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July 15th news, local time on the 15th, Ukrainian President Zelensky signed a law on Ukraines recognition of multiple citizenship, a law on approving the establishment of a special tribunal for Russias invasion of Ukraine, and a law on temporarily suspending the implementation of the Ottawa Mine Ban Convention.Doug Porter, chief economist at Bank of Montreal Capital Markets, said on July 15 that Canadas core inflation remains high amid below-potential economic growth, partly due to retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. In June, the core consumer price index (CPI) indicator favored by the Bank of Canada remained at 3%, at the upper limit of the central banks inflation target range. He said the June CPI data "leaves the Bank of Canada no reason to cut interest rates on July 30." Porter pointed out that housing costs put upward pressure on core inflation, as did retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. For example, durable goods price increases accelerated to 2.7% in June from 2% in May; car prices rose 4.1%; furniture prices rose 3.3%; and clothing and footwear prices rose 2%.July 15th, Capital Economics analyst Thomas Ryan said that Canadas June inflation report showed that cost pressures in the countrys economy persisted, which may be caused by the weakening of the Canadian dollar and the impact of retaliatory tariffs on US imports. He pointed out that the three-month annualized growth rate of the core consumer price index in June reached 3.5%, a six-month high. Ryan told clients: "Therefore, the door to a rate cut by the Bank of Canada in July is now completely closed."July 15th, Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer of Northern Light Asset Management, said that traders have been paying close attention to the consumer price index report released today, and the Federal Reserve may be more concerned - the internal debate on whether to cut interest rates immediately continues. Fortunately, this mornings report was basically in line with expectations, and the core (excluding food and energy) data showed that inflation was under control (for example, the monthly increase was lower than expected, and the annual increase was consistent with the consensus expectation of 2.9%). If inflation does remain under control, then the Federal Reserve can start to cut interest rates - possibly as early as September; but if subsequent reports show a different trend, the Federal Reserve will have to maintain the current policy for longer.July 15th, Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York, said that todays inflation report is generally good news, as the monthly increase of core inflation by 0.2% is in line with expectations. The annual data is slightly higher than expected. We can see from the overall data that some of the inflation caused by tariffs may be gradually emerging. But this data can give the Federal Reserve a breather, allowing them to keep interest rates unchanged in July. They need to refer to the data in July and August before making a decision in September.

Gold Maintains Recent Advances While Investors Await GDP And Inflation Data

Aria Thomas

Dec 22, 2022 11:35

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Gold prices increased on Thursday as fears of a recession in 2023 prompted some safe-haven buying of the yellow metal, with attention now shifting to this week's crucial numbers on U.S. economic growth and inflation.


The price of gold rose this week against a lower dollar, which was in part weighed down by the Bank of Japan's less dovish than anticipated position. The dollar was also weakened by rising wagers that U.S. inflation has reached its peak, which could prompt the Federal Reserve to reduce its rate hikes.


Spot gold increased 0.2% to $1,818.58 per ounce by 20:08 ET, while gold futures advanced 0.1% to $1,827.45 per ounce (01:08 GMT). The yellow metal was trading close to a five-month high, up 1.5% for the week.


The markets are currently awaiting revised third-quarter GDP statistics from the U.S. An first estimate indicated that the economy grew by 2.9% in the third quarter, which was better than anticipated, and economists anticipate that the figure will remain unchanged in its first revision, scheduled later in the day.


This week, all eyes are on the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the preferred inflation gauge of the Federal Reserve. In November, the core index is anticipated to have decreased more than the previous month.


However, the index remains significantly above the Fed's yearly goal range, signaling that the central bank must continue to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation.


In the coming months, the likelihood of higher interest rates in developed countries is likely to keep gold prices restrained, as the Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, and Bank of England deliver hawkish signals.


Thursday was a positive day for other precious metals, although their prognosis remains uncertain. This week's focus is also on Japanese consumer inflation statistics, particularly after the BOJ tightened policy after nearly a decade of supportive policies.


Copper prices soared among industrial metals as additional signals of an economic recovery in China emerged, despite China's enormous increase in COVID-19 cases.


Copper futures increased 0.7% to $3.8425 per pound and were projected to increase by more than 2% this week.


The outlook for copper prices remains uncertain in the face of rising interest rates and a possible economic downturn.