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On September 22, Federal Reserve Chairman Mohamed Mussaleem stated on Monday that the Fed may need to further raise interest rates to curb inflation due to strong demand and the impact of commodity prices extending beyond the oil sector. He emphasized that the Fed should act sooner rather than later. Mussaleem stated, “Persistent demand and recurring supply pressures continue to exacerbate inflation risks. I believe that without further policy measures to curb inflation, it is likely that in 18 months, inflation will be significantly higher than our 2% target, rather than reaching it. I believe policy must impose meaningful constraints on inflation. This would allow the Fed to achieve its inflation target in about a year and a half, thus allowing time for tightening to have an impact on the economy.” He added, “Earlier, gradual tightening is more appropriate and less shocking to the economy than later, larger, and potentially more abrupt policy moves.” Mussaleem pointed out that inflation “is not a risk; it already exists,” and even after excluding the effects of oil and other supply-related factors, the underlying inflation rate could still be several percentage points higher than the Fed’s target and is “heading in the wrong direction.”As of the 2:30 closing bell, the main Shanghai gold futures contract fell 0.39%, the main Shanghai silver futures contract fell 0.70%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract fell 2.26%.Federal Reserves Mussalim: Business contacts indicated they plan to raise prices to "close to 3%".Federal Reserve Chairman Mossallem: Rate hikes are best done "earlier and gradually," rather than "delayed and drastic."Federal Reserves Mussalim: The labor market remains stable near full employment and is not a source of inflationary pressures.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD jumps $1,770 as risk appetite recovers and US NFP buzzes

Daniel Rogers

Aug 03, 2022 14:50

 截屏2022-08-02 下午5.45.26_1024x576.png

 

After reaching a low of $1,755.00 during the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has exhibited a purchasing response. The precious metal entered a corrective wave following a two-week juggernaut rally. In addition, a return in favorable market mood has strengthened the gold bulls.

 

Earlier, the escalation of Sino-American tensions over Taiwan caused a decline in risk appetite. The problem has not been resolved despite the presence of Russian and Chinese navy vessels near the disputed Taiwanese island. In response, Taiwan's Defense Ministry has stated that it will oppose any Chinese action that violates Taiwan's territorial sovereignty.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) benefited from market participants' liquidity on Tuesday, after investors supported the risk-off impulse. Now, the pessimistic forecast for US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is pulling down the DXY. The DXY has printed a low of 106.00 as job gains are estimated to be 250k, which is less than the previous report of 372k. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain unchanged at 3.6%. Major corporate players in the United States have abandoned the recruitment process for the remaining workforce, which will be reflected in the employment data.

 

The gold prices quickly recaptured $1,764.23, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). On a four-hour period, the precious metal is trading within a Rising Channel, the higher section of which is shown from the July 22 high of $1,739.37 and the lower portion from the July 21 low of $1,681.87.

 

The 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $1,750.00 has held unchanged and is rising, adding to the upward filters. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (14) is striving to reclaim the bullish zone of 60.00-80.00 in order to accelerate the upward movement.


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