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On October 18th, Deutsche Banks latest report showed that golds share of global foreign exchange and gold reserves has increased to 30%, while the US dollars share has fallen from 43% to 40% over the same period. Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out that for gold to catch up with the US dollar in terms of share, assuming current holdings remain unchanged, the gold price would need to rise to approximately $5,790 per ounce.A Ukrainian drone attack in the Russian-controlled Kherson region has killed two people, the local governor said.On October 18, local time, Afghan government spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid issued a statement saying that negotiations with Pakistan are scheduled to be held in Doha, the capital of Qatar, on the same day. A high-level delegation led by Afghan Defense Minister Yakub has set off for Doha.On October 18th, recently, there have been continuous reports from Tesla owners in South Korea that the battery management system of some models has malfunctioned, resulting in the maximum charge capacity of the car being limited to about 50%, seriously affecting the normal use of the vehicle. Teslas passive response has caused strong dissatisfaction among consumers. It is reported that Teslas car registrations in South Korea increased from 15,000 in 2020 to 112,000 in the first half of this year. The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport of South Korea has launched an investigation and stated that once defects are confirmed, it will order a mandatory recall. At the same time, South Korea asked Tesla to submit a rectification plan last month, but has not received a response so far. A person related to the South Korean Ministry of Environment said that they are considering canceling Teslas electric vehicle subsidy eligibility.On October 18th, Afghanistans Dawn News website reported, citing Afghan security sources, that Pakistan launched an airstrike in Paktika, Afghanistans eastern border province, on the evening of the 17th, killing at least 17 civilians, including three cricket players. The report said the attack occurred around 8:30 PM local time, when a Pakistani fighter jet struck a residential building. Sources said another 16 people were injured, including women and children. Afghan government spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid announced in a statement on social media on the 18th that Defense Minister Yaqoob had led a senior government delegation to Doha, Qatar. Earlier, local media reported that a delegation composed of senior security and intelligence officials from Afghanistan and Pakistan would hold talks in Doha to discuss extending the ceasefire and other issues.

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls assault $1,750 as market participants prepare for Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 25, 2022 14:50

 截屏2022-08-24 下午3.50.19_1024x576.png

 

After a two-day rally, the gold price (XAU/USD) remains on the defensive at $1,752 during Thursday's Asian session. In doing so, gold reflects the market's nervousness in advance of significant data/events and in response to the mixed results of recently revealed information.

 

In spite of this, US Durable Goods Orders for July fell to 0.0%, compared to 0.6% projected and a revised up 2.2% prior estimate. Nondefense Capital Goods Orders excluding Aircraft, however, surpassed the 0.3% market consensus to reach 0.4%, up from 0.9% previously. Additionally, Pending Home Sales improved to -1.0% MoM in July, compared to -4.0% projected and -8.9% previously (revised down from -8.9%). Annually, Pending Home Sales declined by 19.9%, compared to the previous annual decline of 20%.

 

On the other hand, economic fears support the US dollar's safe-haven demand, as S&P Global Market Intelligence's Executive Director of Economic Research, Sara Johnson, said in a statement on Wednesday that global growth is expected to remain subdued in late 2022 and 2023, while inflation is anticipated to moderate over the next two years.

 

However, predictions that China will overcome its recessionary troubles and that Fed Chairman Powell will reiterate his cautious words at Jackson Hole appeared to have weighed on the DXY bulls. "Various Chinese official media organizations are defending the yuan following its recent fall, arguing that the country's robust exports could offset a stronger dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve rate hikes," Reuters reported on Wednesday. Due to China's role as one of the world's major gold consumers, gold traders are increasingly concerned about the dragon nation.

 

XAU/USD may experience a pullback if Fed Chair Jerome Powell surprises markets with a hawkish tone amid recession fears, given the current mixed market conditions and the US dollar's reluctance to re-establish its multi-year high.

 

The second edition of the US GDP for the second quarter will be added to the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for the same period to beautify the calendar intraday. However, Jackson Hole will receive the most of the focus for new initiatives.

 

Despite recent inactivity, the gold price maintains the rebound above the prior resistance line from mid-April, suggesting more higher momentum towards a 10-week-old resistance line near $1,788.


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