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March 2 - According to information obtained from Iran on March 1 local time, a residence of CIA officials in the United Arab Emirates was targeted during the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps missile attack on February 28, resulting in the deaths of six senior CIA officials and injuries to two others.The Israeli military stated that it will continue to launch large-scale attacks on multiple targets within Tehran.March 2nd - The large-scale attacks by the US and Israel against Iran have sparked concerns about a potential escalation of regional conflict and a prolonged disruption to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, causing crude oil prices to surge by over 12% in Asian trading on Monday. Joré Leon, head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy, stated, "The most direct and obvious impact on the oil market is the complete halt of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. This appears to be driven by escalating tensions and precautionary decisions made by shipping and insurance companies, rather than an actual physical blockade by Iran." Charoen, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank, added, "The rise in oil prices could be more sustained than typical headline-grabbing swings because the market has already factored in the price per barrel and the cost of transporting oil, given the conflict across the Middle East. Even without a full embargo, higher war risk premiums, rerouting, and adjustments to insurance rates could keep crude oil and freight costs persistently high."March 2nd - U.S. stock index futures opened lower on Monday, with Nasdaq and Dow futures falling more than 1%, and S&P 500 futures falling more than 0.9%.March 2 - International oil prices surged $8 at the open on Monday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran disrupted oil shipments. Brent crude reached a high of $82.37 per barrel, while WTI crude jumped to $75.33 per barrel.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD jumps $1,770 as risk appetite recovers and US NFP buzzes

Daniel Rogers

Aug 03, 2022 14:50

 截屏2022-08-02 下午5.45.26_1024x576.png

 

After reaching a low of $1,755.00 during the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has exhibited a purchasing response. The precious metal entered a corrective wave following a two-week juggernaut rally. In addition, a return in favorable market mood has strengthened the gold bulls.

 

Earlier, the escalation of Sino-American tensions over Taiwan caused a decline in risk appetite. The problem has not been resolved despite the presence of Russian and Chinese navy vessels near the disputed Taiwanese island. In response, Taiwan's Defense Ministry has stated that it will oppose any Chinese action that violates Taiwan's territorial sovereignty.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) benefited from market participants' liquidity on Tuesday, after investors supported the risk-off impulse. Now, the pessimistic forecast for US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is pulling down the DXY. The DXY has printed a low of 106.00 as job gains are estimated to be 250k, which is less than the previous report of 372k. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain unchanged at 3.6%. Major corporate players in the United States have abandoned the recruitment process for the remaining workforce, which will be reflected in the employment data.

 

The gold prices quickly recaptured $1,764.23, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). On a four-hour period, the precious metal is trading within a Rising Channel, the higher section of which is shown from the July 22 high of $1,739.37 and the lower portion from the July 21 low of $1,681.87.

 

The 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $1,750.00 has held unchanged and is rising, adding to the upward filters. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (14) is striving to reclaim the bullish zone of 60.00-80.00 in order to accelerate the upward movement.