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German Chancellor Merz: Germany will reduce the tax on gasoline and diesel by approximately 17 euro cents per liter. This measure is scheduled to take effect on October 1st and will remain in effect until the end of 2026.On September 19th, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated that the U.S. economy remains strong and continues to grow. Schmid said he agrees with Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warshs explanation for the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, namely that the recent increase is primarily driven by capital demand from artificial intelligence investments and geopolitical challenges, rather than solely by monetary policy factors. Schmid also believes that the U.S. Treasurys Treasury repurchase program will not increase the difficulty for the Federal Reserve in implementing monetary policy.Russian President Vladimir Putin: The Ukrainian authorities did not hold elections in their own country, but tried to prevent Russia from holding elections.On September 19, NATOs Supreme Allied Military Commander, U.S. Air Force General Alex Greenkevich, participated in a virtual briefing by the U.S. Department of Defense on Friday regarding an assessment of U.S. troop deployments in Europe. His spokesperson stated that Greenkevich, in his capacity as Commander of U.S. European Command, advised Pentagon policy director Elbridge Colby on the ongoing assessment of U.S. force deployments in Europe. The spokesperson noted that the assessment was conducted against the backdrop of European countries assuming increasing defense responsibilities, while NATO continues to strengthen its alliance and transition towards a "NATO 3.0" phase.September 19th - According to the Washington Post, multiple U.S. officials revealed that the actual number of U.S. military deaths since the start of the conflict with Iran may be higher than the Pentagons publicly released figures. Currently, the Pentagons casualty database shows 18 U.S. military personnel dead, but five informed officials say the actual death toll is at least 22, and another official says it could be 23, with some deaths not listed in the public database. Officials stated that the undisclosed deaths involve U.S. military personnel who died while on missions in the Middle East, but their identities, dates, and causes have not been disclosed. The Pentagon declined to comment on the discrepancies in casualty statistics. The report also stated that since the conflict began on February 28th, more than 820 U.S. military personnel have been injured, many suffering brain injuries as a result of Iranian attacks on U.S. bases.

As Yields Approach 3%, the US Dollar Index Pursues Establishment Above 101.00

Larissa Barlow

Apr 20, 2022 09:53

In early Tokyo, the US dollar index (DXY) is auctioning in a narrow range of 100.094-101.03. The asset is establishing a base before breaking through the 101.00 barrier, as the DXY has been bolstered by rising estimates of interest rates reaching 3.5 percent by the end of fiscal year 2022.

Fed Policymakers' Addresses

President James Bullard of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Fed) opened the door on Monday for the Fed to boost interest rates 75 basis points (bps) in its May monetary policy statement. The likelihood of a massive interest rate hike has increased following the US economy's March inflation reading of 8.5 percent.

 

Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans stated on Tuesday that he is "comfortable" with a rate hike cycle this year that includes two 50 basis point increases and reaches a neutral level by year's end, but he does not see the need for further hikes, according to Reuters.

US Treasury Yields Increase Significantly

For the first time in three years, 10-year US Treasury yields are attempting to breach the psychological level of 3%. Rising wagers on a prolonged era of low interest rates are boosting yields, which eventually drive the greenback higher.

 

This week's significant events include the issuance of building permits, housing starts, initial jobless claims, and the S&P Global PMI.

 

On the back burner are the Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde's speech, and the Bank of England's (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey's speech.

Spot Dollar Index 

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