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C3.ai (AI.N) surged during trading, with gains exceeding 10% at one point.Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.19% at 26,643 points in overnight trading, a discount of 6 points.On November 11th, JPMorgan Private Bank stated that the strong upward momentum in gold prices could push them above $5,000 per ounce next year, primarily driven by continued purchases by central banks in emerging market economies. Alex Wolf, Global Head of Macro and Fixed Income Strategy at the bank, pointed out that gold prices could reach $5,200 to $5,300 by the end of 2026, more than 25% higher than current trading levels. Global central bank gold purchases have been a key driver of the sharp rise in gold prices over the past two years. Policymakers seeking a store of value and asset diversification pushed gold prices to a record high of over $4,380 in October this year. Although prices have retreated somewhat in recent weeks, they are still up more than 50% year-to-date. Wolf stated that for many central banks, gold still represents a relatively small proportion of their foreign exchange reserves, especially in emerging market countries. He added, "We are still seeing them increasing their gold holdings, although the pace of purchases may slow due to rising prices."On November 11, Hamas spokesman Hazem Qasim stated on the 10th that Israel is deliberately expanding the "yellow line" area in northern Gaza, effectively altering the post-ceasefire border, and has failed to implement the previously agreed-upon ceasefire map. He described the recent Israeli military operations in several areas as a "systematic breach" of the ceasefire agreement. Qasim said Hamas, through the mediators, has requested heavy machinery to search for the bodies of Israeli detainees in the rubble, but continued Israeli restrictions are hindering the operation.U.S. Senate Republican Leader Thune: Im not sure if I can vote today.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD to fall below $1,660 as DXY strengthens and US Inflation is eyed

Daniel Rogers

Oct 11, 2022 14:28

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In early Asia, the gold price (XAU/USD) is exhibiting erratic movements below $1,670.00. The precious metal is anticipated to exhibit extreme volatility if it breaches the support level of $1,660.00 as the risk-off profile intensifies in response to Russia's military attacks on Ukraine. After breaking the Crimean bridge in Russia that serves as a supply route for Russian forces in southern Ukraine, Russia has escalated its missile attacks against Kiev.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) has strengthened in response to the gloomy market sentiment and established itself solidly above the round-level barrier of 113.00. Monday was a holiday in the United States, but S&P500 futures remained extremely volatile due to unfavorable market sentiment.

 

This week, the mega-event of US inflation data will provide clear direction for the future. Gasoline price declines have resulted in a reduced consensus for the US inflation rate. The economic statistics is estimated to be 8.1% lower. While core inflation, which excludes oil and food costs, is estimated to be 6.5% higher.

 

According to the CME Fedwatch tool, there is a greater than 78% chance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce a fourth consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points (bps).

 

On an hourly basis, gold prices have fallen below the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $1,672.61 and are approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $1,658.90. Around $1,690.00, the 50-period and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have formed a death cross, which strengthens the downward filters.

 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the negative zone between 20.00 and 40.00, indicating further weakness ahead.