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According to a report by CICC on February 24, Bilibili (09626.HK)s revenue in the fourth quarter of last year increased by 22% year-on-year to RMB 7.73 billion, in line with expectations, and non-GAAP net profit was RMB 453 million, slightly higher than expected, mainly due to higher-than-expected other income. The bank maintains its forecast for the companys non-GAAP net profit for this year and next year. Taking into account the increase in the industrys average valuation and the companys improved earnings, it raises the Hong Kong stock target price by 16.7% to HK$203 and the US stock target price by 16.1% to US$26, maintaining its outperform rating.On February 24, Goldman Sachs research report pointed out that Ideal Auto (02015.HK) delivered 159,000 new energy passenger vehicles in the fourth quarter of last year, a year-on-year increase of 20% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4%. However, due to the lack of new models, the companys market share in the mainlands new energy vehicle retail market has dropped from 5% in the third quarter of 2024 to 4.1%. The bank expects the companys total revenue in the fourth quarter to be RMB 44 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2%. Among them, automobile revenue will increase by 4% year-on-year to RMB 42 billion; the average selling price will fall by 13% year-on-year to RMB 266,000. At the same time, the total gross profit during the period is expected to be RMB 9.6 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2%; the gross profit margin is 22%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.5 percentage points. The bank raised its net profit forecast for the company in 2024 by 10% due to better cost management, and lowered its net profit forecast for this year and next year by 4% to 6% due to lower sales and delivery volumes. The bank raised the companys H-share target price from HK$131 to HK$137 and maintained its buy rating.On February 24, Goldman Sachs published a report stating that NIO (09866.HK) delivered 73,000 new energy vehicles in the last quarter of last year, up 45% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter. The companys market share in new energy vehicles in the mainland shrank from 2% in the third quarter of last year to 1.9% in the last quarter. The bank expects NIOs revenue to increase by 17% year-on-year to RMB 20 billion. Due to the increase in the sales proportion of Ledao L60, the bank expects NIOs automotive business to have a lower gross profit margin in the last quarter; but due to economies of scale and cooperation with partners, the gross profit margin of the battery replacement business is expected to improve. The bank expects NIO to have an EBIT loss of RMB 6 billion in the last quarter; non-GAAP net loss is expected to be RMB 4.9 billion. To reflect the latest sales and pricing trends, the non-GAAP net profit forecasts for this year and next year are reduced by 2% and 1% respectively, and the valuation basis is extended for one year. The target price of Hong Kong stocks is raised from HK$27 to HK$30, and the rating is sold.On February 24, according to the Financial Times, ECB board member Wensch said that the ECB faces the risk of unknowingly cutting interest rates too much and needs to be prepared to stop cutting interest rates as soon as possible. The market generally expects the ECB to cut its deposit rate from 2.75% to 2% by the end of the year due to signs of weak economic growth in Europe. Wensch said, I am not pleading for a pause in interest rate cuts in April, but we must not raise interest rates to 2% without thinking. Let us keep it open, and if the data proves that further interest rate cuts are justified, the ECB will cut interest rates; otherwise, we may have to suspend interest rate cuts. Schnabel, an influential member of the six-member ECB Executive Board, also hinted that the ECB may have almost completed the interest rate cut by cutting the deposit rate from 4% to 2.75% since June.Samsung Electronics Union: Samsung Electronics management and the union reached an agreement on a 5.1% salary increase.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will ascend past $1,950 as the US Dollar and yields retreat

Alina Haynes

Mar 30, 2023 15:55

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Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates intraday loss, the second in a run, around $1,965 on Thursday's European session as the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields struggle to defend yesterday's gains amid conflicting sentiment. With this, the precious metal recovers from its second consecutive weekly loss amid a cautious tone ahead of the most important inflation data from Europe and the United States.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) falls from its intraday high to near 102.60, reflecting sentiment, while S&P 500 Futures struggle near a one-week high from the previous trading day. In addition, the US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields lose upward momentum near 3.57 and 4.04 percent, respectively.

 

China's Premier Li Qiang's expectation that the economic situation in March will be even better than in January and February, along with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's signals of a policy reversal after one more rate hike, appear to have contributed to the recent Gold price increase.

 

However, it should be noted that the majority of central bankers defend their previous inflation bias and thus challenge Gold Buyers. In addition, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, stated on Thursday, "Urgently need faster, more efficient mechanisms for providing debt support to vulnerable countries." Her remarks revive previously alleviated banking concerns.

 

Moreover, market preparations for top-tier inflation data from Europe and the United States appear to permit the Gold price to minimize weekly losses. Nevertheless, the US fourth quarter (Q4) Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) and final prints of the fourth quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) can provide XAU/USD intraday traders with opportunities.