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Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.OPEC+ statement: Reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining market stability, and stated that the global economic outlook is stable and the current oil market fundamentals are healthy with low inventory levels.OPEC+ statement: The eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increasing oil production in March.

Gold And Copper Plummet to 10-day Lows As The Dollar Recovers

Haiden Holmes

Nov 01, 2022 15:04

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On Tuesday, gold prices reached a 10-day low, and broader commodities markets also lost ground as the dollar climbed in anticipation of a widely anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate hike.


Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,631.70 per ounce around 20:05 ET, while gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,637.75 per ounce (00:05 GMT). After a seventh straight month of decline in October, both assets were trading at 10-day lows.


In anticipation of a Federal Reserve meeting that will conclude on Wednesday, the price of bullion is anticipated to decline further. In all likelihood, the central bank will raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps).


Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy will be closely observed, as some predict the central bank may temper its aggressive stance. The markets are divided over the likelihood of a 50 basis point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December, especially in light of the belief that high interest rates may inhibit economic growth.


In spite of this, interest rates in the United States are at their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, which is expected to keep the dollar strong and gold weak in the coming months. Rising Treasury yields this year boosted the opportunity cost of holding gold, prompting investors to shun the yellow metal.


It is projected that if interest rates rise, the bulk of other precious metals would also lose value.


As investors waited for a rate hike, the dollar index climbed 0.8% on Monday, extending its return to a fourth consecutive day. The rise of the dollar has also imposed considerable pressure on the metal markets.


On Tuesday, copper prices remained constant at $3.3812 per pound after losing 1.5% in the prior session.


China, the world's largest copper importer, revealed weaker-than-anticipated manufacturing data, raising fears of a decline in domestic demand.


In addition, it is projected that additional COVID outbreaks in the country may hinder economic activity, which may further diminish commodity demand.


Copper prices have just reached their lowest level in two years as China-related concerns, rising inflation, and rising interest rates hampered demand forecasts.


In the next months, however, the red metal's price is predicted to increase as a result of a decline in Chilean production and U.S. sanctions against Russian miners.