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The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 4.2 occurred near Gar County, Ngari Prefecture, Tibet, at 16:16 on September 3. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.The final reading of the UKs August services PMI will be released in ten minutes.On September 3, local time, Ding Xuexiang, member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, co-chaired the 13th meeting of the China-Russia Investment Cooperation Committee with Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Manturov in Vladivostok. Ding Xuexiang offered suggestions for further deepening bilateral cooperation: First, strengthen planning and policy guidance, conduct in-depth industrial alignment and project promotion, and jointly support the deepening and solidifying of investment cooperation between enterprises of both sides. Second, promote the implementation and effectiveness of key projects, effectively leverage their demonstrative role, and continuously enhance the scale and level of investment cooperation between the two countries. Third, expand the breadth and depth of cooperation, continuously consolidate cooperation in processing and manufacturing, engineering and infrastructure, and strengthen pragmatic cooperation in more areas such as green industries and the digital economy. Fourth, strive to resolve outstanding difficulties and problems, properly address the practical concerns of enterprises of both sides, and jointly create a better business environment.Futures News, September 3rd: The Middle East conflict continues, and Warshs hawkish remarks have led the market to raise its expectations for an interest rate hike this year. On the fundamental front, EGA and Bahrain Aluminium maintain positive expectations for resuming production, while new projects in Indonesia are significantly constrained by power supply limitations. Domestically, preliminary estimates for September indicate that inventory reduction will remain at a narrow pace due to a lack of new ingot production. The price difference between refined and scrap aluminum has widened slightly recently, but the increase is limited. Scrap aluminum circulation remains sluggish in some provinces, and the reverse substitution of aluminum ingots for scrap aluminum continues, but attention should be paid to the subsequent marginal reduction trend. The tight supply of tax-inclusive scrap aluminum remains unchanged, with prices continuing to run at high levels, providing strong cost support for aluminum alloys; however, downstream acceptance of high prices is limited, hindering cost transmission and preventing price increases from penetrating smoothly to end users. Downstream die-casting purchases are still mainly small orders for immediate needs, and the current market presents a balance between cost support and weak demand. Aluminum ingot inventories remain at a low point for the year. Overall, supporting factors outweigh the positive factors, and aluminum prices may trend slightly higher in the short term. The spot market saw limited changes today, with aluminum prices rising further. Downstream buyers maintained only essential purchases, market circulation was moderate, and inventory reduction provided strong support for the spot premium. East China aluminum ingots maintained a premium of around 10 yuan over the September contract today.Israel Defense Forces: Earlier today, IDF forces operating in the northern Gaza Strip spotted a terrorist who had crossed the Yellow Line and was approaching the troops in a manner posing a direct threat. After identifying the terrorist, we engaged and killed him, eliminating the threat he posed.

Forecast for Gold: XAUUSD retreats from $1800 on rising US yields

Daniel Rogers

Aug 12, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-06-07 下午5.14.22.png

 

While it had been trending upwards, gold's daily performance took a sour turn and it is now trading below $1800. During the American session, the XAUUSD reached a high of $1799 before turning down and heading below $1785.

 

Despite predictions of a 0.2% monthly increase, data released on Thursday indicated that the US Producer Price Index decreased by 0.5% in July, bringing the annual rate down to 9.8%. The Consumer Price Index did not move in July, contrary to predictions of a 0.2% increase, according to data released on Wednesday. The US currency fell because of the inflation rate going down.

 

Investors continue to count on a rate hike of 50 basis points or more from the Federal Reserve at their September meeting. U.S. rates have risen despite though a peak in US inflation is more likely, which is surprising. Both the US 10-year yield (now at 2.83%) and the 2-year yield (3.20%) are at their highest levels in nearly a week.

 

Increased US yields capped gold's gains. The inability of the XAU/USD pair to maintain a price over $1800 despite the recent US data has fueled skepticism that the rally will continue. Weekly support is found around $1774, and the immediate support is at $1785. Additional gains appear likely if the price of gold can consolidate over $1800.