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On September 17th, Huawei Connect 2026 opened in Shanghai. Wang Tao, Huaweis Deputy Chairman and Rotating Chairman, stated at the conference that, to date, over 1,000 Ascend 910C supernodes have been deployed, and the Ascend 950 supernode has also been commercially deployed on a large scale. With its large-scale commercial application, supernodes have become an inevitable choice for building ultra-large-scale AI infrastructure. Wang Tao explained that a supernode is a computing system physically composed of multiple computing nodes tightly connected through efficient interconnect protocols, possessing unified memory addressing capabilities across physical nodes, and logically exhibiting the characteristics of "a single computer." It has become a consensus among industry, academia, and research institutions in the field of AI infrastructure. Wang Tao mentioned that currently, 100,000-card clusters have become the standard for training trillion-level state-of-the-art (SOTA) models, but traditional server architectures result in intra-cluster communication accounting for over 40% of training time, severely restricting MFU (Model Floating-Point Utilization). According to simulation results from Huaweis Markov Lab, a 100,000-card cluster composed of 4K supernodes has a 2.75-fold increase in MFU (Mean Functionality Rate) compared to a 100,000-card cluster composed of 8-card servers.Ferrari and Lotte signed a cooperation agreement, effective January 1, 2027.1. BNP Paribas: Expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in November, down from its previous forecast of a September hike. 2. Reuters: Economists unanimously predict the Bank of England will keep rates unchanged in September, with most believing a rate cut is more likely than a hike next year. 3. Evercore ISI: The UK market is clearly pricing in a divergence between policy expectations and market expectations. The market has already priced in approximately 4.5 rate hikes over the next year, but the Bank of England remains reluctant to raise rates. 4. Goldman Sachs: Market pricing in the Bank of England remains too hawkish. It expects the bank to keep rates unchanged for the remainder of 2026 before starting rate cuts in 2027. 5. Citigroup: Expects the Bank of England to raise rates by 25 basis points each in the fourth quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of 2027, down from its previous forecast of rates remaining unchanged until the second quarter of 2027. 6. Franklin Templeton: With a cooling labor market and a weakening economic outlook, UK government bonds are currently attractive, and future policy may be more accommodative than the market prices. 7. JPMorgan Chase: Expects to hold rates steady this week to avoid further reinforcing market expectations of a rapid tightening cycle, but a rate hike is anticipated in November, as energy price movements suggest inflation may peak at 3.9% by February next year. 8. HSBC: There is currently insufficient evidence to prompt members of the Monetary Policy Committee to change their voting intentions. Therefore, as things stand, the majority is expected to maintain the current rate. 9. ING: Expects the Bank of England to maintain the interest rate at 3.75% by a 6-3 vote on September 17th, with rate cuts in April and November next year, although these cuts may be delayed. The QT program is expected to decrease to £50 billion over the next 12 months, down from £70 billion last year. 10. Danske Bank: The baseline scenario remains unchanged until the second quarter of 2027, at which point a rate-cutting cycle will resume. The vote tonight is likely to be 6-3. However, if energy prices remain high and the economy remains resilient, the Bank of England may eventually raise rates even if inflation has not yet spread significantly. 11. Oxford Economics: Given the limited impact of the second round of inflation, there is room to maintain interest rates. Green, Pierre, and Mann are expected to continue supporting a rate hike, with the vote remaining 6-3. Despite soaring oil and gas prices, most members are likely to remain patient and maintain a hawkish stance rather than an immediate rate hike.The governor of Rostov Oblast, Russia, said that about 50 drones were shot down in the large-scale attack on Rostov by Ukraine.Volvo Cars: Plans to launch 13 new models between now and the end of 2030.

GBP/USD falls to around 1.2370 as the BoE considers taking swift action ahead of UK inflation and US purchasing managers' indices

Alina Haynes

Apr 17, 2023 13:53

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On Monday morning, the GBP/USD currency pair retested an intraday low of 1.2390 after extending Sunday's decline from a 10-month high. To provoke adverse after breaking a four-week uptrend, the Cable pair explains the most recent concerns emanating from the United Kingdom (UK) and the optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

According to the Financial Times (FT), "The Bank of England is considering a major overhaul of its deposit guarantee scheme, including increasing the amount covered for businesses and compelling banks to pre-fund the system to a greater extent to ensure faster access to cash when a lender collapses."  The revelation fuels banking concerns in the United Kingdom and places pressure on the Cable duo.

 

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's concerns about US subsidies may also be exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate as British firms rush to claim benefits before leaving the country. According to the news, "Chancellor Jeremy Hunt warned Sky News that Britain should be wary of any new subsidies, warning that they could undermine the economy and possibly even spark a protectionist trade war."

 

A larger-than-expected decline in US retail sales was unable to offset positive data from US industrial production and the University of Michigan's (UoM) consumer confidence index from the previous day. Despite this, US retail sales decreased by 1.0% in March compared to the predicted -0.4% decline and February's -0.2% decline. As opposed to the 0.2% market consensus and previous reading, Industrial Production increased by 0.4% in the month in question. The preliminary result of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index for April, which increased to 63.5 from 62.0 analysts' expectations and previous readings, was also encouraging. In addition, inflation forecasts for the next year increased from 3.6% in March to 4.6% in April, while inflation forecasts for the next five years decreased by 2.9% during the same month.

 

Notably, Fed officials have recently appeared more hawkish than their BoE counterparts, which has exerted additional pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

In this environment, the S&P 500 Futures exhibit modest gains following Wall Street's pessimistic close, while bond yields remain unchanged following weekly increases.

 

Moving forward, the current week is crucial for GBP/USD speculators as it contains a variety of high-quality inflation, employment, and UK PMI data. These data may be used to support the Bank of England's (BoE) officials' waning hawkish inclination and may keep bears in play. However, the US PMIs and Fed discussions should not be disregarded when looking for clear guidelines.

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