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On April 10th, Thai Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas stated that due to the Middle East conflict, Thailand expects oil prices to remain high for up to two years, foreshadowing sustained pressure on this net energy importer already grappling with rising costs and slowing growth. Speaking to lawmakers during a parliamentary debate following a government policy statement, Ekniti noted that energy infrastructure in the Middle East has been severely damaged, and oil and gas supplies could take one to two years to stabilize. He added that the government plans to accelerate the adoption of solar, biofuels, and other renewable energy sources to cushion the impact of high energy costs on households and businesses. The energy shock has already affected the economic outlook. Economists have begun to lower their growth forecasts for Thailand as rising fuel costs have dampened consumption and disrupted exports and tourism—two core drivers of the Thai economy.On April 10th, according to the National Cybersecurity Notification Center, the center detected a recent surge in supply chain poisoning attacks. Targets included the API development tool Apifox, the Python library LiteLLM, and the JavaScript HTTP library Axios, involving two core supply chain scenarios: open-source software repositories and commercial tools. The Axios poisoning incident, in particular, occurred because many AI applications and plugins, such as OpenClaw, directly rely on this library, allowing the risk to spread further to end users through the dependency chain. These three supply chain poisoning incidents share common characteristics: high stealth, wide impact, high severity, and rapid spread, potentially causing serious harm such as credential theft, remote code execution, and sensitive data leakage.On the morning of April 10, Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, met with Cheng Li-wen, Chairperson of the Kuomintang, in Beijing.Hong Kong-listed apparel stocks continued their upward trend, with Fast Retailing (06288.HK) rising nearly 10%, Tianji Holdings (01520.HK) rising over 6%, and Anta Sports (02020.HK) and Bosideng (03998.HK) following suit.On April 10th, Wang Zhihua, Director-General of the Department of Foreign Trade of the Ministry of Commerce, stated that since the beginning of this year, foreign trade enterprises have actively expanded markets, secured orders, pursued innovation, and built brands, adding more resilience and vitality to Chinas foreign trade. According to customs statistics, in the first two months of this year, both the scale and growth rate of Chinas goods trade imports and exports were at relatively high levels compared to the same period in previous years, and a good start is expected for the first quarter as well.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD upward to $1,745 with positive RSI divergence and weaker USD

Daniel Rogers

Sep 09, 2022 17:13

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Around $1,720 is where the gold price (XAU/USD) is currently leading early on Friday morning in Europe. In doing so, the yellow metal applauds widespread US dollar weakening and cautious market confidence. Technical signs can work in the buyers' advantage.

 

By press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY) had pared its largest daily loss in a month and was still near the one-week low. In doing so, the greenback indicator fails to support the aggressive remarks made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell the day before while emphasizing the stronger sentiment in the market.

 

Market confidence is influenced by tougher remarks made late Thursday by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which indicate that US-China trade relations are expected to improve. Recent stronger US statistics and optimism that global central bankers can combat inflation-driven blow with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates also appeared to have helped the market's sentiment. It should be noted that discussions about potential difficulties for Chinese technology companies and unfavorable inflation data for China recently seemed to test the XAU/USD bulls.

 

The US 10-year Treasury yields, which are indicative of the mood, are behind after a good day at around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's advances at about 4,020. The stocks in the Asia-Pacific region are also still firmer, it should be noted, as cautious optimism grows during a sluggish session.

 

The XAU/USD prices are probably going to finish the week on a high note given the risk-on mindset and depressed US dollar. The final round of Fedspeak before the blackout period, which begins this weekend, should nevertheless be paid heed to for new inspiration. Conversations on US inflation ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) statistics the following week will be crucial.


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