented. Filling the vacancies of the Federal Reserve with unqualified puppets will "trigger a more severe market rebound and cause the dollar to fall."On April 22, Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets updated its forecast for the ECBs rate cuts, and its analysts said that the ECB is expected to make two more rate cuts to bring the final deposit rate down to 1.75%. Royal Bank of Canada expects the next two 25 basis point rate cuts to be made in June and September respectively. According to data from the London Stock Exchange Group, the expectations of the money market are more aggressive, and market pricing reflects that there are expected to be about 2.5 rate cuts.The UK FTSE 100 index opened up 5.19 points, or 0.06%, at 8280.85 points on April 22 (Tuesday); the French CAC 40 index opened down 10.23 points, or 0.14%, at 7275.63 points on April 22 (Tuesday); the European STOXX 50 index opened down 12.59 points, or 0.26%, at 4922.75 points on April 22 (Tuesday); the Spanish IBEX 35 index opened down 81.40 points, or 0.63%, at 12836.60 points on April 22 (Tuesday); the Italian FTSE MIB index opened down 218.43 points, or 0.61%, at 35762.00 points on April 22 (Tuesday); and the German DAX 30 index opened down 41.86 points, or 0.20%, at 21164 points on April 22 (Tuesday).Tokura, Chairman of the Japan Business Federation: (When asked about the U.S.-Japan exchange rate falling below 140 yen) Rapid fluctuations in exchange rates are not good for the economy.Tokura, Chairman of the Japan Business Federation: I hope the foreign exchange market will be as stable as possible.

Gold Remains Above $1,800 Prior to U.S. Employment Statistics

Haiden Holmes

Dec 02, 2022 14:08

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Gold prices held at multi-month highs on Friday as markets remained cautious ahead of critical U.S. payrolls data that might affect the course of monetary policy, while copper prices remained at a two-week high in anticipation of a Chinese reopening.


The metal markets were primed for large gains this week as a result of Federal Reserve indications that the central bank will hike interest rates at a slower pace in the coming months. Precious metals, which had been burdened by a sharp increase in interest rates this year, were the principal beneficiaries of this spike.


Gold futures remained over $1,817.0 per ounce, their highest level in five months, while spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,800.96 per ounce.


This week, it was anticipated that the value of both assets would rise by around 3%.


The emphasis now moves to U.S. nonfarm payrolls statistics expected to be released later in the day, which will likely reflect a little deterioration in the job market in November. The Federal Reserve has emphasized that as it tightens monetary policy, it would want greater moderation in the industry, although the sector has remained solid this year.


Any unexpected signs of labor market strength present the Fed with sufficient impetus to continue raising interest rates, which would be damaging to the markets.


While Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected that interest rates will decline in the following months, he cautioned that sustained inflation would likely cause the U.S. interest rate peak to surpass forecasts. This reduced some enthusiasm in risk-driven markets.


However, the possibility of lesser rate rises brought major respite to markets hammered by increasing rates this year. Platinum and silver futures dramatically surpassed gold this week, climbing over 6% each.


Copper prices slipped slightly among industrial metals on Friday, but were positioned for a strong week due to rising expectations that China may ease its anti-COVID regulations.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $3.7865 a pound, though a weekly gain of more than 4% was anticipated.


This week, China was shaken by an unprecedented surge of anti-government demonstrations. In response, two major Chinese cities lifted COVID-related regulations. China has maintained severe limits on mobility and activity for the past three years as part of Beijing's zero-COVID policy in an effort to contain COVID-19 incidents.


However, this week's relaxing steps have raised hopes for a broader relaxation of anti-COVID policies, which might support economic growth.


The PMI data released earlier this week revealed that China's economic circumstances had deteriorated due to the zero-COVID policy.