EUR/USD 1.14114
0.308%
Gold 4071.35
1.000%
Oil 67.614
-0.606%
USD/JPY 161.188
-0.857%
GBP/USD 1.33429
0.517%
GBP/JPY 215.072
-0.334%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
According to LSEG IBES analyst forecasts, European companies expect second-quarter earnings to grow by 14.5%, while revenue is expected to decline by 11.4%.According to Reuters data, the discount of Dubai spot crude oil to swap prices has widened to more than $4 per barrel, the largest discount since May 2020.On July 2, the Ministry of Natural Resources issued a legal commentary on the announcement by Japan and the Philippines to initiate bilateral maritime boundary delimitation negotiations. The document states that Japan and the Philippines recently announced the commencement of negotiations on the delimitation of their exclusive economic zones and continental shelves in the waters east of Taiwan. China, Japan, and the Philippines are maritime neighbors in this region, and the proposed delimitation area largely overlaps with Chinas exclusive economic zone and continental shelf under international law. This move, without consultation with China, disregards the specific geographical conditions of the region, violates the principles of sovereign equality and good faith under international law, as well as the obligations of cooperation and restraint, constituting an internationally wrongful act. To fulfill their international obligations and assume their national responsibilities, Japan and the Philippines should immediately cease their bilateral maritime boundary delimitation negotiations and actively engage in consultations with China.July 2nd, Futures News: The market is closely monitoring the navigation status and shipping recovery progress of the Strait of Hormuz. Several cargo ships have already transited the strait, but their final unloading destinations are yet to be determined. In the short term, sulfur prices are highly susceptible to various geopolitical developments and information regarding the straits navigability, leading to a cautious trading atmosphere. Once the sulfur successfully exits the strait, it will be redistributed among various consuming countries globally, leaving uncertainties regarding my countrys import sources. The current tight supply in the spot market has not been substantially alleviated, and most industry players and traders are maintaining a cautious approach.Jun Mimura, Japans top foreign exchange official: No comment on exchange rate levels.

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD Is Being Offered and Is Approaching Critical Support

Larissa Barlow

Apr 25, 2022 10:17

Gold prices have been under pressure in Tokyo and have fallen to a new Asian session low of $1,927.50c, down 0.2 percent at the time of writing. The US dollar is firming at an hourly support level as the euro begins to stall on its opening bid following the French election results.

 

The XAU/USD bears are in early doors as the focus continues on the Federal Reserve, with market investors bracing for a faster-than-expected rate of reversion to neutral rates by the central bank.

 

"Rates continue to reprice higher as the market pencils in another rate hike in 2022, pricing in 10 additional hikes over the course of the year, implying a bigger overshoot of neutral. While gold prices have remained extremely resilient in the face of an aggressively hawkish Federal Reserve, as a protracted war in Ukraine simultaneously increased geopolitical uncertainty and inflation risks, fueling demand for safe havens, we see few participants remaining with an appetite to buy gold," TD Securities analysts said.

 

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell proposed a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in his presentation to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday. This has increased the likelihood of the Fed announcing a big rate hike in May monetary policy. Additionally, Powell stated that the US economy's multi-decade high inflation requires a rapid pace of interest rate hikes, implying that investors should brace for more than one 50 basis point rate hike announcement this year. Additionally, the market's risk-aversion trend is supporting the greenback versus the precious metal.

Technical Analysis of Gold

On an hourly basis, XAU/USD is bouncing below the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level at $1,931.56 (which corresponds to the March 29 low of $1,890.21 and last week's high of $1,998.43). The 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are contracting, confirming the downside tendency. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into a bearish area of 20.00-40.00, indicating the possibility of a new bearish impulsive wave. 

Gold Hourly Chart

image.png 

Suggestion