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Hang Seng Index futures closed up 0.71% at 24,829 points in overnight trading, a premium of 148 points.On July 16th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf issued a statement on the latest developments regarding the war and the domestic situation on the evening of the 15th local time. Ghalibaf stated that Iran has never welcomed war, but in order to safeguard national security and interests, it must be prepared for battle at all times and must exert every effort. Ghalibaf pointed out that Iran should also utilize diplomatic and negotiating means to achieve and consolidate its national interests. Ghalibaf stated that a memorandum of understanding is only meaningful if all its provisions are valid and being implemented. If Iran cannot benefit from a memorandum of understanding, there is no reason to abide by it. Ghalibaf stated that everyone in Iran has a responsibility to make efforts, according to the Supreme Leaders instructions, for war, diplomacy, or both.July 16 – Three U.S. officials stated that the recent series of U.S. strikes against Iran were aimed at forcing it to open the Strait of Hormuz, and also at targeting Irans military capabilities, which the U.S. hopes to destroy before undertaking more complex operations against Iran. The recent strikes have effectively enhanced Trumps additional military options. The U.S. military stated that its latest airstrikes targeted Iranian air defense systems, coastal radar stations, missile and drone bases, as well as small vessels and other maritime assets. One U.S. official stated that these strikes can be seen as "shaping operations," weakening Irans defense capabilities to allow for more intensive U.S. military operations in the future. "This helps lay the groundwork for necessary follow-up work," the official said.Three U.S. officials said the recent U.S. strikes against Iran are increasing the U.S.s options for further escalation.July 16th - According to CBS, the U.S. Department of Defense recently assessed military action options against Cuba, including a large-scale air assault option carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. Sources familiar with the matter stated that these discussions do not indicate that the Trump administration has decided to take action. Currently, a large portion of U.S. military resources are concentrated in the Middle East, limiting the likelihood of action against Cuba. The U.S. has indicated it still prefers to push for reforms in Cuba through diplomatic and economic pressure. The Pentagon responded that it would not comment on hypothetical military action.

Forecast for Gold: XAUUSD retreats from $1800 on rising US yields

Daniel Rogers

Aug 12, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-06-07 下午5.14.22.png

 

While it had been trending upwards, gold's daily performance took a sour turn and it is now trading below $1800. During the American session, the XAUUSD reached a high of $1799 before turning down and heading below $1785.

 

Despite predictions of a 0.2% monthly increase, data released on Thursday indicated that the US Producer Price Index decreased by 0.5% in July, bringing the annual rate down to 9.8%. The Consumer Price Index did not move in July, contrary to predictions of a 0.2% increase, according to data released on Wednesday. The US currency fell because of the inflation rate going down.

 

Investors continue to count on a rate hike of 50 basis points or more from the Federal Reserve at their September meeting. U.S. rates have risen despite though a peak in US inflation is more likely, which is surprising. Both the US 10-year yield (now at 2.83%) and the 2-year yield (3.20%) are at their highest levels in nearly a week.

 

Increased US yields capped gold's gains. The inability of the XAU/USD pair to maintain a price over $1800 despite the recent US data has fueled skepticism that the rally will continue. Weekly support is found around $1774, and the immediate support is at $1785. Additional gains appear likely if the price of gold can consolidate over $1800.


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