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Copper Rises Ahead of The Fed on China COVID Expectations

Aria Thomas

Nov 02, 2022 14:38

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On Wednesday, gold prices held on to recent gains as the dollar stabilized prior to the conclusion of a Federal Reserve meeting, while copper prices gained on rumors that China may relax its zero-COVID policy.


Gold spot prices were unchanged at $1,648.23 per ounce, whilst gold futures prices rose 0.1% to $1,650.80 per ounce. Both assets rebounded from 10-day lows on Tuesday as the dollar halted its recent advance.


As the dollar index held around 111 on Wednesday, attention switched to the conclusion of a Federal Reserve meeting. Even though it is widely expected that the bank will raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps), the markets will be on the lookout for any hints from the Federal Reserve as to when it may temper its hawkish posture.


Nonetheless, impressive U.S. economic data presented this week suggested that the central bank likely has ample room to continue rapidly increasing interest rates, a scenario that is adverse for gold.


As a result of the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding yellow metal increased as a result of the increase in interest rates.


This year, rising interest rates also affected the metals business.


As a majority of the world's countries struggle with rising inflation, the Bank of England is poised to boost interest rates by 75 basis points on Thursday.


Copper prices stabilized among industrial metals following Tuesday's roughly 3% surge. The price of the precious metal increased due to unfounded rumors that China planned to soften its strict zero-COVID policy, which is at the heart of the country's economic woes this year.


Copper futures increased modestly on Wednesday to $3.4677 per pound. In response to the rumors, Chinese markets and oil prices also increased.


This year, copper prices plummeted as Chinese economic growth slowed, lowering the country's need for the mineral. China is the top copper importer in the world.


Given that Beijing has undertaken a number of economic stimulative measures, it is expected that the relaxing of COVID laws in the country will stimulate a rapid economic recovery.


Given China's market dominance, this could result in huge commodity price hikes. However, Beijing did not issue an official remark on the subject. President Xi Jinping has reaffirmed China's commitment to the zero-COVID strategy.


Copper must also contend with the global economic slump brought on by inflation and interest rate increases. However, supply constraints are projected to favor the red metal in the medium term.