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On April 3, Morningstar analyst Ivan Su said that if the increased tariffs by the United States become permanent, it may affect some Asian sportswear brands. Additional tariffs will pose a challenge to some sportswear companies including Shenzhou International (02313.HK), Amer Sports (AS.US) and ASICS (ASCCY.US). He wrote that Shenzhou International is a major supplier to major sportswear brands, with 17% of its revenue coming from the United States and most of its products produced in Vietnam. If Shenzhou International shares the higher tariff costs with its customers, then in the worst case, it will have a 20% impact on earnings. At the same time, because Amer Sports and ASICS have lower profit margins in the United States than the group average, Morningstar estimates that the earnings impact of Amer Sports and ASICS will be limited to 15% and 10%, respectively.French government spokesman: (Regarding Trumps tariff measures) We are ready for this trade war.French government spokesman: France will respond to Trumps tariffs together with Europe and reiterate that it will take reciprocal measures against digital services.On April 3, Anhui Provincial Governor Wang Qingxian presided over the 66th executive meeting of the provincial government on the afternoon of April 2 to review the "Opinions on Promoting the "Double Recruitment and Double Introduction" of Emerging Industries and Improving the Quality and Efficiency of Industrial Cultivation (Version 2.0)". The meeting pointed out that promoting the "double recruitment and double introduction" of emerging industries and improving the quality and efficiency of industrial cultivation is an important measure to create an emerging industry gathering place. We should focus on optimizing the industrial ecology, promoting the coordinated advancement of investment promotion and talent attraction, deepening the integrated development of "government, industry, academia, research, finance and services", and driving the integration of science and technology, industry and talents to land and empower each other. We must adhere to cutting-edge thinking, cutting-edge observation and cutting-edge action, further improve the quality and efficiency of the operation of the industry special team, constantly launch new offensives and achieve new results, and provide more powerful support for the provinces high-quality development.On April 3, Trump announced on April 2 that he would impose a 24% reciprocal tariff on Japan. In terms of details, the United States accused Japan of imposing a 700% tariff on American rice. Given that Japan imposed a "46%" tariff on the United States, a "24%" reciprocal tariff was imposed on Japan. Japans Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Taku Eto responded on April 3: "Even if you calculate logically, you wont get such a number. Its incomprehensible."

GBP/JPY is above 163.00 as investors anticipate BOJ and BOE monetary policy decisions

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:51

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The British pound to Japanese yen exchange rate has been all over the place throughout the Tokyo trading session, hovering between 163.12 and 163.34. The asset has continued its baffling weeklong price swing. Investors are trying to gather as much information as possible before making a decision, which is leading the cross to drift sideways before the results of the BOJ and BoE monetary policy meetings (BOE).

 

The weakening yen is a worry for the Japanese economy since it necessitates the shutdown or reduction of manufacturing capacity that relies heavily on global imports. Since this is the case, the Bank of Japan will have to take a stand of neutrality and refrain from pumping more money into the economy. The case for switching to a 'neutral' policy is bolstered by the fact that Japanese officials believe the yen's current value does not reflect its fundamentals and are prepared to intervene in FX fluctuations.

 

Japan's markets are closed today in observance of Respect for the Aged Day, while British markets are also closed today in observance of the Bank Holiday. In light of this, the cross's expected performance is middling at best.

 

UK inflation figures reported last week will aid the BOE, but it won't be enough to prevent an interest rate hike. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the United Kingdom came in at 9.9% less than the expected 10.2%, despite rising energy prices. Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, is expected to announce a rate increase of 50 basis points (bps).

 

The BOE won't soften its aggressive position in response to a one-time drop in inflation. A shift in policy strategy will be warranted by a string of declining inflation rates.