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Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.OPEC+ statement: Reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining market stability, and stated that the global economic outlook is stable and the current oil market fundamentals are healthy with low inventory levels.OPEC+ statement: The eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increasing oil production in March.

Copper Rises Ahead of The Fed on China COVID Expectations

Aria Thomas

Nov 02, 2022 14:38

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On Wednesday, gold prices held on to recent gains as the dollar stabilized prior to the conclusion of a Federal Reserve meeting, while copper prices gained on rumors that China may relax its zero-COVID policy.


Gold spot prices were unchanged at $1,648.23 per ounce, whilst gold futures prices rose 0.1% to $1,650.80 per ounce. Both assets rebounded from 10-day lows on Tuesday as the dollar halted its recent advance.


As the dollar index held around 111 on Wednesday, attention switched to the conclusion of a Federal Reserve meeting. Even though it is widely expected that the bank will raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps), the markets will be on the lookout for any hints from the Federal Reserve as to when it may temper its hawkish posture.


Nonetheless, impressive U.S. economic data presented this week suggested that the central bank likely has ample room to continue rapidly increasing interest rates, a scenario that is adverse for gold.


As a result of the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding yellow metal increased as a result of the increase in interest rates.


This year, rising interest rates also affected the metals business.


As a majority of the world's countries struggle with rising inflation, the Bank of England is poised to boost interest rates by 75 basis points on Thursday.


Copper prices stabilized among industrial metals following Tuesday's roughly 3% surge. The price of the precious metal increased due to unfounded rumors that China planned to soften its strict zero-COVID policy, which is at the heart of the country's economic woes this year.


Copper futures increased modestly on Wednesday to $3.4677 per pound. In response to the rumors, Chinese markets and oil prices also increased.


This year, copper prices plummeted as Chinese economic growth slowed, lowering the country's need for the mineral. China is the top copper importer in the world.


Given that Beijing has undertaken a number of economic stimulative measures, it is expected that the relaxing of COVID laws in the country will stimulate a rapid economic recovery.


Given China's market dominance, this could result in huge commodity price hikes. However, Beijing did not issue an official remark on the subject. President Xi Jinping has reaffirmed China's commitment to the zero-COVID strategy.


Copper must also contend with the global economic slump brought on by inflation and interest rate increases. However, supply constraints are projected to favor the red metal in the medium term.