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On April 30th, according to foreign media reports, copper futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) continued to fall on Wednesday, closing at their lowest price in three weeks. A stronger dollar and soaring oil prices fueled concerns about inflation and economic growth, putting downward pressure on copper prices. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but three Fed policymakers dissented from the policy statement, reflecting a growing division within the Fed regarding whether to continue signaling rate cuts. Meanwhile, the two-month-long Iraq War between the US and Israel has led to a shortage of sulfuric acid, which is used in 20% of global copper production processes. In the medium to long term, green transition, electrification, and the artificial intelligence industry will help boost additional demand for this metal, which is widely used in the power and construction sectors, while copper mines face disruptions such as underinvestment and production interruptions.The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) reported that total UK car production fell 8.2% year-on-year in March to 72,511 vehicles.April 30th - With no signs of a resolution to the Iranian crisis, international oil prices rose for the fourth consecutive day, breaking through $110 per barrel. US President Trump stated that the blockade of Iranian ports would not be lifted until an agreement is reached. Trump discussed possible extensions of the blockade with oil executives; meanwhile, Iranian officials showed no signs of compromise, with the Supreme Leaders military advisor stating that Iran would respond if the blockade continued. Dennis Kisler, Senior Vice President of BOK Financial, stated, "The longer the blockade lasts, the more oil prices will rise. In the long run, this waiting situation may be a driving force for short-term increases in crude oil prices, but it could also be the condition needed to finally end this conflict."Trump praised the rise in Intels (INTC.O) stock price.Meta Platforms (META.O) CEO: We believe users will pay for the target-oriented AI features of the "high-end or high-computing-power version".

Gold Exceeds $1,750 As Fed Members Urge Slower Rate Increases

Haiden Holmes

Nov 24, 2022 14:15

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The dollar fell on Thursday as the minutes of the most recent Federal Reserve meeting indicated that an increasing number of members advocated a slower rate of interest rate hikes.


The minutes, which were released on Wednesday, indicated that the Federal Reserve was growing increasingly concerned about the implications of its recent tightening of monetary policy on the economy and inflation. This year, the benchmark interest rate was raised by 375 basis points (bps), with four consecutive hikes of 75 bps.


However, markets now assign a likelihood of over 80% that the central bank will raise rates by a relatively small 50 basis points in December.


At 19:05 E.T., spot gold jumped 0.2% to $1,753.40 per ounce, while gold futures increased 0.2% to $1,350 per ounce (00:05 GMT). On Wednesday, following the release of the minutes, both assets increased by around 0.6%, while the dollar declined by 1%.


As inflation continues to trend well over the 2% annual target, Fed officials remain uncertain about the level at which U.S. interest rates will peak during this cycle of rate rises.


Next month's CPI inflation data for November will indicate if the nation's inflation rate is falling gradually. However, the strength of consumer spending and the labor market suggests that inflation in the next months may be higher than anticipated.


Notwithstanding, the likelihood of fewer rate hikes by the Fed is good for metal markets, given that this year's big increases in interest rates have significantly raised the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.


Platinum futures increased by 0.2%, whilst silver futures increased by 1.0%.


As a major importer, China is seeing a decline in demand for industrial metals, limiting the sector's growth.


Following a 0.5% advance in the previous session, copper futures decreased 0.1% on Thursday.


While dollar weakness aided copper prices, concerns over China's largest COVID-19 outbreak to date dampened metal demand. As a result of a record-breaking surge in daily infections, the country has enacted new restrictions in a number of major cities this month.


Indications of a tighter copper supply this year have been mostly offset by Chinese demand.