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February 19th - On February 18th local time, Russia, the United States, and Ukraine responded to the latest round of trilateral talks in Geneva. White House Press Secretary Levitt stated that the latest round of trilateral contact between the US, Russia, and Ukraine "made meaningful progress," and all parties agreed to continue negotiations. However, Levitt also stated that the US continues to sell weapons to its NATO allies for its own defense. Ukrainian Presidential Chief of Staff and member of the Ukrainian negotiating delegation, Budanov, posted on his official social media platform on the 18th that another round of negotiations in Geneva had concluded, and while the dialogue was difficult, it was very important. He stated that the Ukrainian team is prepared to continue negotiations in the near future. Ukraine will persevere. Ukrainian sources stated that the military group made progress on coordinating procedural issues. Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov stated on the evening of the 18th that the Geneva negotiations that day lasted shorter than the first day, but this did not mean there was no progress; the Russian delegation participating in the Geneva negotiations would report to President Putin immediately.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: If we see a shift in pricing behavior, a much stronger economic recovery, and the ability to withstand higher interest rates, we will act and tighten policy sooner rather than later.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: As the economy recovers, there remains uncertainty about how businesses will adjust their pricing behavior.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: I am not comfortable at all with inflation at 3.1%.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman: If the inflation outlook changes, the committee will adjust its policy stance to ensure that inflation returns to the target.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAUUSD advances to the backside of the bull micro trend

Alina Haynes

Nov 15, 2022 16:49

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Despite a stronger US Dollar, the Gold price reached a new three-month high on Monday as US yields rose in response to Friday's disappointing US Consumer Price Index report. Friday's inflation figures prompted speculators to anticipate that the Federal Reserve would hold off on large interest rate hikes. As a result, demand for gold remains strong.

 

In spite of a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, in which Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against the market's reaction to a dovish announcement by suggesting that the terminal rate could be higher than initially anticipated, commodities prices have been staging a rebound from their year-to-date lows. A number of factors contribute to the shift in opinion, including rumors that China will relax its zero-Covid restrictions. Due to a recent string of less inflationary US data outcomes, it had been speculated that a Fed policy shift was imminent.

 

US consumer prices grew 0.4% for the month of October and 7.7% year-over-year, as reported on Friday. This was down from 8.2% year-over-year in September and 0.2 percentage points below the consensus, with the ex-food and energy estimate coming in at 6.3%. This was a positive report, and the market's response included a 5.5% increase in the S&P 500 and a 26 basis point drop in the 2-year Treasury rate, which sent gold soaring and the dollar plummeting. Gold traders were already focused on the increase in money managers' short positions over the past few months, which led to significant short covering above the $1,720 resistance level.