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On April 3, Kimberly Clausing, a former Biden administration official and nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, called Trumps tariff announcement on Wednesday "very stubborn and much worse than I expected." "I expected things to be bad, but I didnt expect this level of self-harm. Its shocking that anyone thought this was a good idea. Id be shocked if we can get through this without a recession and Trump doesnt have to reverse his policies."On April 3, some economists worry that if Trump does not quickly cancel the latest round of tariffs, it may push the US economy into a recession. "If the US government implements these higher tariffs without major exemptions, it will be difficult for the economy to digest this. A recession seems more likely." said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys Analytics. Zandi said, "In many ways, the tariffs announced by Trump are even worse than the worst case scenario he envisioned. If they stick to it, I will buckle up and prepare for the impact." Zandi added that on a static basis, tariffs account for nearly 2% of GDP (not considering the impact of tariffs on the economy and taxes), which makes this round of tariffs the largest tax increase since the tax increase used to finance the war during World War II.German Automobile Industry Association VDA: The EU must now speed up and make up its mind on the issue of free trade agreement.On April 3, the Reserve Bank of Australias latest report for the banking industry warned that continued uncertainty in US trade policy "could have a chilling effect on business investment and household spending decisions, and pose a significant headwind to the outlook for global economic activity and inflation." The Reserve Bank of Australia said there was also considerable uncertainty about the impact of possible changes in fiscal, regulatory and other government policies on global growth and inflation.The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 564.32 points, or 2.43%, to 22,638.21 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 168.53 points, or 3.11%, to 5,257.91 points; the CSI 300 Index opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 219.05 points, or 2.57%, to 8,312.46 points; the H-share Index opened on April 3 (Thursday) down 61.24 points, or 1.59%, to 3,800.76 points.

EUR/USD Trades in a 1.0780-1.0800 Range as Attention Turns to Fed Chairman Powell and ECB President Lagarde's Speeches

Drake Hampton

Apr 20, 2022 09:49

The EUR/USD pair is trading sideways within a narrow range of 1.0780-1.0798 as the US dollar index (DXY) maintains its stability following an attack on the round level resistance of 101.00 during the Asian session. Market players are anticipating Thursday's dictations from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell and European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde.

 

The asset has been drifting lower this month, owing to the Fed's and ECB's divergent approaches to their different interest rate policies. On the one hand, the Fed appears to be torn between a 50-basis-point (bps) or 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike and a 75-basis-point boost, despite the fact that a rate hike is impending to limit the inflation issue.

 

Meanwhile, supply chain constraints and rising energy prices have left the ECB with no choice but to maintain a neutral position. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the eurozone has seen sluggish growth, which is projected to persist for an extended period. Increased energy expenditures reduce households' real incomes and, as a result, their trust in the European economy. This has also fueled fears of stagflation in Europe, complicating the ECB's decision-making.

 

Investors will be watching the publication of the Eurozone's Industrial Production during the Europe session. Monthly Industrial Production is predicted to come in at 0.7 percent, while the catalyst may come in at 1.5 percent on a yearly basis.

EUR/USD

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