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On June 7th, US President Trump stated that it would be a mistake for Federal Reserve policymakers to raise interest rates after the US jobs data significantly exceeded expectations. He also insisted that he did not want to influence Kevin Warsh before his first Fed meeting. In an interview with NBC, Trump said, "These days, whenever the economic data is good, the market goes down because everyone thinks the Fed will raise rates. But theres absolutely no reason to raise rates." Trumps remarks further increased the economic and political pressure on Warsh. Trump stated, "Raising the benchmark interest rate is the wrong thing to do. In fact, we should lower rates." Trump added, "I work with Kevin now. I have a lot of respect for him, but my view is that when a countrys economy is doing well, it shouldnt be punished immediately by raising interest rates." He further added, "We have a debt problem, and a lot of other things to deal with, a lot of plans to move forward. I want to further increase defense spending."June 7th - According to a communique released after Sundays OPEC meeting, the seven OPEC+ member countries (Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman) decided to raise their daily crude oil production ceiling by 188,000 barrels starting in July. The communique stated that the countries reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and will retain full flexibility to increase, suspend, or reverse voluntary production cuts. The seven countries will meet again on July 5th.US President Trump: There is no reason to raise interest rates (regarding the Federal Reserve).1. Monday: ① Data: Japans April trade balance; Switzerlands May consumer confidence index; Eurozones June Sentix investor confidence index. ② Holiday: Australia closed for the day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Chinas May trade balance; Germanys April seasonally adjusted trade balance and industrial production month-on-month; US April trade balance, NFIB small business confidence index, ADP employment change week-on-week, May existing home sales report, and April wholesale sales month-on-month report. ② Event: Apples WWDC developer conference, until June 13. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory weekly report, May CPI; Chinas May CPI, PPI, M2 and other financial data (time to be determined). ② Event: EIA releases monthly short-term energy outlook report; Bank of Canada interest rate decision, press conference by the governor and senior deputy governor. ③ Earnings report: Oracle. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US initial jobless claims, May PPI, and EIA natural gas storage weekly report. ② Events: US 10-year Treasury auction; ECB interest rate decision and ECB presidents press conference; OPEC monthly report. 5. Friday: ① Data: German and French May CPI; UK April three-month GDP month-on-month rate, manufacturing output month-on-month rate, seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, industrial production month-on-month rate; US June one-year inflation rate expectation preliminary value, University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary value. ② Events: Huawei Developer Conference, SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, World Cup officially starts. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending June 12.According to Saudi media Alhadath, Israel notified the United States in advance before attacking the southern suburbs of Beirut.

Gold Falls As The U.S. Federal Reserve And CPI Week Start

Haiden Holmes

Dec 12, 2022 10:19

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Gold prices slipped slightly below key levels on Monday, as caution set in ahead of vital U.S. inflation data and a Federal Reserve meeting this week, while COVID-19 cases in China pushed copper prices lower.


According to data released last week, U.S. producer price inflation fell further in November, albeit at a slower rate than anticipated. Consequently, bullion prices increased, but to a lower level than predicted. Tuesday's report of the consumer price index may reveal a similar pattern, based on this outcome.


This year, growing U.S. inflation spurred the Federal Reserve to conduct a series of quick interest rate hikes, which had a considerable negative impact on metal markets by raising the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.


On Wednesday, the central bank is anticipated to conclude a two-day meeting during which it will raise interest rates by an extremely tiny 50 basis points. However, the direction of U.S. inflation will have a significant impact on the extent of future rate hikes.


As of 19:30 EST, spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,793.72 per ounce, while gold futures fell 0.3% to $1,804.95 per ounce (00:30 GMT). Traders remained cautious ahead of this week's crucial data releases, keeping the yellow metal's price mostly flat last week.


Platinum prices decreased 1.7% on Monday, while silver futures decreased 0.5%.


The markets are wary of any indications that U.S. inflation stayed higher than anticipated in November, since this might lead to further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The central bank has warned that if inflation proves to be persistent, U.S. interest rates may peak at higher-than-anticipated levels.


The dollar rose moderately on Monday in anticipation of U.S. economic data, with further support from PPI inflation data that above market forecasts.


Following two consecutive weeks of gains, copper prices decreased on Monday as COVID-related uncertainty in China grew.


Copper futures fell 0.4% to $3.8412 a pound.


China loosened a number of statewide anti-COVID regulations last week, a move that is anticipated to gradually stimulate the world's second-largest economy.


Scientists have cautioned, however, that the loosening of COVID limitations is likely to result in a rise in infections in the near future, which might delay the total removal of restrictions.


This has raised doubts about the timing of an economic recovery in the world's largest copper importer.


The outlook for copper, which normally flourishes in high-growth environments, has also been impacted by deteriorating economic data from a number of key nations.