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Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.25% at 19,841 points in the night session, 257 points higher than the previous session.Congressional Budget Office (CBO): The cost of clean energy subsidies in the inflation-proof bill is now expected to be $825 billion between 2025 and 2035, compared with an estimated cost of $270 billion between 2022 and 2031.The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $118.327 billion from 32 counterparties in fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said it was working with SpaceX and relevant authorities to confirm reports of damage to public property in the Turks and Caicos Islands.Futures traders are adjusting their bets in the Treasury market after mild inflation data and dovish comments from a Federal Reserve official. Over the past two days, the volume of open interest has changed, consistent with traders exiting short positions in two-year Treasury bonds and establishing new long positions in longer-term Treasury contracts, especially in the five-year Treasury. The shift came after consumer price inflation data released on Wednesday and comments made by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller the next day. Data released on Wednesday showed that core price increases in December were lower than economists expected; Waller said that if the trend continues, officials may cut interest rates again in the middle of the year. Morgan Stanleys interest rate strategists suggested late Thursday that long positions could be established in Treasury bonds of this term given expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March, but this is still a minority view. The swap market expects only a 6 basis point rate cut in March, which means there is about a 25% chance of a 25 basis point cut. “We haven’t ruled out a rate cut in March, but we do see it as more of a tail risk,” said Stephanie LaRosiliere, head of fixed income strategy at Invesco. “It doesn’t feel like the Fed needs to react so hastily.”

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will ascend past $1,950 as the US Dollar and yields retreat

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 15:55

截屏2022-06-07 下午5.14.22.png 

 

Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates intraday loss, the second in a run, around $1,965 on Thursday's European session as the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields struggle to defend yesterday's gains amid conflicting sentiment. With this, the precious metal recovers from its second consecutive weekly loss amid a cautious tone ahead of the most important inflation data from Europe and the United States.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) falls from its intraday high to near 102.60, reflecting sentiment, while S&P 500 Futures struggle near a one-week high from the previous trading day. In addition, the US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields lose upward momentum near 3.57 and 4.04 percent, respectively.

 

China's Premier Li Qiang's expectation that the economic situation in March will be even better than in January and February, along with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's signals of a policy reversal after one more rate hike, appear to have contributed to the recent Gold price increase.

 

However, it should be noted that the majority of central bankers defend their previous inflation bias and thus challenge Gold Buyers. In addition, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, stated on Thursday, "Urgently need faster, more efficient mechanisms for providing debt support to vulnerable countries." Her remarks revive previously alleviated banking concerns.

 

Moreover, market preparations for top-tier inflation data from Europe and the United States appear to permit the Gold price to minimize weekly losses. Nevertheless, the US fourth quarter (Q4) Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) and final prints of the fourth quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) can provide XAU/USD intraday traders with opportunities.

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