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On September 5, U.S. Central Command issued a statement saying that on September 5, after the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched ballistic missiles at two U.S. Navy warships patrolling in regional waters, U.S. Central Command forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers. A U.S. aircraft carrier and a guided-missile destroyer successfully evaded multiple unprovoked attacks by Iran. There were no U.S. casualties. Following the failed Iranian attacks, U.S. Central Command permanently sank the IRGC oil tanker "Downy" near Harqa Island and the oil tanker "Stark 1" near Jask. The U.S. military also completely destroyed the unloaded oil tanker "Kailo" (also known as "Noxson") in the Gulf of Oman. After the crew was ordered to abandon ship, the U.S. military struck several key parts of the ship, rendering it unable to continue sailing. These three Iranian oil tankers belonged to a secret network worth billions of dollars that financed the IRGC and its regional proxies. Iran was unable to protect these tankers.U.S. Central Command: The United States retaliated against Irans ballistic missile attack on two U.S. Navy warships.U.S. Central Command: U.S. forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers.September 5th - According to tanker tracking agency Tankertrackers, satellite images released today show that the VLCC supertanker "DOWNY," owned by the National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC), was attacked. The vessel was currently empty of oil cargo and in a ballast-less state. This type of vessel is typically targeted by the US Central Command in retaliation for Iranian attacks on tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Satellite images show frequent activity from multiple tugboats around the vessel, a finding corroborated by Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, with the activity beginning around 12:45 PM Beijing time today. This activity was concentrated on the port stern (lower left corner of the vessel), suggesting an attack on the engine room, most likely by a US Hellfire missile. No signs of fire or smoke were observed in thermal imaging.September 5th - According to Axios, Republican confidence in the economy has plummeted at an unprecedented rate since the pandemic began over the past six months, a decline comparable to that during the global financial crisis nearly two decades ago. Typically, the ruling party is more optimistic about the economy, while the opposition is far more pessimistic. However, the current situation is unusual; even with Republicans in the White House, Republican voters are increasingly negative about the economy this year. With only two months left until Election Day, this adds another ominous sign for Trump. The director of the University of Michigans consumer survey stated that most of the time, Republican and Democratic confidence in the economy moves roughly in parallel, but this is not the case now. Republicans initially had very positive expectations for the governments economic policies (including tariffs), but they have seen neither a slowdown in inflation, let alone the price reductions promised by Trump.

GBP/JPY is above 163.00 as investors anticipate BOJ and BOE monetary policy decisions

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:51

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The British pound to Japanese yen exchange rate has been all over the place throughout the Tokyo trading session, hovering between 163.12 and 163.34. The asset has continued its baffling weeklong price swing. Investors are trying to gather as much information as possible before making a decision, which is leading the cross to drift sideways before the results of the BOJ and BoE monetary policy meetings (BOE).

 

The weakening yen is a worry for the Japanese economy since it necessitates the shutdown or reduction of manufacturing capacity that relies heavily on global imports. Since this is the case, the Bank of Japan will have to take a stand of neutrality and refrain from pumping more money into the economy. The case for switching to a 'neutral' policy is bolstered by the fact that Japanese officials believe the yen's current value does not reflect its fundamentals and are prepared to intervene in FX fluctuations.

 

Japan's markets are closed today in observance of Respect for the Aged Day, while British markets are also closed today in observance of the Bank Holiday. In light of this, the cross's expected performance is middling at best.

 

UK inflation figures reported last week will aid the BOE, but it won't be enough to prevent an interest rate hike. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the United Kingdom came in at 9.9% less than the expected 10.2%, despite rising energy prices. Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, is expected to announce a rate increase of 50 basis points (bps).

 

The BOE won't soften its aggressive position in response to a one-time drop in inflation. A shift in policy strategy will be warranted by a string of declining inflation rates.