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According to Japans Asahi Shimbun, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi plans to visit India in early July and meet with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.Sources say JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon will pitch SpaceX’s IPO to wealthy clients.On June 4th, Investinglive analyst Eamonn Sheridan stated that reports indicate Israel and Lebanon, under US guidance, have reached a framework agreement for a ceasefire, with full-scale talks scheduled to resume the week of June 22nd. However, this is contingent on Hezbollahs complete withdrawal from southern Lebanon. Geopolitical risk premiums in the oil market will likely absorb this headline, largely treating it as already priced in. This Lebanese ceasefire plan, framed by Hezbollahs adherence to the agreement and the establishment of a "pilot zone," is essentially a document aimed at advancing the process, not a final solution. The condition attached to the plan—Hezbollahs complete ceasefire and withdrawal from the Litani River region—is precisely the crux of the failures that led to previous arrangements. The market will note that the next round of substantive negotiations will not take place until the week of June 22nd, three weeks from now. If there is any definite takeaway, it is that this announcement confirms the Lebanese front remains a dynamic and unpredictable factor, rather than a settled situation. At the same time, it does not offer any substantial help in resolving the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, or in alleviating the broader US-Iran conflict that is currently driving up oil prices.U.S. State Department: All parties condemn Irans attacks on countries in the region.On June 4th, US President Trump told reporters at the White House on the 3rd that negotiations between the US and Iran were progressing well and an agreement could be reached by the end of the week. Trump said, "Ive heard the negotiations themselves are going very well, actually quite well… If an agreement is reached, it will likely be announced this weekend." When asked whether the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran would still be in effect after Irans latest attack on Kuwait, Trump said, "Everything happens for a reason," adding that the US military had launched a fairly heavy attack on Iran two nights ago, "so some things happen for a reason, and those reasons usually make some sense." He also said that Irans actions were "not a big deal," and that "we have the situation under control and have quickly nipped it in the bud."

GBP/USD expects potential gains above 1.2250 in advance of UK inflation data

Daniel Rogers

Jan 16, 2023 10:55

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The GBP/USD pair is struggling to extend advances above the immediate resistance level of 1.2250 in the early Asian session. The Cable had selling pressure while repeatedly overcoming the aforementioned resistance level, but it is currently likely to extend the uptrend due to a significant increase in market participants' risk appetite.

 

A four-day winning streak in the S&P 500 suggests a relatively bullish market sentiment. Investors pour capital into perceived-risk assets while dumping perceived-safety assets. Surprisingly, rates on 10-year US Treasury securities rose to 3.50 percent. The US Dollar Index (DXY) was able to minimize its drop at around 101.76.

 

This week, the Pound Sterling will be affected by the United Kingdom's announcement of inflation data on Wednesday. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Dec) is anticipated to decline to 10.6% from 10.7% before. While the figures for the core price index, which includes oil and gas prices, may rise from 6.3% to 6.6% over the same time period.

 

It indicates that UK inflation has become more enduring, and the Bank of England (BOE) will be required to continue raising interest rates. Catherine Mann, a member of the BOE, remarked that the central bank need not be concerned about the possibility of overtightening during its interest rate-raising cycle.

 

Investors anticipate the publication of Producer Price Index (PPI) data in the United States. The market expects headline factory gate prices of goods and services to decrease from 7.4% to 6.8% in December. Additionally, the core PPI may fall to 5.9% from 6.2% in a comparable era.