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August 21 – S&P Global Market Intelligences Deputy Director of Economics stated that Japans private sector continued its strong performance in August, with companies reporting the fastest output growth since February. Growth momentum improved in both manufacturing and services, with manufacturing performing particularly well, showing significant growth in both output and new orders. Furthermore, new export orders in the manufacturing sector recorded their fastest growth in eight and a half years, and the semiconductor and AI-related industries had a substantial backlog of new business. Easing cost pressures in August are a positive sign for Japanese companies. Although input costs still rose sharply due to the impact of the Middle East war on supply chains and energy prices, as well as the weak yen, the overall cost inflation rate has fallen to its lowest level in five months. However, with output price increases still near historical highs, companies may need to see a sustained slowdown in inflation before further reducing product prices. With improved business confidence compared to the previous month, strong sales growth, and continued employment increases, Japans private sector is expected to continue its strong performance, provided that it is not subjected to further shocks in terms of prices or demand.Musk: Reports that SpaceX is seeking to acquire Spectrum at a $6 billion valuation are untrue.August 21 - According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, a 4.2-magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Okinawa Island, Japan, at approximately 9:01 a.m. local time on August 21. The maximum intensity of the tremor was 3, and the focal depth was 40 kilometers.August 21st - Promoting the "long-term investment" of pension funds is both important and urgent. Pension funds correspond to payment needs decades into the future and, theoretically, can withstand higher equity volatility and obtain long-term equity premiums. The key is to "change the benchmark." Accelerate the improvement of long-term performance evaluation mechanisms, incorporating cross-cycle returns and risk control into the evaluation system. Improve relevant supporting measures. Steadily expand investment scale and channels. Continuously promote the expansion of pension fund investment scale in various regions, scientifically optimize asset structure while strictly adhering to the upper limit of equity investment ratio, and strive to improve the level of equity asset allocation, especially increasing investment in national strategic emerging industries. Guide pension funds to actively participate in listed company governance and private placements, promote the improvement of dividend mechanisms, and deeply share the benefits of real economy growth.On August 21st, Galaxy Securities research report stated that the front-end and back-end network architecture of AI-era computing clusters is driving significant demand for switches. 1.6T port switches are expected to see mass production starting in 2027, with WAIC 2026 supernodes playing a leading role. Rapid evolution of internal interconnect bandwidth means that each iteration of port speed increases the value of a single switch, supporting profitability. Simultaneously, the latency requirements of scale-up switches have been reduced from μs to hundreds of ns, making design more difficult and time-consuming than traditional products. This gives existing players continued bargaining power, accelerating the domestic substitution of key components in the industry chain—switch chips. Coupled with the positive performance of overseas switch leaders, the report recommends focusing on leading domestic switch and switch chip companies.

Forecast for Gold: XAUUSD retreats from $1800 on rising US yields

Daniel Rogers

Aug 12, 2022 11:59

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While it had been trending upwards, gold's daily performance took a sour turn and it is now trading below $1800. During the American session, the XAUUSD reached a high of $1799 before turning down and heading below $1785.

 

Despite predictions of a 0.2% monthly increase, data released on Thursday indicated that the US Producer Price Index decreased by 0.5% in July, bringing the annual rate down to 9.8%. The Consumer Price Index did not move in July, contrary to predictions of a 0.2% increase, according to data released on Wednesday. The US currency fell because of the inflation rate going down.

 

Investors continue to count on a rate hike of 50 basis points or more from the Federal Reserve at their September meeting. U.S. rates have risen despite though a peak in US inflation is more likely, which is surprising. Both the US 10-year yield (now at 2.83%) and the 2-year yield (3.20%) are at their highest levels in nearly a week.

 

Increased US yields capped gold's gains. The inability of the XAU/USD pair to maintain a price over $1800 despite the recent US data has fueled skepticism that the rally will continue. Weekly support is found around $1774, and the immediate support is at $1785. Additional gains appear likely if the price of gold can consolidate over $1800.