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Futures News, June 5th: Since May, silver prices have risen and then fallen, with the price trending downwards within a narrow range. As of June 4th, the domestic spot price of #1 silver was 17,711 yuan/kg, a cumulative decrease of 4.41% compared to the beginning of May. In early May, the US and Iran signaled a willingness to negotiate, coupled with Perus energy emergency decree, which raised concerns about mine output, causing silver prices to fluctuate upwards. However, with major consumer India raising import tariffs on silver, the resignation of dovish Fed member Milan, and the stalemate between the US and Iran on key issues, the market traded on interest rate hike expectations, putting downward pressure on silver. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic logic remains focused on the Feds interest rate decision and the US-Iran negotiations. Domestic inventory levels are currently high, and slightly weak consumption has failed to provide fundamental support. In the short term, attention will be focused on the US May non-farm payroll report and CPI data. It is expected that silver prices will lack a clear direction in the short term.June 5th - Thailands inflation unexpectedly slowed in May, remaining within the central banks target range, reducing pressure to implement interest rate interventions. Data released by the Commerce Ministry on Friday showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.79% year-on-year in May, a slowdown from 2.89% in April. The Bank of Thailand has consistently viewed price increases as temporary and has indicated its willingness to ignore any short-term inflation spikes, stating that tightening monetary policy has had little effect on addressing supply-driven shocks. Governor Vitai Ratanakorn stated this week that the current policy rate "remains appropriate for now." The Commerce Ministry expects the inflation rate to reach 3% in June and remain above 3% in the second half of the year.June 5th - At todays Tencent Cloud AI Industry Application Conference, Gao Hang, General Manager of Tencent Cloud and head of TokenHub, revealed that Tencent Clouds large-scale model service platform TokenHub has maintained a doubling growth rate every month for the past three months since its launch, and the daily token consumption has now exceeded 5 trillion.On June 5th, according to Tianyancha App, Anhui Deyi Energy Technology Co., Ltd. recently underwent industrial and commercial changes. The original shareholders, Wuhu Ekotech Powertrain Co., Ltd. and Wuhu Zhenyong Enterprise Management Center (Limited Partnership), withdrew, and Wuhu Qida Power Battery System Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Chery Automobile, became a new shareholder. At the same time, the registered capital increased from RMB 1.8 billion to RMB 2.3 billion, an increase of approximately 28%.On June 5th, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced on Thursday that it will maintain the current eligibility requirements for major benchmark indices such as the S&P 500, rejecting proposals to quickly include mega-cap companies like SpaceX after their IPOs. The index provider stated in its announcement that it will not shorten the current 12-month maturity period for newly listed companies, nor will it exempt existing profitability and public float requirements based on company size. This decision contradicts the broader industry shifts undertaken by its competitors Nasdaq and FTSE Russell. This outcome means that SpaceX, which is preparing for what could be the largest IPO in history, will not be eligible for inclusion in the S&P 500 for at least one year after its listing. The company will also need to meet the indexs existing profitability and public float requirements. ETF analyst James Seifert said, "Im really surprised. But S&P is a market leader, and they can go against the grain."

Forecast for Gold: XAUUSD retreats from $1800 on rising US yields

Daniel Rogers

Aug 12, 2022 11:59

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While it had been trending upwards, gold's daily performance took a sour turn and it is now trading below $1800. During the American session, the XAUUSD reached a high of $1799 before turning down and heading below $1785.

 

Despite predictions of a 0.2% monthly increase, data released on Thursday indicated that the US Producer Price Index decreased by 0.5% in July, bringing the annual rate down to 9.8%. The Consumer Price Index did not move in July, contrary to predictions of a 0.2% increase, according to data released on Wednesday. The US currency fell because of the inflation rate going down.

 

Investors continue to count on a rate hike of 50 basis points or more from the Federal Reserve at their September meeting. U.S. rates have risen despite though a peak in US inflation is more likely, which is surprising. Both the US 10-year yield (now at 2.83%) and the 2-year yield (3.20%) are at their highest levels in nearly a week.

 

Increased US yields capped gold's gains. The inability of the XAU/USD pair to maintain a price over $1800 despite the recent US data has fueled skepticism that the rally will continue. Weekly support is found around $1774, and the immediate support is at $1785. Additional gains appear likely if the price of gold can consolidate over $1800.