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Traders have reduced their bets on a European Central Bank rate hike, which is now expected to be 35 basis points by the end of the year.June 12th - To support the "Clean Up the Internet: Rectifying the Chaos in AI Applications" campaign, further regulate AI services and applications, promote the healthy and orderly development of the industry, and effectively protect citizens legitimate rights and interests, the Cyberspace Administration of Chinas Reporting Center will launch a "Special Reporting Zone for Chaos in AI Applications" starting in June 2026, specifically to accept public reports. The scope of accepted reports mainly includes 14 categories of issues, such as inadequate implementation of labeling for generated and synthesized content, and the creation and dissemination of false, inaccurate, violent, and vulgar information.June 12th - The 2026 USA FIFA World Cup officially kicked off on June 11th local time. During the opening ceremony, two adorably ugly Labubu dolls, one brown and one blue, appeared on stage. Their unique and cute appearance became a delightful surprise for the event. It is reported that the World Cup co-branded "Labubu" dolls, priced at 599 yuan, have already sold tens of thousands of units, quickly selling out after being available for purchase during the live stream.June 12 – The 12th China-Latin America and Caribbean Infrastructure Cooperation Forum, hosted by the Ministry of Commerce of China and organized by the China International Contractors Association and the Macao Investment Promotion Institute, was successfully held in Macao from June 10 to 12. Li Chenggang stated that, guided by the five major projects announced by President Xi Jinping at the opening ceremony of the Fourth Ministerial Meeting of the China-CELAC Forum, China is focusing on green and low-carbon transformation and digital technology innovation, continuously promoting the upgrading of China-Latin America trade and investment cooperation. China will deepen strategic alignment and people-to-people cooperation with Latin American countries, firmly uphold the multilateral trading system, create an inclusive and open development environment, promote the digitalization, greening, and intelligentization of infrastructure cooperation, continuously enhance the sustainability of China-Latin America infrastructure cooperation, and ensure that the fruits of cooperation better benefit the people of China and Latin America.June 12th - The UKs GDP fell 0.1% month-on-month in April, impacted by the economic downturn caused by the war with Iran. Data released by the Office for National Statistics on Friday was in line with economists expectations of a decline. The weak April performance was partly due to the fading of factors that drove exceptionally strong growth in March, when consumers stockpiled petrol and manufacturers moved up production in anticipation of higher energy prices from the Iran war. Looking at the less volatile three-month rolling data, the UK economy grew 0.7% in the three months to April compared to the previous three months, in line with analysts expectations. Since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict in late February, damage to energy infrastructure and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have driven oil prices sharply higher. The weak April performance is another blow to Prime Minister Starmer, who is facing a leadership challenge if Andy Burnham wins next weeks Mekfield by-election.

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD Is Being Offered and Is Approaching Critical Support

Larissa Barlow

Apr 25, 2022 10:17

Gold prices have been under pressure in Tokyo and have fallen to a new Asian session low of $1,927.50c, down 0.2 percent at the time of writing. The US dollar is firming at an hourly support level as the euro begins to stall on its opening bid following the French election results.

 

The XAU/USD bears are in early doors as the focus continues on the Federal Reserve, with market investors bracing for a faster-than-expected rate of reversion to neutral rates by the central bank.

 

"Rates continue to reprice higher as the market pencils in another rate hike in 2022, pricing in 10 additional hikes over the course of the year, implying a bigger overshoot of neutral. While gold prices have remained extremely resilient in the face of an aggressively hawkish Federal Reserve, as a protracted war in Ukraine simultaneously increased geopolitical uncertainty and inflation risks, fueling demand for safe havens, we see few participants remaining with an appetite to buy gold," TD Securities analysts said.

 

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell proposed a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in his presentation to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday. This has increased the likelihood of the Fed announcing a big rate hike in May monetary policy. Additionally, Powell stated that the US economy's multi-decade high inflation requires a rapid pace of interest rate hikes, implying that investors should brace for more than one 50 basis point rate hike announcement this year. Additionally, the market's risk-aversion trend is supporting the greenback versus the precious metal.

Technical Analysis of Gold

On an hourly basis, XAU/USD is bouncing below the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level at $1,931.56 (which corresponds to the March 29 low of $1,890.21 and last week's high of $1,998.43). The 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are contracting, confirming the downside tendency. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into a bearish area of 20.00-40.00, indicating the possibility of a new bearish impulsive wave. 

Gold Hourly Chart

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