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South Korean President Lee Jae-myung: We must expedite the administrative processes related to the chip industry cluster.July 6th - Members of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Researchs (NZIER) Shadow Monetary Policy Committee held nearly equal views, reflecting uncertainty about the Reserve Bank of New Zealands (RBNZ) policy outlook ahead of its July meeting. The NZIER Shadow Monetary Policy Committee narrowly supported keeping the RBNZs Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.25% in July, but called it a move roughly equivalent to a 25 basis point rate hike. Those supporting raising the OCR to a neutral level as soon as possible cited rising inflation as the primary reason. Weak demand and high unemployment were considered key reasons for carefully weighing tightening policies. Members differed on the impact of oil prices, with some believing the inflationary impact was temporary and waning, while others warned that price pressures could persist for a longer period. Some members indicated that the next significant policy assessment would be around the time of the second-quarter CPI data release. The committee unanimously agreed that the OCR should rise to 3% to 3.25% over the next year. Several committee members stated that monetary policy needs to gradually return to a neutral level, while also pointing out that weak demand and high unemployment mean the Fed should carefully manage the pace of tightening.International crude oil prices are trending weakly. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market conversion prices of crude oil between domestic and international markets.Spot gold and silver rebounded from their lows; a chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market prices of precious metals, converted between domestic and international markets.July 6th - Samsung Electronics, the worlds largest memory chip manufacturer, is set to release its second-quarter results on Tuesday. Analysts average forecast predicts preliminary operating profit of 84.3 trillion won (approximately $55.1 billion), an 18-fold increase year-over-year, exceeding its full-year profit for 2025. Revenue is expected to grow by 127%, reaching a record 169 trillion won. Since June, chip stocks have experienced several significant corrections due to market concerns about intensified competition, potential overcapacity, and the return on massive AI investments. This further amplifies the importance of Samsungs results, as market expectations are already high, leaving little room for the company to disappoint. Dave Mazza, CEO of Roundhill Financial, stated, "Samsungs results come at a time when the market is simultaneously questioning both the supply and demand sides of the memory chip investment logic. If the results are close to market expectations, it will help quell the controversy and benefit Samsung."

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD stabilizes solidly above $1,750 as DXY retreats in front of Jackson Hole

Daniel Rogers

Aug 25, 2022 14:45

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During the Asian trading session, the gold price (XAU/USD) reached a fresh four-day high of $1,756.77. Prior to the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the US dollar index (DXY) is experiencing a self-off, which is favorable for the precious metal. The DXY has showed a gloomy initial trading session and has fallen to approach Tuesday's low of 108.36.

 

The foreign exchange (FX) market is anticipated to continue volatile as investors receive contradictory comments from analysts regarding Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Undoubtedly, the data indicate that price pressures are close to peak, and the loss in private sector activity causes the Fed to decrease the rate at which it is increasing interest rates.

 

However, the inflation rate is above 8%, and the Fed's onerous task of raising interest rates will continue for some time.

 

In addition, investors will focus on the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for the second quarter, which is anticipated to remain unchanged at 4.4%.

 

On an hourly scale, gold prices are seeking to break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $1,758.40 (set from Monday's low of $1,727.87 to August 10's high of $1,807.93). At $1,756.20, the precious gold has pierced the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). In addition, the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $1,748.46 is rising, adding to the upward filters. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (14) has moved into the bullish zone of 60.00-80.00, indicating further gain.