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May 2 - Preliminary vessel tracking data from LSEG shows a significant jump in U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Asia in April. As conflict in the Middle East constrained production in the region, U.S. producers effectively filled the gap left by reduced supply from Middle Eastern exporters. Nearly a quarter of total U.S. LNG exports went to Asia that month. Data shows that since the U.S. and Israels strikes against Iran, U.S. LNG shipments to Asia have increased by more than 175%; specifically, exports climbed from approximately 970,000 tons in February to 1.99 million tons in March, and further increased to 2.71 million tons in April.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending April 28, equity fund managers reduced their net long positions in the S&P 500 CME by 21,368 contracts to 999,182 contracts. Equity fund speculators reduced their net short positions in the S&P 500 CME by 5,811 contracts to 396,442 contracts.According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending April 28, speculators reduced their net short positions in CBOT U.S. 2-year Treasury futures by 34,090 contracts to 1,709,263 contracts. They increased their net short positions in CBOT U.S. 10-year Treasury futures by 48,166 contracts to 839,137 contracts.On May 2nd, Federal Reserves top banking regulator, Bowman, stated that regulators must consider how best to regulate new technologies like Anthropics Mythos. "On one hand, this capability allows companies to address vulnerabilities they identify themselves, thereby enhancing cybersecurity," Bowman said. "But on the other hand, if used maliciously, it could be used to identify and exploit weaknesses." Anthropic has limited the release of its latest artificial intelligence model as it assesses safeguards against this powerful new technology. This model has also prompted Trump administration officials to consider the possibility of cyberattacks threatening financial stability.US President Trump: No authorization is needed for action against Iran.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD tussles with $1,730 resistance before US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Sep 13, 2022 10:57

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As traders anticipate the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) grinds higher above a fortnight peak after a two-day advance to $1,725 per ounce. The market's optimism and anticipated preparations for today's inflation data may be responsible for the metal's most recent increases.

 

The market's cautious optimism appears to have been supported by rumors that Ukraine is succeeding in driving the Russian troops away from some of its conflict zones, even though this also increased concerns about Russia's strong response. The expectation of additional stimulus from powerful economies like China, the US, the UK, and Europe might be on the same lines. It's important to keep in mind that a Chinese holiday and a light schedule may have contributed to the XAU/recovery USD's because Beijing's lack of political or economic problems may have supported metal prices. In addition, recent news from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that US gas prices have fallen for a 13th week in a row helped to relieve market pressure and encouraged a risk-taking attitude that was favorable to the gold price.

 

However, the recent easing of the headline economics and the inflation expectations seems to have pushed back the gold bears despite a light schedule, even though the policymakers from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) remain hawkish elsewhere.

 

In the midst of these maneuvers, Wall Street posted another day of profits despite rising US Treasury yields, which at the time were up five basis points (bps) to 3.36%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell for a second straight day to the lowest levels in a fortnight, eventually dipped to approximately 108.30, was affected by the same factors.

 

Moving on, the US CPI for August is critical in light of the most recent easing of pricing pressure. According to the projections, the headline figure will decline to -0.1% MoM from 0.0% the previous month, while the CPI excluding food and energy is expected to hold steady at 0.3% MoM. The US dollar may continue to decline if the inflation numbers are weaker, which might support the XAU/continued USD's gain.

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