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On January 24th, it was reported that on December 24th of last year, four departments, including the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, issued the "Notice on Further Optimizing and Adjusting Relevant Policies of Beijing Real Estate," which involved adjustments to purchase restrictions and credit optimization. Overall, since the implementation of the new policy a month ago, transaction volume has been steadily increasing. Data from Centaline Property shows that since the release of the notice, the average daily number of new home sales contracts has increased by 44.6% month-on-month, with improved housing projects outside the Fifth Ring Road performing particularly well. In the secondary market, after the new policy, the average daily number of viewings at real estate agencies has increased by more than 20% compared to normal, and the average daily transaction volume of secondary homes has exceeded 500 units.January 24th - The Fourth Session of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) solemnly opened at the Beijing Conference Center at 9:00 AM today (January 24th). The opening session will review and adopt the "Agenda of the Fourth Session of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC," hear the "Work Report of the Standing Committee of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC," and hear the "Report of the Standing Committee of the Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC on the Work of Proposals Since the Third Session of the 14th CPPCC."DownDetector, a network monitoring website, reports user complaints that social media platform “X” is experiencing issues.January 24th - The market is widely focused on when the window for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts will open. Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities, stated that based on past experience, a reduction in the relending rate opens up corresponding room for overall interest rate cuts. With a large number of fixed deposits maturing in the first quarter, the pressure on bank interest rate spreads is easing, and the timing of a policy rate cut is expected in the second quarter. "A RRR cut is expected to be implemented in the first quarter, but a comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait," analyzed a research report from Galaxy Securities. The report suggests that with fiscal policy taking the lead and monetary policy actively cooperating with fiscal policy, a 50 basis point RRR cut is likely to be implemented. A comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait for the right opportunity; it is expected that there will be one to two interest rate cuts throughout the year, totaling a reduction of 10 to 20 basis points in the policy rate, thereby guiding the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) downward, which will then be transmitted to further reduce loan and deposit rates.On January 24th, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said on the 23rd that US President Donald Trumps remarks about NATO allies not being on the front lines in the Afghan war were "insulting and shocking," and that Trump should apologize. In an interview in Davos, Switzerland, Trump claimed that the US "never needed" NATO, and that NATO allies "would say they sent troops to Afghanistan…they did, but in a slightly back position, a bit off the front lines." Starmer said Trumps remarks deeply hurt the families of British casualties, adding, "If I had said those things, I would certainly apologize." Earlier that day, the British Prime Ministers office issued a statement saying that British troops have been fighting alongside US troops, and that Trump "wrongly" downplayed the role of NATO forces, including British troops, in the Afghan war.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index (NQ) Futures Technical Analysis – Wrapping Up Terrible First-Half Performance

Skylar Shaw

Jul 01, 2022 14:32

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Just before the cash market closed on Thursday, September E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures were trading substantially lower as investors prepared to finish out one of the worst first halves in history.


The technology-based index has been going downward since November 2021, but since the Ukraine-Russia crisis broke out on February 24, it has been particularly heavily damaged. High inflation, increasing interest rates, and, more lately, a potential US recession, all serve to amplify the sell-off.


September E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are now trading at 11536.50, down 154.50 or 1.32 percent, as of 19:45 GMT. The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) is down $3.58 or 1.26 percent, trading at $280.22.


According to a report from the Commerce Department, consumer spending in the United States increased less than anticipated in May. Although the study indicated that inflation had likely reached its high, price pressures are anticipated to persist, therefore the U.S. Federal Reserve should continue on its aggressive policy-tightening course.

Short-Term Prediction

The direction of the September E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index into Thursday's close will probably be determined by trader response to the short-term Fibonacci level around 11524.50.

Grizzly Situation

Sellers will be present if there is a persistent move below 11524.50. Consequently, if this move generates sufficient negative momentum, expect the index to finally retest the last primary low around 11068.50.


Removing 11068.50 will confirm the downward trend. This might result in an immediate challenge of the major bottom at 10944.00 from November 2, 2020.

Positive Scenario

The presence of buyers will be shown by a prolonged advance over 11524.50. A swift advance into the long-term 50 percent mark at 11671.25 may result from this.


It will be a display of strength to beat 11671.25. A late-session short-covering rise into the intermediate retracement range of 12021.25 to 12246.00 may result from this. On June 27, the purchasing was basically halted by this zone at 12262.00.