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On January 11, the weather in northern and western Japan near the Sea of Japan has been extremely cold recently, with heavy snowfall in large areas over the past few days. In particular, the snow depth in Suoyu, Aomori Prefecture reached 3.7 meters on the 10th. Due to the snowfall, some sections of Japans highways were closed, and some Shinkansen trains were suspended or delayed.British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves: The fiscal rules set in the October budget are "non-negotiable". Global financial markets have undoubtedly changed.On January 11, Mitsubishi Motors President Takao Kato was interviewed on January 10. Regarding whether to join the management merger consultation between Honda and Nissan, he said "this is one of the options." Speaking of the envisioned benefits, Kato Takao said "We can actively get help in the North American business (where Mitsubishi Motors has no production base)." Kato Takao also pointed out that in terms of in-vehicle software development, "there will also be scenarios where the technical strength of the two companies will be utilized, which will be very beneficial." Honda and Nissan announced the full launch of management merger consultations in December last year. Mitsubishi Motors previously stated that it will decide whether to join the consultations around the end of January.On January 11, CICC commented on the US non-farm data. The team believes that the highlight of this time is the recovery of the service industry. The service industry has added 231,000 jobs, which has become the main driving force. Judging from the market reaction, the unexpected non-farm data has pushed the US Treasury bond interest rate and the US dollar to a new high, which is also in line with its judgment since the fourth quarter of last year: it believes that the US dollar is still strong and that interest rate cuts should be "done in reverse". When the interest rate cut is realized, it will be the low point of the US Treasury bond interest rate, rather than continuing to look at the recession and the starting point of the downward interest rate.German Geoscience Research Center GFZ: A 5.5-magnitude earthquake occurred in Ethiopia.

As Yields Approach 3%, the US Dollar Index Pursues Establishment Above 101.00

Larissa Barlow

Apr 20, 2022 09:53

In early Tokyo, the US dollar index (DXY) is auctioning in a narrow range of 100.094-101.03. The asset is establishing a base before breaking through the 101.00 barrier, as the DXY has been bolstered by rising estimates of interest rates reaching 3.5 percent by the end of fiscal year 2022.

Fed Policymakers' Addresses

President James Bullard of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Fed) opened the door on Monday for the Fed to boost interest rates 75 basis points (bps) in its May monetary policy statement. The likelihood of a massive interest rate hike has increased following the US economy's March inflation reading of 8.5 percent.

 

Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans stated on Tuesday that he is "comfortable" with a rate hike cycle this year that includes two 50 basis point increases and reaches a neutral level by year's end, but he does not see the need for further hikes, according to Reuters.

US Treasury Yields Increase Significantly

For the first time in three years, 10-year US Treasury yields are attempting to breach the psychological level of 3%. Rising wagers on a prolonged era of low interest rates are boosting yields, which eventually drive the greenback higher.

 

This week's significant events include the issuance of building permits, housing starts, initial jobless claims, and the S&P Global PMI.

 

On the back burner are the Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde's speech, and the Bank of England's (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey's speech.

Spot Dollar Index 

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