EUR/USD 1.15579
-0.259%
Gold 4501.57
-3.165%
Oil 96.968
2.893%
USD/JPY 159.297
0.997%
GBP/USD 1.33332
-0.723%
GBP/JPY 212.398
0.318%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On March 21st, HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate at 3.50%-3.75% at its March meeting, hinting at a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent inflation and rising geopolitical risks have created uncertainty for the Fed. We maintain our previous view that the Fed will keep rates unchanged in 2026 and 2027. Inflation risks have increased, particularly due to soaring energy prices, while labor market risks have slightly decreased. Energy price volatility and geopolitical risks should continue to support safe-haven demand and a stronger dollar.Iraq says Iranian natural gas supplies have resumed, with a daily supply of 5 million cubic meters.On March 21, Brazilian President Lula da Silva stated during a visit to an oil refinery in Minas Gerais state on March 20 that the escalating conflict in the Middle East necessitates that Petrobras and the government "establish strategic oil reserves" to cope with any potential consequences of the conflict. He warned that if the war continues, and if the United States were to destroy the Strait of Hormuz, the oil crisis "will only worsen." Previously, on March 12, the Brazilian government announced the exemption of import and sales taxes on diesel fuel, while imposing a 12% export tax on crude oil to mitigate the spillover risks from the Middle East situation.An Iranian military spokesman said the United States and Israel are targeting civilian and passenger ships in the Gulf region and warned of retaliatory action.Egypts Ministry of Petroleum: Egypt will pay $1.3 billion in outstanding payments to international oil companies by the end of June.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD edges lower on a stronger USD and Fed rate rise worries

Alina Haynes

Sep 05, 2022 16:23

截屏2022-06-07 下午5.15.32.png 

 

Gold dips lower on the first trading day of the week, erasing a portion of Friday's substantial gains. The XAU/USD is on the defensive during the early European session, but lacks follow-through selling and has thus far managed to maintain its position above the $1,700 round-figure level.

 

On Monday, the US dollar reaches a fresh 20-year high, which turns out to be a significant factor imposing downward pressure on dollar-denominated gold. Despite Friday's delivery of a mixed US employment data, a growing consensus that the Fed will adhere to its aggressive policy tightening course continues to support the dollar. In fact, the markets are putting in a larger likelihood of a 75-bps rate hike at the September 20-21 FOMC meeting.

 

Recent hawkish remarks by various Fed members reiterated the bets, signaling that interest rates are likely to continue climbing until inflation is much closer to the 2% target. In addition, it is anticipated that the Reserve Bank of Australia, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England would continue to hike interest rates. This is regarded as an additional component that contributes to the diversion of gold flows away from non-yielding gold.

 

In addition, indications of equities market stability appear to diminish demand for traditional safe-haven gold. However, mounting concerns about a more severe economic crisis should temper any euphoria. This, coupled with relatively low trading volumes due to the Labor Day holiday in the United States, may discourage dealers from taking aggressive wagers on gold. This necessitates vigilance prior to positioning for additional losses.


Suggestion