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On May 10th, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated at a political conference in Toronto on Saturday that Canada is willing to establish closer trade ties with the United States and Mexico in specific industries to boost the North American economy. He mentioned the "North American Fortress" initiative but did not specify any particular sectors. Carney indicated that if this approach fails, Canada will invest heavily in new markets and new products. The United States, Mexico, and Canada are scheduled to begin reviewing a trade agreement this year. Trump has already imposed tariffs on products such as automobiles and steel, disrupting the closely intertwined supply chains among the three countries. Carney had previously set a goal of doubling exports to countries outside the United States within ten years.The Bahraini Foreign Minister demanded that Iran cease its aggressive and provocative actions against Bahrain and other countries in the region, as well as its egregious interference in their internal affairs.Bahrains Foreign Minister: Bahrain condemns and strongly condemns Irans continued interference in its internal affairs and its actions that threaten the security and stability of the Gulf states.Commander of the Aerospace Force of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: The Aerospace Forces missiles and drones have locked onto the enemy, and we are awaiting the order to launch.On May 10th, local time, the final vote count for the 136th Local Council of England was released, completing the election results for the English Local Council, as well as the Scottish and Welsh Parliaments. In this election, both of Britains traditional two major parties, the Labour Party and the Conservative Party, suffered significant setbacks, while the Reform Party, the Green Party, and other parties saw a marked increase in strength, further highlighting the trend of "fragmentation" in British politics. Data shows that in the English Local Council elections, the Reform Party won 1453 seats, becoming one of the biggest winners; the Labour Party won 1063 seats; and the Conservative Party won 801 seats. Analysts believe that this British local election demonstrates that the traditional two-party (Labour and Conservative) dominance in Britain is being significantly challenged. British politics is further developing towards multi-party competition and political fragmentation.

As Yields Approach 3%, the US Dollar Index Pursues Establishment Above 101.00

Larissa Barlow

Apr 20, 2022 09:53

In early Tokyo, the US dollar index (DXY) is auctioning in a narrow range of 100.094-101.03. The asset is establishing a base before breaking through the 101.00 barrier, as the DXY has been bolstered by rising estimates of interest rates reaching 3.5 percent by the end of fiscal year 2022.

Fed Policymakers' Addresses

President James Bullard of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Fed) opened the door on Monday for the Fed to boost interest rates 75 basis points (bps) in its May monetary policy statement. The likelihood of a massive interest rate hike has increased following the US economy's March inflation reading of 8.5 percent.

 

Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans stated on Tuesday that he is "comfortable" with a rate hike cycle this year that includes two 50 basis point increases and reaches a neutral level by year's end, but he does not see the need for further hikes, according to Reuters.

US Treasury Yields Increase Significantly

For the first time in three years, 10-year US Treasury yields are attempting to breach the psychological level of 3%. Rising wagers on a prolonged era of low interest rates are boosting yields, which eventually drive the greenback higher.

 

This week's significant events include the issuance of building permits, housing starts, initial jobless claims, and the S&P Global PMI.

 

On the back burner are the Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde's speech, and the Bank of England's (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey's speech.

Spot Dollar Index 

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