E-mini S&P 500 Index (ES) Futures Technical Analysis – Tech Sector Recovery Helping to Pare Earlier Losses

A jump in recession worries was sparked by dismal quarterly reports from two major U.S. banks and hotter-than-expected consumer and producer inflation data. As a consequence, September E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are down as of late Thursday, although they are still off their intraday lows.

Following the release of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley's second-quarter results, the benchmark index started the cash market with a significant decline. Both disclosed declining profitability and issued warnings about an upcoming economic recession.

September E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are now trading at 3795.50, down 9.0 or -0.24 percent, at 18:04 GMT. This is higher than the day's low of 3723.75. The S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) is down $0.44 or 0.12%, trading at 378.39.

Late in the afternoon, losses are being reduced, and the technology sector is now in the black thanks to a recovery in semiconductor prices.

The near future

The response of traders at 3804.50 will probably influence the movement of the September E-mini S&P 500 Index into Thursday's closing.

Positive Scenario

The existence of buyers will be confirmed by a prolonged advance over 3804.50. Look for a probable burst into the minor retracement zone of 3837.00 to 3863.50 if this move generates enough upward momentum. The resistance cluster at 3922.00 is the next possible resistance after this location.

The primary trend will switch to up if a transaction is made through 3922.00. The uptrend will be confirmed by a move through 3950.00, but I won't start getting enthusiastic about the upside until I see a close over the main Fibonacci level at 3988.75.

Grizzly Situation

Sellers will be there if there is a persistent move below 3804.50. The short-term 50 percent mark at 3794.50 must be broken below to signal that the selling is intensifying. This might result in a swift breach into the 3757.75 short-term Fibonacci level. Before the intraday low at 3723.75, this is the final possible support.

The downtrend will be confirmed if 3723.75 is taken out, with 3639.00 serving as the next significant drop objective.