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July 30th - US semiconductor stocks extended their gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 9% and the Nasdaq Composite Index currently up 2.6%. Micron Technology (MU.O) surged over 16%, AMD (AMD.O) rose over 15%, and Intel (INTC.O) climbed over 14%.U.S. EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending July 24 were 28 billion cubic feet, compared to an expected 35 billion cubic feet and a previous reading of 32 billion cubic feet.World Trade Organization: Brazil has filed a dispute settlement lawsuit over US tariffs.On July 30, the Thailand Futures Exchange issued an announcement stating that due to a 2.50% drop in the USD/JPY futures trading price compared to the most recent settlement price, and in accordance with the guidelines for suspending trading of derivatives due to triggering daily price fluctuation limits, the Thailand Futures Exchange decided to temporarily suspend futures trading of this currency pair from 21:04:41 local time, and resume formal trading at 21:06:41.On July 30th, after the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged and stated that domestic inflationary pressures were easing, UK short-term government bonds saw their biggest single-day gain in over a month. The yield on the most sensitive monetary policy gilt fell 11 basis points to 4.34%, the largest single-day drop since June 12th. Bank of England Governor Bailey stated at a press conference that he did not want people to "leave the meeting with the impression that the committee is gradually moving towards raising interest rates," after which UK government bonds further extended their gains. Influenced by the Bank of Englands dovish stance, the money market expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by a cumulative total of about 32 basis points by the end of this year, lower than the 38 basis points before the decision was announced. The markets probability of a rate hike at the September meeting has also fallen from nearly 60% to less than 40%. James Lynch, portfolio manager at Aberdeen Asset Management, said, "The threshold for a Bank of England rate hike is very high." He expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year. He stated that Bailey was "more definitive than I expected."

Gold Remains Above $1,800 Prior to U.S. Employment Statistics

Haiden Holmes

Dec 02, 2022 14:08

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Gold prices held at multi-month highs on Friday as markets remained cautious ahead of critical U.S. payrolls data that might affect the course of monetary policy, while copper prices remained at a two-week high in anticipation of a Chinese reopening.


The metal markets were primed for large gains this week as a result of Federal Reserve indications that the central bank will hike interest rates at a slower pace in the coming months. Precious metals, which had been burdened by a sharp increase in interest rates this year, were the principal beneficiaries of this spike.


Gold futures remained over $1,817.0 per ounce, their highest level in five months, while spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,800.96 per ounce.


This week, it was anticipated that the value of both assets would rise by around 3%.


The emphasis now moves to U.S. nonfarm payrolls statistics expected to be released later in the day, which will likely reflect a little deterioration in the job market in November. The Federal Reserve has emphasized that as it tightens monetary policy, it would want greater moderation in the industry, although the sector has remained solid this year.


Any unexpected signs of labor market strength present the Fed with sufficient impetus to continue raising interest rates, which would be damaging to the markets.


While Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected that interest rates will decline in the following months, he cautioned that sustained inflation would likely cause the U.S. interest rate peak to surpass forecasts. This reduced some enthusiasm in risk-driven markets.


However, the possibility of lesser rate rises brought major respite to markets hammered by increasing rates this year. Platinum and silver futures dramatically surpassed gold this week, climbing over 6% each.


Copper prices slipped slightly among industrial metals on Friday, but were positioned for a strong week due to rising expectations that China may ease its anti-COVID regulations.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $3.7865 a pound, though a weekly gain of more than 4% was anticipated.


This week, China was shaken by an unprecedented surge of anti-government demonstrations. In response, two major Chinese cities lifted COVID-related regulations. China has maintained severe limits on mobility and activity for the past three years as part of Beijing's zero-COVID policy in an effort to contain COVID-19 incidents.


However, this week's relaxing steps have raised hopes for a broader relaxation of anti-COVID policies, which might support economic growth.


The PMI data released earlier this week revealed that China's economic circumstances had deteriorated due to the zero-COVID policy.