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On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.On October 25th, the U.S. federal government shutdown entered its 24th day. More and more federal employees forced to take unpaid leave are facing the dilemma of not being able to pay their bills or mortgages, and many are forced to queue up at food banks for assistance. Jacobs, president of the local CDC union, stated that both parties are using the livelihoods of federal employees as bargaining chips in political negotiations, and that the current chaotic situation is unprecedented.On October 25, Lizhong Group responded to investors on an interactive platform, saying that the second phase of the companys project to produce 3.6 million ultra-lightweight aluminum alloy wheels annually in Mexico, with an output of 1.8 million wheels, has now been put into initial production. The company is actively promoting the running-in of the production line and the release of production capacity, striving to achieve the goal of full production and sales as soon as possible.According to news on October 25, from January to September this year, the cumulative transaction volume of new houses in Foshan was 23,611 units and 2.8425 million square meters, which was lower than the transaction volume in the same period last year; but the cumulative transaction volume of second-hand houses was 40,990 units and 5.008 million square meters, an increase of 3.3% and 4.3% year-on-year respectively.On October 25, Russian Presidents Special Representative Kirill Dmitriev said during his visit to the United States on the 24th that he believed that all parties were "very close" to reaching a diplomatic solution to the Ukrainian issue, and Russia was open to Ukraine obtaining third-party "security guarantees" in the future.

European Gas Prices Fluctuate Amid LNG Surge And Arctic Blast

Skylar Williams

Dec 09, 2022 12:00

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Record LNG imports helped offset a snowstorm that tested Europe's energy crisis endurance.


High prices have boosted LNG shipments into northwest Europe in recent weeks. As heating demand rises, the continent is simultaneously trying to save natural gas.


In the coming days, London to Latvia will see subfreezing temperatures. It's Europe's first significant test of the season after Russia cut gas supplies because of Ukraine. Wind power declines and nuclear outages strain Sweden's and France's energy and gas networks.


Wood Mackenzie's vice president for gas & LNG research expects two-thirds of US LNG shipments to arrive in Europe this year. The biggest impediment to US LNG shipments to Europe is regasification infrastructure.


Despite a dip from 96% in mid-November, Europe's gas storage levels remain at 90%. Recent cold has increased Norway's facilities outages.


During nuclear plant closure, an Arctic blast will test Sweden's power grid.


Traders are also watching developments in China, where Covid-related laws are being loosened. A freeze in Asia might increase LNG competition.


"Germany has one of the highest LNG prices, which has helped attract cargoes," said EnBW's Peter Heydecker. We expect enough LNG to come, but things might change rapidly and we must watch Asia's demand.


Dutch front-month futures rose 1% to €150.80 per megawatt-hour at 13:33 in Amsterdam. UK contract climbed 1.3%.